$ earnings --dex xyz --since 2026-06-16 # 48 results filings with prices · SEC EDGAR 8-K Item 2.02 · reactions from xyz trades
Earnings, priced on-chain before the open
- US companies report after the 16:00 ET close or before the 09:30 open.
- The xyz stock perps on Hyperliquid trade through the night.
- For each results filing: how far the chain had moved by each point, against the real opening gap.
- The SEC filing time is an upper bound on the release time.
- The press release crosses the wire first: the chain's first reaction came a median 2m 20s earlier (n = 38).
- The first reaction shown is a detected jump on chain, not the release time.
- The real stock also trades after hours and from 04:00 ET, so the chain is not the only venue reacting.
- No consensus, no beat or miss, no EPS: there is no official expectation.
$ earnings scorecard # chain move at each point vs the real opening gap · 38 pairs · 2026-10-05 13:26 UTC
Did the chain call the opening gap?correlation and sign agreement, with n and 95% intervals as published
| chain at | n | Pearson r 95% CI | same sign as gap 95% CI | mean abs error | slope | share of gap median · p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +5 min | 38 | +0.79 [+0.66, +0.89] | 28 of 36 = 78% [62, 88] | 4.64 pp | 1.47 | 49% 20–80% n 32 |
| +1 h | 38 | +0.83 [+0.69, +0.92] | 28 of 37 = 76% [60, 87] | 4.07 pp | 1.14 | 58% 27–86% n 32 |
| 20:00 ETafter-close events only | 32 | +0.91 [+0.83, +0.96] | 27 of 32 = 84% [68, 93] | 3.18 pp | 1.09 | 79% 57–104% n 27 |
| 03:59 ETafter-close events only | 30 | +0.92 [+0.86, +0.96] | 27 of 30 = 90% [74, 97] | 3.08 pp | 1.06 | 81% 60–111% n 26 |
| pre-open09:29:59 ET · mostly follows US pre-market trading (from 04:00 ET), not the chain's own call | 38 | +0.99 [+0.97, +0.99] | 35 of 38 = 92% [79, 97] | 1.12 pp | 1.01 | 97% 90–108% n 32 |
| chain at | n | Pearson r 95% CI | same sign as gap 95% CI | mean abs error | slope |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +5 min | 42 | +0.83 [+0.71, +0.91] | 32 of 40 = 80% [65, 90] | 4.48 pp | 1.48 |
| +1 h | 42 | +0.86 [+0.73, +0.93] | 31 of 41 = 76% [61, 86] | 3.95 pp | 1.10 |
| 20:00 ETafter-close events only | 33 | +0.91 [+0.83, +0.96] | 28 of 33 = 85% [69, 93] | 3.16 pp | 1.10 |
| 03:59 ETafter-close events only | 30 | +0.92 [+0.86, +0.96] | 27 of 30 = 90% [74, 97] | 3.08 pp | 1.06 |
| pre-open09:29:59 ET · mostly follows US pre-market trading (from 04:00 ET), not the chain's own call | 42 | +0.99 [+0.98, +0.99] | 39 of 42 = 93% [81, 98] | 1.04 pp | 1.01 |
| chain at | n | Pearson r 95% CI | same sign as gap 95% CI | mean abs error | slope |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +5 min | 32 | +0.82 [+0.70, +0.91] | 26 of 30 = 87% [70, 95] | 4.63 pp | 1.57 |
| +1 h | 32 | +0.85 [+0.72, +0.94] | 25 of 31 = 81% [64, 91] | 4.02 pp | 1.16 |
| 20:00 ETafter-close events only | 32 | +0.91 [+0.83, +0.96] | 27 of 32 = 84% [68, 93] | 3.18 pp | 1.09 |
| 03:59 ETafter-close events only | 30 | +0.92 [+0.86, +0.96] | 27 of 30 = 90% [74, 97] | 3.08 pp | 1.06 |
| pre-open09:29:59 ET · mostly follows US pre-market trading (from 04:00 ET), not the chain's own call | 32 | +0.99 [+0.98, +1.00] | 30 of 32 = 94% [80, 98] | 1.04 pp | 1.00 |
| chain at | n | Pearson r 95% CI | same sign as gap 95% CI | mean abs error | slope |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +5 min | 6 | — | 2 of 6 no rate below n = 15 | 4.68 pp | — |
| +1 h | 6 | — | 3 of 6 no rate below n = 15 | 4.31 pp | — |
