~ / data / macro / 2026-08-20-0830

$ macro show 2026-08-20-0830 # Thu 20 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC · US session at release: extended

Jobless claims (week ending 2026-08-15)

Jobless claims Released Thu 20 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET. The official numbers, then how Hyperliquid's xyz perps moved from the last trade before the release, through the hour before the NYSE opened, to the open.

$ macro numbers 2026-08-20-0830 # first print as published · revisions shown separately

Official numbersno consensus forecast is official, so none is shown

Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report · 2026-08-15

Initial claims · week ending 2026-08-15: 206,000; prior 212,000 · now revised to 207,000
Continuing claims · week ending 2026-08-08: 1,799,000; prior 1,781,000 · now revised to 1,796,000

source: ICSA, CCSA · release

$ macro path 2026-08-20-0830 --from -10m --to +60m # 10-second points

Reactionbps from the last trade before 08:30 ET

SP500 · XYZ100 · GOLD · USD

USD = EURUSD inverted · a gap = no valid price: no trade after the release yet, or no reference trade in the 2 minutes before it · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
SP500index	+23.1	+3.5	+1.6	+0.3	−0.5	+0.7	−2.0	+1.2	+12.8	+13.2	−2.2at 14.9 s	226
XYZ100index	+28.1	+7.5	+1.0	−0.7	−4.8	−0.3	−4.1	+3.4	+21.9	+25.7	−7.2at 32.1 s	290
GOLDcommodity	+14.6	+9.9	+0.4	0.0	−0.9	−1.8	−11.7	+16.6	+34.8	+26.9	+3.1at 10.3 s	291
SILVERcommodity	+8.8	+5.9	+5.4	−2.4	−0.9	−5.7	−20.0	+38.1	+64.0	+92.5	+10.0at 12.0 s	455
CLcommodity	−39.0	−11.8	+2.4	+0.8	−0.9	−0.1	−7.0	−51.0	−102.2	−99.3	−2.1at 37.0 s	146
BRENTOILcommodity	−19.9	−9.6	−0.3	+2.7	−1.3	−2.3	−8.2	−45.3	−85.4	−73.9	+2.7at 4.6 s	111
COPPERcommodity	+11.8	+16.6	+6.1	—	—	−3.2	−7.2	−3.4	+8.9	+25.0	−3.2at 39.4 s	13
EURfx · up = dollar down	−3.4	+1.7	−2.6	—	—	−1.7	−6.0	−0.9	+1.7	−2.6	−1.7at 56.7 s	3
GBPfx · up = dollar down · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5
JPYfx · up = dollar up	0.0	−0.6	0.0	—	+1.3	+3.2	+7.6	−1.3	−1.9	−4.4	+4.4at 49.0 s	31
TLTetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
SMHetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0

reference = the last trade before the release, no older than 2 minutes; before-release columns show where the market already was relative to it · after the release, a point is the last trade up to that time and only trades after the release count; "—" = no such trade · EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar, so "up" means a weaker dollar for EUR and GBP and a stronger one for JPY · max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute and when it happened · at open = last trade at 09:30:00 ET

every proxy · −10 to +60 min

SP500

XYZ100

GOLD

SILVER

CL

BRENTOIL

COPPER

EUR

JPY

$ macro path 2026-08-20-0830 --to open # one point per minute

From the release to the opendid the first move hold?

08:30 → 09:35 ET · bps from the last trade before the release

USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

SP500: −2.0 bps 5 minutes after, +13.2 bps at the open · the 5-minute move was under 3 bps, too small to call

$ macro stocks 2026-08-20-0830 --sort abs-5m # 43 US stocks and ETFs on xyz · sortable

