~ / data / macro

$ macro --dex xyz --since 2026-06-16 # 28 releases with prices · official numbers via FRED · reactions from xyz trades

US macro releases, priced on-chain first

Most US data lands at 08:30 New York time, an hour before the NYSE opens. Hyperliquid's xyz perps on the S&P 500, the Nasdaq-100, gold, oil and the dollar trade around the clock, so they reprice within seconds. For every jobs report, CPI, PPI, GDP, PCE, weekly jobless-claims release and FOMC decision: the official numbers, and how each market moved 5 seconds, 1, 5, 15 and 60 minutes later and by the open.

alerts Email me the numbers and the first reaction after each release → sign in free · by email · sent a few minutes after the release

next Jobless claims · Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET · since 2026-06-16 generated 2026-10-02 15:04 UTC data events.json

Read this first. Official numbers are the first print as published, from the BLS, BEA and Labor Department series on FRED (ALFRED vintages) and the Federal Reserve; later revisions are shown separately. There is no official consensus forecast, so nothing here is called a beat or a miss, and a move after a release is only that: what the market did in the seconds after the clock struck. Prices are xyz perp trades: the reference is the last trade before the release, and a point after it uses only trades after it. Samples are small (a few months of data, one release per month for most types); every average states its n. Not live: rebuilt a few minutes after each release and nightly.

$ macro upcoming --limit 6 # FRED's release schedule and the Fed's FOMC calendar · times ET

Next upscheduled dates can move; the countdown runs in your browser

Jobless claims

Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET

8 Oct 08:30

CPI

Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET

14 Oct 08:30

PPIJobless claims

PPI + Jobless claims

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET

15 Oct 08:30

Jobless claims

Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET

22 Oct 08:30

FOMC decision

Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 14:00 ET

28 Oct 14:00

PCEGDPJobless claims

PCE + GDP + Jobless claims

Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET

29 Oct 08:30

$ macro show 2026-10-02-0830 # Fri 2 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET

Latest: Jobs report (September)Fri 2 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET · 2026-10-02 12:30 UTC

Employment Situation · 2026-09

Nonfarm payrolls: +29k; prior +133k, first printed +162k
Unemployment rate: 4.2%; prior 4.1%
Avg hourly earnings m/m: +0.13%; prior +0.32%
Prior two months revised: −60k

source: PAYEMS, UNRATE, CES0500000003 · release

→ full reaction, every stock, minute by minute

move from the last trade before 08:30 ET · bps

10-second points, 10 minutes before to 60 minutes after · USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	max 60 s
SP500index	+9.5	+17.1	+33.0	+27.4	+31.1	+27.8at 7.2 s
XYZ100index	+11.1	+16.9	+40.7	+37.1	+51.8	+22.5at 26.3 s
GOLDcommodity	+79.8	+61.6	+83.6	+56.4	+17.7	+85.5at 5.5 s
SILVERcommodity	+106.3	+73.6	+126.6	+79.2	+53.0	+130.8at 4.6 s
CLcommodity	−10.5	+0.7	−41.7	−29.4	−68.5	−10.8at 5.0 s
BRENTOILcommodity	−11.5	−1.3	−33.2	−10.8	−25.3	−12.9at 4.7 s
COPPERcommodity	—	—	—	—	—	—
EURfx · up = dollar down	+14.2	+9.8	+14.2	+11.6	+21.4	+28.5at 6.2 s
GBPfx · up = dollar down	—	—	—	—	—	—
JPYfx · up = dollar up	—	—	—	—	—	—
TLTetf	—	—	—	—	—	—
SMHetf	+2.7	+40.5	+49.0	+78.6	+84.0	+63.3at 6.8 s

US stocks and ETFs, 5 min after

50 up · 0 flat · 0 down of 50

largest up · 5 minKORU +197.3372 fillsSOXL +175.4608 fillsAAOI +171.2156 fillsNBIS +130.8246 fillsIREN +111.184 fills

bps from the last trade before the release (no older than 2 minutes) · a later point uses only trades after the release; "—" = no trade yet · EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar · max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute, and when it happened · at open = the last trade at 09:30:00 ET

