~ / data / macro / 2026-08-12-0830

$ macro show 2026-08-12-0830 # Wed 12 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET · 2026-08-12 12:30 UTC · US session at release: extended

CPI (July)

CPI Released Wed 12 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET. The official numbers, then how Hyperliquid's xyz perps moved from the last trade before the release, through the hour before the NYSE opened, to the open.

$ macro numbers 2026-08-12-0830 # first print as published · revisions shown separately

Official numbersno consensus forecast is official, so none is shown

Consumer Price Index · 2026-07

CPI m/m: +0.1%; prior −0.4%
Core CPI m/m: +0.2%; prior 0.0%
CPI y/y: 3.4%; prior 3.5%
Core CPI y/y: 2.5%; prior 2.6%

source: CPIAUCSL, CPILFESL, CPIAUCNS, CPILFENS · release

$ macro path 2026-08-12-0830 --from -10m --to +60m # 10-second points

Reactionbps from the last trade before 08:30 ET

SP500 · XYZ100 · GOLD · USD

USD = EURUSD inverted · a gap = no valid price: no trade after the release yet, or no reference trade in the 2 minutes before it · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
SP500index	−13.5	−11.2	−4.9	+2.6	−12.1	−13.3	−4.3	+0.9	+3.0	+11.5	−19.5at 21.7 s	1,190
XYZ100index	−18.1	−17.8	−11.1	+0.7	−25.8	−23.8	−6.4	+3.0	+3.4	+26.2	−50.7at 13.3 s	2,059
GOLDcommodity	−26.9	−42.3	−21.7	+19.7	−57.6	−66.0	+3.6	+8.6	+24.9	−19.2	−104.9at 13.3 s	2,872
SILVERcommodity	−18.3	−62.1	−23.0	+35.2	−70.2	−82.4	+14.7	−0.6	+9.5	−84.8	−101.5at 8.9 s	3,335
CLcommodity	+2.9	−0.7	−1.6	−5.8	+7.0	+6.2	−2.9	−35.0	−82.0	−93.1	+19.6at 9.1 s	998
BRENTOILcommodity	+10.1	−0.1	−3.5	−11.9	+0.8	+1.8	−0.8	−29.9	−71.8	−73.1	−22.5at 2.5 s	366
COPPERcommodity	−5.3	−18.5	−8.3	+11.6	−21.5	−16.6	−5.3	+19.0	+19.7	−46.5	−35.6at 12.7 s	162
EURfx · up = dollar down	—	—	−1.7	+8.7	−7.8	−6.9	+5.2	+10.4	+11.3	+6.1	−9.5at 21.1 s	85
GBPfx · up = dollar down · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9
JPYfx · up = dollar up	+10.1	+7.6	+3.1	−4.4	+15.7	+10.7	+5.7	−6.3	−3.1	−3.8	+16.4at 21.7 s	116
TLTetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
SMHetf	—	—	−23.8	—	−35.6	−35.6	+18.6	+55.0	+54.5	+72.6	−40.9at 12.9 s	38

reference = the last trade before the release, no older than 2 minutes; before-release columns show where the market already was relative to it · after the release, a point is the last trade up to that time and only trades after the release count; "—" = no such trade · EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar, so "up" means a weaker dollar for EUR and GBP and a stronger one for JPY · max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute and when it happened · at open = last trade at 09:30:00 ET

every proxy · −10 to +60 min

SP500

XYZ100

GOLD

SILVER

CL

BRENTOIL

COPPER

EUR

JPY

SMH

$ macro path 2026-08-12-0830 --to open # one point per minute

From the release to the opendid the first move hold?

08:30 → 09:35 ET · bps from the last trade before the release

USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

SP500: −4.3 bps 5 minutes after, +11.5 bps at the open · the first move did not hold

$ macro stocks 2026-08-12-0830 --sort abs-5m # 47 US stocks and ETFs on xyz · sortable