| 20:00 ETafter-close events only | 0 | — | 0 of 0 no rate below n = 15 | — | — |
| 03:59 ETafter-close events only | 0 | — | 0 of 0 no rate below n = 15 | — | — |
| pre-open09:29:59 ET · mostly follows US pre-market trading (from 04:00 ET), not the chain's own call | 6 | — | 5 of 6 no rate below n = 15 | 1.55 pp | — |
chain move = chain price at that point vs the 15:59 ET close the pre-market board uses · real gap = oracle at 09:30 ET vs the previous close · same sign counts pairs where both moves are at least 0.1% · headline = quarterly results plus filings not yet classified; operating updates are listed below and not scored here · 2 events with a suspect reference listed, not scored anywhere · 41 headline events, 38 with a real open · rates and correlations are not published below n = 15
+5 min vs the real open
each dot = one headline event · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.1% dead band
45° · gap = chainslope 1.47event
first reaction vs SEC filing
onset of the largest 60-second move from the close (filings within an hour after it) or 60 min before the filing, to 30 min after it · negative = before the filing
- median
- −2m 20s
- middle half
- −5m 19s to −1m 12s
- earliest · latest
- −31m 33s · +3m 32s
- before the filing
- 35 of 38
- false jumps on control days
- 5 of 128 (3.9%)
Each dot = one event, stacked by minute; hover for the name.
The chain usually moves before the filing is accepted, so the filing time is an upper bound.
Control = same market and ET clock time on trading days without a filing.
$ earnings ls # 48 events · newest first · filter by session and kind
All eventsmove from the reference price in bps · chain vs close and real gap in %
48 events
| filed · ET | market | session · kind | first reaction | at filing | +5 min | +1 h | pre-openmostly follows US pre-market trading (from 04:00 ET) | real gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-0209:04:26 | TSLATesla, Inc. | before openupdate | none found | +111.2 | +137.0 | +407.4 | +1.65% | +2.40% |
| 2026-09-2416:17:37 | COSTCostco Wholesale Corp | after closeundetermined | −1m 25s | +18.2 | +1.7 | +16.6 | -0.98% | -1.15% |
| 2026-09-2407:12:37 | BBBlackberry Ltd | before openquarterly | −14m 36s | +262.5 | +316.1 | +286.3 | +0.71% | -2.06% |
| 2026-09-1016:16:50 | ORCLOracle Corp | after closequarterly | −6m 28s | +591.5 | +639.1 | +645.6 | +7.46% | +8.03% |
| 2026-09-0216:26:04 | AVGOBroadcom Inc. | after closequarterly | −11m 03s | −407.2 | −476.7 | +107.8 | -4.34% | -4.53% |
| 2026-09-0116:10:14 | DELLDell Technologies Inc. | after closequarterly | −5m 14s | +659.6 | +893.1 | +836.2 | +8.76% | +8.82% |
| 2026-08-3106:23:08 | GMEGameStop Corp.reference 23m 33s old | before openupdate | −18m 07s | −255.6 | −139.2 | +387.0 | +4.13% | — |
| 2026-08-2716:13:20 | IRENIREN Ltd | after closequarterly | −2m 55s | +73.6 | −87.4 | −410.3 | -7.41% | -7.51% |
| 2026-08-2716:05:59 | MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc. | after closequarterly | none found | +94.9 | −145.8 | −298.2 | -6.73% | -7.06% |
| 2026-08-2616:21:19 | NVDANvidia Corp | after closequarterly | −1m 18s | −153.8 | −97.1 | +359.0 | +6.12% | — |
| 2026-08-2616:07:02 | CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | after closequarterlyreference suspect | −6m 23s | +844.0 | +945.8 | +1062.0 | +9.34% | — |
| 2026-08-2516:05:36 | ZMZoom Communications, Inc. | after closequarterly | −36 s | −650.8 | −287.9 | −368.8 | -5.51% | — |
