~ / data / macro / 2026-07-23-0830

$ macro show 2026-07-23-0830 # Thu 23 Jul 2026 · 08:30 ET · 2026-07-23 12:30 UTC · US session at release: extended

Jobless claims (week ending 2026-07-18)

Jobless claims Released Thu 23 Jul 2026 · 08:30 ET. The official numbers, then how Hyperliquid's xyz perps moved from the last trade before the release, through the hour before the NYSE opened, to the open.

$ macro numbers 2026-07-23-0830 # first print as published · revisions shown separately

Official numbersno consensus forecast is official, so none is shown

Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report · 2026-07-18

Initial claims · week ending 2026-07-18: 187,000; prior 209,000 · now revised to 189,000
Continuing claims · week ending 2026-07-11: 1,796,000; prior 1,798,000 · now revised to 1,789,000

source: ICSA, CCSA · release

$ macro path 2026-07-23-0830 --from -10m --to +60m # 10-second points

Reactionbps from the last trade before 08:30 ET

SP500 · XYZ100 · GOLD · USD

USD = EURUSD inverted · a gap = no valid price: no trade after the release yet, or no reference trade in the 2 minutes before it · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
SP500index	+24.2	+1.9	−1.1	−2.1	−2.3	−0.8	−5.5	−14.4	−21.6	−38.3	−2.8at 34.5 s	361
XYZ100index	+34.5	+1.7	−3.1	−4.2	−4.5	−2.4	−11.5	−26.8	−28.6	−49.8	−5.2at 1.5 s	267
GOLDcommodity	+24.8	−7.1	+1.0	−6.9	−12.3	−12.0	−3.7	−15.9	−31.9	−40.7	−12.5at 34.3 s	258
SILVERcommodity	+53.9	+3.6	−5.2	−8.8	−10.8	−5.8	−7.7	−30.9	−92.6	−100.3	−12.4at 13.3 s	400
CLcommodity	−23.2	+5.8	−1.8	+2.8	+4.1	+4.1	−27.8	−0.4	−5.8	+9.4	+9.1at 50.1 s	752
BRENTOILcommodity	−45.8	+2.2	+2.6	+4.2	+8.0	+11.3	+8.1	+40.9	+17.0	+24.6	+16.2at 50.4 s	704
COPPERcommodity	+41.4	−12.3	0.0	−8.5	−6.7	−8.5	−6.7	−27.9	−26.4	−111.1	−8.5at 0.7 s	15
EURfx · up = dollar down	—	−4.4	0.0	—	—	—	—	−9.7	−5.3	−13.2	—	0
GBPfx · up = dollar down	—	—	0.0	—	—	—	—	−9.0	−9.0	−21.0	—	0
JPYfx · up = dollar up	−2.4	+0.6	+3.7	—	—	+1.2	+1.2	+6.7	+11.0	+17.7	+1.2at 31.0 s	1
TLTetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
SMHetf	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	−26.2	−35.9	−41.4	—	0

reference = the last trade before the release, no older than 2 minutes; before-release columns show where the market already was relative to it · after the release, a point is the last trade up to that time and only trades after the release count; "—" = no such trade · EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar, so "up" means a weaker dollar for EUR and GBP and a stronger one for JPY · max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute and when it happened · at open = last trade at 09:30:00 ET

every proxy · −10 to +60 min

SP500

XYZ100

GOLD

SILVER

CL

BRENTOIL

COPPER

EUR

GBP

JPY

SMH

$ macro path 2026-07-23-0830 --to open # one point per minute

From the release to the opendid the first move hold?