$ macro ls # 28 releases with prices · newest first · filter by type

All releases5 minutes after the release and at the 09:30 open · bps

released · ET	release	numbers	SP500 5m	XYZ100 5m	GOLD 5m	USD 5m	SP500 open
2026-10-0208:30 ET	Jobs report (September)	Payrolls +29k prior +133kUnemployment 4.2% prior 4.1%AHE m/m +0.13% prior +0.32%	+33.0	+40.7	+83.6	−14.2	+31.1
2026-10-0108:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-09-26)	Initial claims 197k prior 198k	+4.2	+3.9	+9.3	−3.5	−13.8
2026-09-3008:30 ET	PCE (August) + GDP 2026Q2, third estimate	PCE m/m +0.3% prior +0.1%Core PCE m/m +0.2% prior +0.1%Real GDP SAAR +2.2% prior +2.5%	+27.7	+39.9	+53.4	—	+10.8
2026-09-2408:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-09-19)	Initial claims 197k prior 198k	−8.3	−10.9	−3.5	+4.4	+3.1
2026-09-1708:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-09-12)	Initial claims 196k prior 206k	+8.5	+8.2	−21.9	0.0	−2.9
2026-09-1614:00 ET	FOMC decision (+25 bp, SEP)	Target range 3.75–4.00% (+25 bp) prior 3.50–3.75%	−1.4	+8.6	−88.0	+13.9	—
2026-09-1108:30 ET	CPI (August)	CPI m/m +0.4% prior +0.1%Core CPI m/m +0.3% prior +0.2%	−14.8	−16.4	−26.2	—	+15.2
2026-09-1008:30 ET	PPI (August) + Jobless claims (week ending 2026-09-05)	PPI m/m +0.4% prior +0.1%Initial claims 206k prior 207k	−27.8	−41.4	−42.2	+15.5	−34.0
2026-09-0408:30 ET	Jobs report (August)	Payrolls +162k prior +21kUnemployment 4.1% prior 4.1%AHE m/m +0.27% prior +0.16%	−30.5	−48.2	−176.7	+25.8	−23.5
2026-09-0308:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-08-29)	Initial claims 206k prior 204k	+16.2	+22.0	+42.9	—	+31.5
2026-08-2708:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-08-22)	Initial claims 203k prior 207k	−4.5	−3.7	−4.8	—	−6.9
2026-08-2608:30 ET	PCE (July) + GDP 2026Q2, second estimate	PCE m/m +0.2% prior -0.1%Core PCE m/m +0.2% prior +0.1%Real GDP SAAR +1.5% prior +2.1%	−15.1	−26.7	−15.6	+5.1	−21.4
2026-08-2008:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-08-15)	Initial claims 206k prior 212k	−2.0	−4.1	−11.7	+6.0	+13.2
2026-08-1308:30 ET	PPI (July) + Jobless claims (week ending 2026-08-08)	PPI m/m 0.0% prior -0.1%Initial claims 209k prior 200k	+0.6	+1.0	+0.2	+0.9	+13.9
2026-08-1208:30 ET	CPI (July)	CPI m/m +0.1% prior -0.4%Core CPI m/m +0.2% prior 0.0%	−4.3	−6.4	+3.6	−5.2	+11.5
2026-08-0708:30 ET	Jobs report (July)	Payrolls -23k prior +20kUnemployment 4.1% prior 4.2%AHE m/m +0.05% prior +0.29%	+10.0	+28.8	+116.5	−36.4	+4.1
2026-08-0608:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-08-01)	Initial claims 199k prior 198k	+1.3	+2.4	+18.5	—	−6.7
2026-07-3008:30 ET	PCE (June) + GDP 2026Q2, advance estimate + Jobless claims (week ending 2026-07-25)	PCE m/m -0.1% prior +0.5%Core PCE m/m +0.1% prior +0.3%Real GDP SAAR +1.5% prior +2.1%	−3.5	0.0	−10.5	—	+19.1
2026-07-2914:00 ET	FOMC decision (hold)	Target range 3.50–3.75% (hold) prior 3.50–3.75%	+25.3	+26.5	+55.1	—	—
2026-07-2308:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-07-18)	Initial claims 187k prior 209k	−5.5	−11.5	−3.7	—	−38.3
2026-07-1608:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-07-11)	Initial claims 208k prior 216k	+0.8	+1.4	−3.0	—	+10.5
2026-07-1508:30 ET	PPI (June)	PPI m/m -0.3% prior +0.6%	+14.2	+21.2	+29.2	−9.6	+24.1
2026-07-1408:30 ET	CPI (June)	CPI m/m -0.4% prior +0.5%Core CPI m/m 0.0% prior +0.2%	+42.7	+68.8	+165.3	—	+24.1
2026-07-0908:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-07-04)	Initial claims 215k prior 217k	+2.9	+5.8	+22.1	—	−3.1
2026-07-0208:30 ET	Jobs report (June) + Jobless claims (week ending 2026-06-27)	Payrolls +57k prior +129kUnemployment 4.2% prior 4.3%AHE m/m +0.35% prior +0.27%	+18.9	+30.4	+151.4	−46.5	+1.6
2026-06-2508:30 ET	PCE (May) + GDP 2026Q1, third estimate + Jobless claims (week ending 2026-06-20)	PCE m/m +0.4% prior +0.4%Core PCE m/m +0.3% prior +0.3%Real GDP SAAR +2.1% prior +0.5%	+20.5	+24.1	+26.1	—	+14.2
2026-06-1808:30 ET	Jobless claims (week ending 2026-06-13)	Initial claims 226k prior 230k	−0.3	−3.0	−3.8	—	+34.1
2026-06-1714:00 ET	FOMC decision (hold, SEP)	Target range 3.50–3.75% (hold) prior 3.50–3.75%	−74.9	−93.5	−145.8	+32.8	—