| 2026-08-1316:03:36 | AMATApplied Materials Inc | after closequarterly | −2m 36s | −332.4 | −230.1 | −388.9 | -6.80% | -6.33% |
| 2026-08-1116:24:11 | LITELumentum Holdings Inc. | after closequarterly | −19m 06s | +43.6 | +5.4 | −56.0 | +9.60% | +10.02% |
| 2026-08-1116:10:26 | CRWVCoreWeave, Inc. | after closequarterly | −25 s | −357.6 | +417.6 | +1506.6 | +20.16% | +21.27% |
| 2026-08-1016:40:43 | USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc. | after closequarterly | −10m 43s | −514.7 | −567.7 | −924.4 | -1.89% | +0.35% |
| 2026-08-1016:08:59 | HIMSHims & Hers Health, Inc. | after closequarterly | −3m 33s | −311.5 | −519.7 | −427.2 | -6.11% | -5.82% |
| 2026-08-1016:08:45 | RKLBRocket Lab Corp | after closequarterly | −3m 45s | −251.3 | −230.1 | −219.7 | -4.66% | -4.26% |
| 2026-08-0706:43:00 | DKNGDraftKings Inc. | before openquarterly | none found | +47.1 | +47.1 | +58.7 | +3.43% | +2.51% |
| 2026-08-0516:09:06 | SNDKSandisk Corp | after closequarterly | −4m 03s | −492.5 | −271.8 | −361.4 | -12.89% | -13.08% |
| 2026-08-0516:07:47 | EBAYEbay Inc | after closequarterly | −2m 42s | −3.6 | −45.9 | +5.4 | +1.17% | -1.94% |
| 2026-08-0516:04:35 | WDCWestern Digital Corp | after closequarterly | −2m 34s | −1027.9 | −1123.4 | −1015.4 | -17.35% | -20.41% |
| 2026-08-0507:05:09 | LLYEli Lilly & Co | before openquarterly | −20m 08s | +365.2 | +452.3 | +322.1 | +4.71% | +5.78% |
| 2026-08-0506:12:18 | CRCLCircle Internet Group, Inc. | before openquarterly | −6 s | −6.8 | +276.4 | +339.2 | -2.13% | -4.46% |
| 2026-08-0416:16:24 | AMDAdvanced Micro Devices Inc | after closequarterly | −1m 23s | −851.7 | −843.9 | −1002.2 | -6.86% | -7.31% |
| 2026-08-0316:06:14 | PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc. | after closequarterly | −1m 12s | +688.0 | +751.5 | +1196.6 | +14.96% | +16.10% |
| 2026-07-3016:30:28 | AAPLApple Inc. | after closequarterly | −15 s | −87.7 | −253.2 | −736.7 | -8.39% | -8.37% |
| 2026-07-3016:06:23 | AMZNAmazon Com Inc | after closequarterly | −5m 21s | +621.4 | +641.8 | +728.3 | +12.47% | +11.91% |
| 2026-07-3016:06:18 | COINCoinbase Global, Inc. | after closequarterly | +42 s | −55.0 | −440.0 | −543.8 | -6.23% | -8.29% |
| 2026-07-3016:01:01 | RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc. | after closequarterly | −0 s | +311.1 | +51.2 | +233.2 | +1.28% | +0.58% |
| 2026-07-3016:00:23 | MSTRStrategy Inc | after closequarterly | none found | +7.8 | +16.8 | −45.1 | -2.57% | -3.34% |
| 2026-07-2916:05:14 | HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc. | after closequarterly | none found | +234.4 | −47.4 | −286.5 | +1.70% | +1.29% |
| 2026-07-2916:04:53 | MSFTMicrosoft Corp | after closequarterly | none found | +296.0 | +318.5 | +306.4 | +12.23% | +11.34% |
| 2026-07-2916:03:23 | METAMeta Platforms, Inc. | after closequarterly | −2m 22s | −705.1 | −553.7 | −893.9 | -10.27% | -9.17% |
| 2026-07-2916:01:35 | QCOMQualcomm Inc | after closequarterly | −22 s | −205.5 | −393.0 | −556.7 | -5.97% | -4.80% |
| 2026-07-2816:07:21 | BEBloom Energy Corp | after closequarterly | −2m 15s | +1090.7 | +520.6 | +1241.8 | +10.51% | +5.60% |
| 2026-07-2316:09:00 | INTCIntel Corp | after closequarterlyreference suspect | −8m 51s | +810.3 | +1165.2 | +864.1 | +0.02% | -4.17% |
| 2026-07-2306:55:07 | BXBlackstone Inc.reference 15m 08s old | before openquarterly | +26 s | +49.8 | +207.5 | −34.3 | -0.84% | -1.49% |