Every US stock and ETFbps from the last trade before the release

5 min after

10 up · 3 flat · 26 down of 39

sort by

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	fills 5m
KORUetf	−14.3	−20.4	−109.4	−3.1	+161.0	340
COINus equity	—	+15.4	−57.3	−56.7	+206.8	30
GEVus equity	—	−22.7	−55.5	+0.1	+13.5	8
MRNAus equity	+5.0	+59.1	+52.3	+270.2	−627.6	262
CRCLus equity	—	+3.6	−51.0	−53.2	+98.3	160
NBISus equity	+3.2	−2.3	−48.6	+19.5	+132.1	173
INTCus equity	−4.6	−10.6	−34.2	−5.3	+55.3	174
LITEus equity	−1.5	−11.9	−32.3	−3.3	+106.0	328
EWYetf	+0.6	−6.8	−31.9	−0.6	+55.2	232
MUus equity	+1.2	−7.5	−24.8	+26.5	+127.3	1,016
SOXLetf	−9.4	−25.6	−24.8	+92.2	+225.4	155
DELLus equity	—	−25.2	−24.7	+18.2	+133.7	16
ARMus equity	—	−0.8	−24.4	+21.2	+69.6	18
WDCus equity	—	−20.5	−23.1	−1.7	+132.9	78
AVGOus equity	—	—	−22.4	+22.6	+64.9	40
TSLAus equity	—	−5.8	−20.3	−15.3	+26.1	125
AMATus equity	—	−19.4	−19.2	+17.9	−19.6	13
CRWVus equity	—	+8.1	−15.1	+9.3	+101.9	98
BBus equity	—	—	+13.9	+25.5	+77.9	21
PLTRus equity	+0.6	+9.8	+11.5	+25.9	+113.3	287
BABAus equity	+4.1	+10.7	−10.7	+23.8	+100.2	142
HOODus equity	−0.7	+5.4	−10.1	+0.2	+210.5	87
ORCLus equity	0.0	+5.6	+9.8	+39.3	+171.4	17
MSTRus equity	+1.8	+37.9	+8.8	−12.3	−42.3	64
RKLBus equity	+1.3	+0.3	+8.8	+6.2	+49.7	199
MSFTus equity	—	+1.0	+8.1	+13.5	+6.8	176
GOOGLus equity	−0.3	−3.5	−7.3	+16.7	+21.9	35
SNDKus equity	+2.6	−9.7	−7.1	+33.8	+180.5	1,202
AAPLus equity	—	−5.7	−6.9	−54.4	−28.3	82
NFLXus equity	—	−6.3	−6.3	+5.7	−59.1	3
AMZNus equity	—	−1.9	−3.8	+10.6	+3.8	38
LLYus equity	+8.7	+7.1	−3.1	+25.2	+33.1	45
AMDus equity	−3.5	−3.0	−3.0	+16.0	+111.5	76
MRVLus equity	—	−4.8	+1.7	+65.3	+338.0	80
NVDAus equity	—	−4.1	+1.4	+17.1	+64.5	67
USARus equity	0.0	+4.5	+1.1	−38.7	−33.6	7
BEus equity	−1.0	+11.0	−0.5	+24.4	+127.7	55
METAus equity	+4.4	0.0	−0.2	+22.4	+47.7	104
ASMLus equity	—	−5.2	0.0	+24.1	+17.8	18
CRWDus equity	—	—	—	+20.4	+159.4	0
GMEus equity	—	—	—	−3.3	−3.3	0
HIMSus equity	—	—	—	−11.2	+89.1	0
URNMetf	—	—	—	+1.1	−13.1	0

every live US-equity and ETF market on xyz with a trade in the 2 minutes before the release · default order = largest 5-minute move either way · thin markets can show large moves on one or two fills; check the fill count · flat = under 1 bp

$ macro ls --type claims # earlier releases of the same type

Earlier Jobless claims5 minutes after · bps

date	SP500	XYZ100	GOLD	USD
2026-08-06	+1.3	+2.4	+18.5	—
2026-07-23	−5.5	−11.5	−3.7	—
2026-07-16	+0.8	+1.4	−3.0	—
2026-07-09	+2.9	+5.8	+22.1	—
2026-06-18	−0.3	−3.0	−3.8	—
2026-06-04	—	—	—	—
2026-05-21	—	—	—	—
2026-05-14	—	—	—	—
2026-05-07	—	—	—	—
2026-04-23	—	—	—	—
2026-04-16	—	—	—	—
2026-04-02	—	—	—	—

USD = EURUSD inverted · raw: /api/xyz/macro/event/2026-08-20-0830.json · definitions in methodology