5m = move from the last trade before the release to the last trade 5 minutes after, in bps · open = to the last trade at 09:30 ET, for releases before the open · USD = the EURUSD perp with the sign flipped · "—" = no trade in that window or no open that day · 46 earlier releases from 2026 before our trade archive starts (2026-06-16) have no prices and are listed only in the JSON · raw: /api/xyz/macro/events.json

$ macro stats --by type # averages over releases with prices; small samples

By release typeaverage size of the 5-minute move · how often the first move held to the open

FOMC decisionn = 3

too few to generalise

|SP500| 5m: 33.9 bps · n 3
|XYZ100| 5m: 42.9 bps · n 3
|GOLD| 5m: 96.3 bps · n 3
|USD| 5m: 23.3 bps · n 2

no releases before an open with a 5-minute move of 3 bps or more · gold and SP500 moved the same way in 3 of 3

Jobs reportn = 4

too few to generalise

|SP500| 5m: 23.1 bps · n 4
|XYZ100| 5m: 37.0 bps · n 4
|GOLD| 5m: 132.1 bps · n 4
|USD| 5m: 30.7 bps · n 4

SP500's 5-minute direction held to the open in 4 of 4 · gold and SP500 moved the same way in 4 of 4

CPIn = 3

too few to generalise

|SP500| 5m: 20.6 bps · n 3
|XYZ100| 5m: 30.5 bps · n 3
|GOLD| 5m: 65.0 bps · n 3
|USD| 5m: 5.2 bps · n 1

SP500's 5-minute direction held to the open in 1 of 3 · gold and SP500 moved the same way in 2 of 3

PCEn = 4

too few to generalise

|SP500| 5m: 16.7 bps · n 4
|XYZ100| 5m: 22.7 bps · n 4
|GOLD| 5m: 26.4 bps · n 4
|USD| 5m: 5.1 bps · n 1

SP500's 5-minute direction held to the open in 3 of 4 · gold and SP500 moved the same way in 4 of 4

GDPn = 4

too few to generalise

|SP500| 5m: 16.7 bps · n 4
|XYZ100| 5m: 22.7 bps · n 4
|GOLD| 5m: 26.4 bps · n 4
|USD| 5m: 5.1 bps · n 1

SP500's 5-minute direction held to the open in 3 of 4 · gold and SP500 moved the same way in 4 of 4

PPIn = 3

too few to generalise

|SP500| 5m: 14.2 bps · n 3
|XYZ100| 5m: 21.2 bps · n 3
|GOLD| 5m: 23.9 bps · n 3
|USD| 5m: 8.7 bps · n 3

SP500's 5-minute direction held to the open in 2 of 2 · gold and SP500 moved the same way in 3 of 3

Jobless claimsn = 16

|SP500| 5m: 7.9 bps · n 16
|XYZ100| 5m: 10.9 bps · n 16
|GOLD| 5m: 23.5 bps · n 16
|USD| 5m: 11.0 bps · n 7

SP500's 5-minute direction held to the open in 6 of 10 · gold and SP500 moved the same way in 14 of 16

|x| 5m = mean absolute move 5 minutes after, in bps, over releases of that type with a valid price for that market; n beside each value is that count, which can be smaller than the type's n when a market had no trade · held to the open = SP500's 5-minute move and its move at 09:30 ET had the same sign, counting only moves of at least 3 bps · a release that contains two types (a jobs report on a claims Thursday) counts for both · below n = 5 the averages describe those few days only