Every US stock and ETFbps from the last trade before the release

5 min after

32 up · 2 flat · 13 down of 47

sort by

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	fills 5m
CRWVus equity	+8.4	−11.2	+192.1	+107.3	+119.4	275
BEus equity	+21.0	−126.7	+102.1	+133.0	+614.8	321
LITEus equity	+12.6	−40.0	+100.9	−79.1	+139.5	317
SOXLetf	+45.4	−101.4	+97.9	+149.6	+298.5	517
RKLBus equity	+40.6	−63.2	+91.3	+44.1	+73.6	152
SNDKus equity	+32.4	−43.0	+77.6	+53.5	+235.1	4,960
AMATus equity	+27.8	−33.9	+76.6	+130.6	+104.8	74
WDCus equity	+27.1	−36.4	+70.4	+34.2	+97.1	107
MRVLus equity	+23.1	−28.5	+68.9	+77.0	+236.6	503
KORUetf	+14.4	−124.1	+68.0	+108.7	+335.8	325
MUus equity	+20.0	−25.0	+66.8	+38.0	+188.7	4,644
ARMus equity	+15.3	−17.8	+51.3	+52.4	+185.2	53
HOODus equity	+13.2	−27.0	+50.4	+50.2	+116.4	245
NBISus equity	+2.2	−33.3	+50.2	+42.2	+60.0	656
AMDus equity	+24.8	−22.5	+48.9	+60.6	+160.9	308
ZMus equity	—	—	+44.6	+37.0	−19.9	1
BBus equity	+19.6	+16.7	+41.4	+62.8	+15.4	9
DELLus equity	+15.5	−44.2	+37.3	+46.6	+160.3	63
EWTetf	—	—	−32.9	0.0	+26.3	2
GEVus equity	—	+31.1	+32.1	+120.5	+206.1	3
EWYetf	+15.0	−26.6	+30.7	+41.6	+126.7	2,043
ORCLus equity	+17.4	−33.5	+30.1	+62.3	+245.8	124
AVGOus equity	—	−46.3	+25.7	+20.3	+69.0	25
INTCus equity	+20.3	−35.7	+25.4	+56.7	+246.8	689
AAPLus equity	+3.6	−14.8	−22.9	−33.8	−5.2	182
MSFTus equity	−0.8	−19.7	−21.7	−24.3	−40.2	337
QCOMus equity	+32.5	−41.6	+21.7	+37.4	+51.2	58
AMZNus equity	+7.7	−21.2	−18.6	−8.8	−12.1	302
SMHetf	—	−35.6	+18.6	+55.0	+72.6	38
GOOGLus equity	+4.6	−28.9	−16.2	−16.7	−4.6	298
ASMLus equity	+9.8	−29.0	+15.9	+33.9	+27.3	26
NFLXus equity	—	—	−15.3	−25.2	−28.1	17
TSMus equity	+5.3	−23.3	+15.1	+40.9	+57.9	71
NOKus equity	+7.7	−70.6	+13.5	−44.5	+20.3	34
CRCLus equity	+26.5	−79.5	−11.2	−64.7	−92.0	699
METAus equity	+6.0	−22.7	−10.0	−8.8	−23.4	1,101
NVDAus equity	+10.5	−17.3	+8.6	+35.9	+50.5	858
IBMus equity	—	−7.6	−7.6	−58.0	−46.6	1
LLYus equity	—	−3.3	+7.4	−13.2	−75.0	28
TSLAus equity	+6.6	−12.3	+6.6	+5.4	+29.9	361
STRCus equity	+5.9	+5.9	+5.9	+5.9	−0.1	11
XLEetf	—	—	−5.9	+3.8	−27.3	2
BABAus equity	+16.7	−10.3	−5.6	−20.6	−28.6	87
EWJetf	+13.2	−14.2	−3.1	+0.2	+40.0	19
PLTRus equity	+21.5	−7.6	−2.3	+33.7	+95.3	80
MSTRus equity	+14.2	−52.2	−0.2	−56.0	−105.4	209
COINus equity	+23.2	−31.8	0.0	−29.2	−20.6	174

every live US-equity and ETF market on xyz with a trade in the 2 minutes before the release · default order = largest 5-minute move either way · thin markets can show large moves on one or two fills; check the fill count · flat = under 1 bp

$ macro ls --type cpi # earlier releases of the same type

Earlier CPI5 minutes after · bps

date	SP500	XYZ100	GOLD	USD
2026-07-14	+42.7	+68.8	+165.3	—
2026-06-10	—	—	—	—
2026-05-12	—	—	—	—
2026-04-10	—	—	—	—
2026-03-11	—	—	—	—
2026-02-13	—	—	—	—
2026-01-13	—	—	—	—

USD = EURUSD inverted · raw: /api/xyz/macro/event/2026-08-12-0830.json · definitions in methodology