08:30 → 09:35 ET · bps from the last trade before the release

USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

SP500: −5.5 bps 5 minutes after, −38.3 bps at the open · the first move held

$ macro stocks 2026-07-23-0830 --sort abs-5m # 42 US stocks and ETFs on xyz · sortable

Every US stock and ETFbps from the last trade before the release

5 min after

6 up · 4 flat · 29 down of 39

sort by

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	fills 5m
NBISus equity	−12.4	−19.7	−72.5	−84.0	−156.6	208
MRVLus equity	−5.8	+1.0	−69.5	−71.4	−44.6	238
COINus equity	−9.1	−4.8	−51.4	−68.3	−128.8	128
USARus equity	—	—	−37.6	−65.6	−254.7	1
BBus equity	—	+8.9	−35.9	−75.9	−123.3	42
ORCLus equity	+2.4	−10.4	−32.0	−33.6	−48.0	50
SNDKus equity	−8.2	+22.2	−30.4	−40.0	−55.2	977
INTCus equity	−8.7	0.0	−29.2	−60.3	−176.9	300
MSTRus equity	−1.5	+0.7	−28.8	−68.5	−127.3	79
METAus equity	+7.0	+0.8	−27.4	−2.0	−64.9	224
GOOGLus equity	−6.1	+8.9	−27.1	−24.9	−115.6	420
TSMus equity	—	−1.9	−21.7	−64.0	−58.1	35
MUus equity	−2.1	+7.8	−21.2	−37.0	+84.8	1,227
ASMLus equity	—	—	−19.6	−38.6	−22.4	20
AMDus equity	−10.2	+0.7	−19.2	−59.7	−54.7	123
WDCus equity	−13.0	−1.4	−18.4	−55.0	−77.0	77
EWYetf	−3.5	−5.8	−17.3	−76.3	−115.0	152
HIMSus equity	—	−2.9	−17.2	−13.1	−67.5	8
CRWVus equity	—	+12.8	−17.0	−18.3	−69.2	14
AVGOus equity	—	−9.9	−14.2	−33.0	−41.4	37
IBMus equity	−4.5	−6.5	+13.9	+7.0	+100.1	85
BEus equity	0.0	0.0	−12.7	−139.6	−277.8	3
HOODus equity	—	—	−11.6	−52.4	−131.0	28
MSFTus equity	−1.0	+2.1	+11.4	+11.1	+66.9	211
NFLXus equity	—	−2.6	+11.0	+33.4	−21.4	49
NVDAus equity	—	+7.2	−11.0	−27.2	−14.8	386
RKLBus equity	−0.3	−1.5	−10.3	+12.8	+42.0	13
EWJetf	—	−10.6	−10.0	−32.9	−54.9	5
EWTetf	+10.0	+10.0	+9.0	−51.3	−76.3	11
CRCLus equity	−4.4	−1.1	−8.7	+3.1	−52.9	208
NOKus equity	+8.8	+40.1	+7.8	+48.0	−47.0	23
TSLAus equity	−3.5	+2.3	−6.4	−4.9	−136.7	441
AAPLus equity	—	—	+4.9	+4.6	−65.5	48
PLTRus equity	—	−1.6	−4.8	−6.4	+27.0	16
RIVNus equity	−1.8	−2.9	−4.7	−31.7	−40.5	10
ZMus equity	—	—	−0.7	−5.0	+6.5	8
DELLus equity	+0.2	+0.2	+0.5	+20.2	−6.4	3
AMZNus equity	—	+4.6	+0.4	−24.7	−105.5	103
STRCus equity	0.0	0.0	0.0	−7.8	−60.4	28
DKNGus equity	—	—	—	—	+51.7	0
LLYus equity	—	—	—	−15.6	−58.1	0
SMHetf	—	—	—	−26.2	−41.4	0

every live US-equity and ETF market on xyz with a trade in the 2 minutes before the release · default order = largest 5-minute move either way · thin markets can show large moves on one or two fills; check the fill count · flat = under 1 bp

$ macro ls --type claims # earlier releases of the same type

Earlier Jobless claims5 minutes after · bps

date	SP500	XYZ100	GOLD	USD
2026-07-16	+0.8	+1.4	−3.0	—
2026-07-09	+2.9	+5.8	+22.1	—
2026-06-18	−0.3	−3.0	−3.8	—
2026-06-04	—	—	—	—
2026-05-21	—	—	—	—
2026-05-14	—	—	—	—
2026-05-07	—	—	—	—
2026-04-23	—	—	—	—
2026-04-16	—	—	—	—
2026-04-02	—	—	—	—
2026-03-26	—	—	—	—
2026-03-19	—	—	—	—

USD = EURUSD inverted · raw: /api/xyz/macro/event/2026-07-23-0830.json · definitions in methodology