| 2026-07-2216:35:52 | TSLATesla, Inc. | after closequarterly | −31m 33s | −243.0 | −246.7 | −289.2 | -8.71% | -9.62% |
| 2026-07-2216:11:27 | NOWServiceNow, Inc. | after closequarterly | −1m 59s | +18.2 | +525.0 | +348.4 | +4.71% | +2.53% |
| 2026-07-2216:10:24 | IBMInternational Business Machines Corp | after closequarterly | −2m 10s | +226.8 | +338.7 | +145.8 | -1.75% | -3.38% |
| 2026-07-2216:01:36 | GOOGLAlphabet Inc. | after closequarterly | none found | +53.7 | −197.3 | −272.6 | -6.12% | -6.04% |
| 2026-07-1616:03:19 | NFLXNetflix Inc | after closequarterly | −2m 19s | +39.7 | −487.0 | −885.0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-1407:01:52 | IBMInternational Business Machines Corp | before openupdate | −1m 47s | −931.9 | −1219.4 | −2077.2 | -22.00% | -21.94% |
| 2026-07-0617:04:56 | RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc. | after closeupdate | +3m 32s | — | −682.9 | −646.8 | -11.84% | -11.70% |
| 2026-07-0209:01:26 | TSLATesla, Inc. | before openupdate | −1m 13s | +104.1 | −85.5 | −425.8 | +0.71% | +0.38% |
| 2026-06-2507:12:59 | BBBlackberry Ltd | before openquarterly | −13m 02s | +119.6 | +71.2 | +106.4 | +12.36% | +13.92% |
| 2026-06-2416:02:01 | MUMicron Technology Inc | after closequarterly | none found | +344.4 | +824.3 | +1414.9 | +17.76% | +16.29% |
No event matches.
bps from the reference price: that day's regular-session close for filings within an hour after it, else the last trade 30 minutes before the filing · first reaction = detected jump vs the filing time, searched from the close (or 60 min before the filing) to 30 min after it; "none found" = no clear jump · pre-open = chain at 09:29:59 ET vs the previous close; it mostly follows US pre-market trading (from 04:00 ET) · real gap "—" = the real open was not recorded that day · update = operating update or preliminary results, not in the headline scorecard · reference suspect = the first reaction came at or before the reference time, so the reference may already include the release; listed, not scored
$ earnings ls --excluded # 2 filings with no numbers
Excludedlisted with the reason; nothing is interpolated
- MU 2026-09-30 16:02:22 ET after closeundeterminedcollector gap SEC filing No xyz trades observed or received for more than 120 seconds in the reference/reaction window; delayed replay cannot establish complete collection.
- GME 2026-09-08 09:02:39 ET before openquarterlycollector gap SEC filing No xyz trades observed or received for more than 120 seconds in the reference/reaction window; delayed replay cannot establish complete collection.
$ earnings coverage # US-equity markets on xyz · 51 covered
Not coveredand why
- ARM, ASML, BABA, NBIS, NOK, TSM
- Not covered: files 6-K, which carries no item code.
- BIRD, BMNR
- No Item 2.02 filing since 2026-06-16.
- STRC
- Preferred; results filed under MSTR.
- 7 filings
- Filed before the market was listed on xyz: AAOI-2026-08-06, CVX-2026-07-31, GEV-2026-07-22, IREN-2026-07-20, MRNA-2026-07-31, NET-2026-08-06, RDDT-2026-07-30.
- 38 markets
- Covered, but our changelog has no listing date, so the first archived trade stands in: first trade 2026-06-16 (AAPL, AMD, AMZN, AVGO, BB, BX, COIN, COST, CRCL, CRWV, DELL, DKNG, EBAY, GME, GOOGL, HIMS, HOOD, IBM, INTC, LITE, LLY, META, MRVL, MSFT, MSTR, MU, NFLX, NOW, NVDA, ORCL, PLTR, RIVN, RKLB, SNDK, TSLA, USAR, WDC, ZM).
- upcoming
- No upcoming dates: there is no official schedule source. Why.
definitions and limits: methodology · raw: /api/xyz/earnings/events.json