~ / data / macro / 2026-07-09-0830

$ macro show 2026-07-09-0830 # Thu 9 Jul 2026 · 08:30 ET · 2026-07-09 12:30 UTC · US session at release: extended

Jobless claims (week ending 2026-07-04)

Jobless claims Released Thu 9 Jul 2026 · 08:30 ET. The official numbers, then how Hyperliquid's xyz perps moved from the last trade before the release, through the hour before the NYSE opened, to the open.

$ macro numbers 2026-07-09-0830 # first print as published · revisions shown separately

Official numbersno consensus forecast is official, so none is shown

Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report · 2026-07-04

Initial claims · week ending 2026-07-04: 215,000; prior 217,000 · now revised to 217,000
Continuing claims · week ending 2026-06-27: 1,814,000; prior 1,806,000 · now revised to 1,821,000

source: ICSA, CCSA · release

$ macro path 2026-07-09-0830 --from -10m --to +60m # 10-second points

Reactionbps from the last trade before 08:30 ET

SP500 · XYZ100 · GOLD

USD = EURUSD inverted · a gap = no valid price: no trade after the release yet, or no reference trade in the 2 minutes before it · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLD

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
SP500index	−9.3	−3.6	−1.1	0.0	+0.9	+1.1	+2.9	−1.2	−6.5	−3.1	+1.1at 52.6 s	191
XYZ100index	−15.9	−2.4	−1.7	+2.0	+0.3	0.0	+5.8	+0.3	−4.4	+2.7	+3.0at 3.7 s	341
GOLDcommodity	+2.4	+0.5	+0.5	—	+4.4	+4.4	+22.1	+16.3	+3.2	+47.7	+4.4at 17.0 s	47
SILVERcommodity	−17.4	−13.2	+4.7	−1.2	+4.4	−0.7	+39.2	+54.8	+30.4	+122.5	+6.3at 16.6 s	177
CLcommodity	+20.3	−19.7	+1.9	+1.4	0.0	+0.9	−12.2	+16.9	+7.5	−89.8	+2.0at 47.7 s	335
BRENTOILcommodity	+10.7	−18.2	+2.2	−1.9	−3.7	−1.4	−11.6	+15.1	+13.4	−73.5	−3.7at 29.9 s	135
COPPERcommodity · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	15
EURfx · up = dollar down · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3
GBPfx · up = dollar down · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
JPYfx · up = dollar up · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3
TLTetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
SMHetf	−51.6	—	0.0	—	—	—	—	—	+9.6	+14.2	—	0

reference = the last trade before the release, no older than 2 minutes; before-release columns show where the market already was relative to it · after the release, a point is the last trade up to that time and only trades after the release count; "—" = no such trade · EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar, so "up" means a weaker dollar for EUR and GBP and a stronger one for JPY · max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute and when it happened · at open = last trade at 09:30:00 ET

every proxy · −10 to +60 min

SP500

XYZ100

GOLD

SILVER

CL

BRENTOIL

SMH

$ macro path 2026-07-09-0830 --to open # one point per minute

From the release to the opendid the first move hold?

08:30 → 09:35 ET · bps from the last trade before the release

USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLD

SP500: +2.9 bps 5 minutes after, −3.1 bps at the open · the 5-minute move was under 3 bps, too small to call

$ macro stocks 2026-07-09-0830 --sort abs-5m # 32 US stocks and ETFs on xyz · sortable

Every US stock and ETFbps from the last trade before the release

5 min after

17 up · 2 flat · 10 down of 29

sort by

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	fills 5m
SNDKus equity	+3.3	0.0	+73.1	+25.8	+86.3	693
NBISus equity	—	+4.0	+63.8	+26.4	+111.4	49
MUus equity	+5.0	+13.9	+63.7	+28.9	+110.4	829
BEus equity	−23.9	−24.7	−53.5	−38.9	+329.9	16
NOKus equity	—	+10.5	+34.7	+29.9	+21.0	12
AMDus equity	—	−0.2	+32.3	+59.7	+28.9	95
WDCus equity	—	+9.0	+28.7	+43.2	+165.8	34
HOODus equity	0.0	+3.5	−24.6	−60.6	−130.0	44
QCOMus equity	—	+5.2	+24.3	+8.3	+5.2	28
NVDAus equity	—	−1.5	+21.4	+1.9	−62.2	124
MRVLus equity	+2.9	+1.6	+20.0	−8.1	+24.0	70
CRWVus equity	—	−7.3	+19.5	−33.9	+27.7	15
AVGOus equity	—	+25.7	−18.8	−45.2	−69.9	55
EWYetf	—	+5.0	+16.5	+14.9	+104.0	120
INTCus equity	—	−2.6	+14.7	−12.9	−95.7	94
BABAus equity	—	—	−13.7	−11.0	−29.3	6
CRCLus equity	—	−7.2	+13.1	−33.6	−207.9	78
TSMus equity	—	+4.5	+12.3	+1.3	+19.7	35
ASMLus equity	—	−2.8	+12.1	−2.8	+94.7	2
IBMus equity	—	—	−11.5	+8.0	−87.8	27
METAus equity	−3.1	−25.8	−9.3	+16.7	+23.2	146
AMZNus equity	—	−6.7	−9.2	+16.7	+7.1	75
GOOGLus equity	—	−2.0	−7.8	−8.7	−87.2	53
ORCLus equity	—	0.0	−7.8	+7.8	+41.0	33
MSTRus equity	+3.6	+3.6	+6.2	−35.7	−85.6	111
AAPLus equity	—	—	+2.6	+1.9	−56.7	93
MSFTus equity	—	+0.3	−2.4	+6.4	−38.0	46
TSLAus equity	—	+2.8	+0.3	−8.9	−14.7	54
PLTRus equity	—	−18.7	0.0	−12.4	−74.6	60
HIMSus equity	—	—	—	−58.4	−229.8	0
RKLBus equity	—	—	—	+24.0	+18.6	0
SMHetf	—	—	—	—	+14.2	0

every live US-equity and ETF market on xyz with a trade in the 2 minutes before the release · default order = largest 5-minute move either way · thin markets can show large moves on one or two fills; check the fill count · flat = under 1 bp

$ macro ls --type claims # earlier releases of the same type

Earlier Jobless claims5 minutes after · bps

date	SP500	XYZ100	GOLD	USD
2026-06-18	−0.3	−3.0	−3.8	—
2026-06-04	—	—	—	—
2026-05-21	—	—	—	—
2026-05-14	—	—	—	—
2026-05-07	—	—	—	—
2026-04-23	—	—	—	—
2026-04-16	—	—	—	—
2026-04-02	—	—	—	—
2026-03-26	—	—	—	—
2026-03-19	—	—	—	—
2026-03-12	—	—	—	—
2026-03-05	—	—	—	—

USD = EURUSD inverted · raw: /api/xyz/macro/event/2026-07-09-0830.json · definitions in methodology