Pre-market 2026-10-12: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's xyz deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-09 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-12, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
markets with data
71
30 up · 41 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.61%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
80%
of 56 · both |moves| ≥ 0.10%
04:00 call agreed
53%
of 53 · both |moves| ≥ 0.10%
71 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KORUus etf | us etf | -4.25%✓ | -7.42%✓ | +2.58% / -7.63% | -8.29% | 09:00 95% of 4004:00 93% of 42 | $7.5M | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | +9.01%✓ | +3.72%✓ | +9.41% / -0.33% | +1.69% | 09:00 79% of 2904:00 83% of 30 | $4.7M | |
| SOXLus etf | us etf | -0.42%✓ | -3.31%✓ | +2.38% / -4.08% | -6.02% | 09:00 95% of 3904:00 95% of 39 | $20.4M | |
| NBISus equity | us equity | +0.48%✗ | -2.58%✓ | +1.88% / -3.52% | -3.77% | 09:00 84% of 6904:00 78% of 68 | $8.5M | |
| NOWus equity | us equity | +1.05%✓ | +2.51%✓ · 14m old | +3.12% / -0.48% | +3.79% | 09:00 85% of 6204:00 79% of 57 | $279k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +0.05%· | -2.48%✓ | +2.50% / -3.20% | -4.95% | 09:00 94% of 3204:00 91% of 32 | $1.3M | |
| EWYus etf | us etf | -1.32%✓ | -2.44%✓ | +0.89% / -2.48% | -2.78% | 09:00 94% of 7204:00 90% of 71 | $17.1M | |
| CRWVus equity | us equity | +0.69%✗ | -2.39%✓ | +1.47% / -2.52% | -2.45% | 09:00 80% of 7004:00 75% of 72 | $2.5M | |
| MUus equity | us equity | -0.97%✓ | -2.25%✓ | +1.31% / -2.65% | -3.92% | 09:00 89% of 7304:00 83% of 72 | $39.3M | |
| SNDKus equity | us equity | -1.21%✓ | -1.90%✓ | +2.31% / -2.75% | -3.63% | 09:00 90% of 7304:00 85% of 72 | $105.5M | |
| BEus equity | us equity | -0.49%✓ | -1.83%✓ · 8m old | +0.96% / -2.50% | -2.70% | 09:00 84% of 6904:00 84% of 70 | $1.2M | |
| METAus equity | us equity | +0.86%✓ | +1.64%✓ | +2.05% / -0.18% | +2.96% | 09:00 85% of 7104:00 74% of 65 | $16.6M | |
| INTCus equity | us equity | -0.17%✓ | -1.62%✓ | +1.27% / -2.15% | -2.53% | 09:00 93% of 7004:00 83% of 66 | $16.6M | |
| NFLXus equity | us equity | +0.56%✓ | +1.60%✓ | +1.90% / -0.14% | +1.35% | 09:00 83% of 6304:00 72% of 54 | $1.1M | |
| WDCus equity | us equity | -0.82%✓ | -1.58%✓ | +0.57% / -2.07% | -2.33% | 09:00 88% of 6904:00 82% of 68 | $828k | |
| ARMus equity | us equity | -0.31%✓ | -1.51%✓ | +1.19% / -1.97% | -2.65% | 09:00 89% of 7104:00 80% of 71 | $1.6M | |
| MRVLus equity | us equity | -0.63%✓ | -1.42%✓ | +0.99% / -2.09% | -0.87% | 09:00 90% of 6904:00 87% of 70 | $5.7M | |
| CVXus equity | us equity | +0.02% · 1h38m old | +1.34%✓ · 11m old | +1.35% / -1.27% | +1.37% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) | $16k | |
| BMNRus equity | us equity | +3.91%· | +1.33%· | +4.27% / -0.06% | +0.02% | 09:00 73% of 2204:00 77% of 22 | $647k | |
| SPCXus equity | us equity | +1.08%✓ | +1.32%✓ | +1.62% / -0.10% | +0.42% | 09:00 83% of 7104:00 70% of 70 | $30.6M | |
| BABAus equity | us equity | -0.91%✓ | -1.22%✓ | +0.97% / -1.31% | -1.16% | 09:00 96% of 7304:00 88% of 72 | $1.8M | |
| GMEus equity | us equity | -0.15%✓ | -1.15%✓ | +0.57% / -2.75% | -2.18% | 09:00 83% of 4704:00 62% of 50 | $2.8M | |
| AMATus equity | us equity | +0.24%✗ | -1.03%✓ | +0.93% / -1.25% | -2.00% | 09:00 92% of 6304:00 90% of 61 | $913k | |
| XLEus etf | us etf | -0.05%· · 15m old | +0.97%✓ | +1.22% / -0.42% | +1.46% | 09:00 96% of 5704:00 74% of 50 | $272k | |
| AMDus equity | us equity | +0.14%✗ | -0.93%✓ | +1.15% / -1.37% | -2.06% | 09:00 90% of 6804:00 87% of 70 | $7.2M | |
| DKNGus equity | us equity | +0.24% · 1h44m old | -0.91%✓ | +0.62% / -1.21% | -1.09% | 09:00 71% of 4204:00 45% of 31 | $118k | |
| EWTus etf | us etf | +0.99%✓ · 21m old | +0.89%✓ · 6m old | +1.26% / -0.16% | +0.83% | 09:00 96% of 5704:00 92% of 51 | $132k | |
| EBAYus equity | us equity | +1.41%✓ · 15m old | +0.87% · 1h52m old | +2.11% / -0.13% | +2.36% | 09:00 63% of 4304:00 56% of 34 | $86k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +0.36%✗ | -0.83%✓ | +1.13% / -0.93% | -0.58% | 09:00 91% of 6704:00 84% of 67 | $2.5M | |
| IBMus equity | us equity | +0.52%· · 19m old | +0.78%· | +1.06% / -0.21% | +0.09% | 09:00 94% of 6504:00 76% of 54 | $250k | |
| RIVNus equity | us equity | +0.19% · 1h58m old | -0.70%✓ | +1.29% / -1.09% | -0.87% | 09:00 92% of 5304:00 70% of 47 | $293k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +0.97%✗ · 6m old | +0.70%✗ | +1.53% / -0.17% | -0.15% | 09:00 74% of 2704:00 68% of 19 | $859k | |
| LLYus equity | us equity | +0.10% · 34m old | +0.68%· | +1.14% / -0.51% | +0.09% | 09:00 85% of 5904:00 75% of 48 | $480k | |
| USARus equity | us equity | +0.34%✗ · 22m old | -0.65%✓ · 12m old | +1.27% / -1.37% | -2.83% | 09:00 85% of 6704:00 69% of 65 | $308k | |
| SMHus etf | us etf | +0.13%✗ | -0.64% · 40m old | +0.63% / -0.83% | -1.42% | 09:00 96% of 6704:00 94% of 64 | $364k | |
| MAGSus etf | us etf | +0.57%✓ · 21m old | +0.61% · 3h37m old | +0.62% / -0.29% | +0.65% | 09:00 94% of 1804:00 n=14 (<15) | $26k | |
| GEVus equity | us equity | +0.48% · 2h30m old | -0.57% · 33m old | +1.07% / -0.57% | -1.10% | 09:00 84% of 2504:00 76% of 17 | $32k | |
| BBus equity | us equity | +0.62%✗ | -0.54%✓ | +0.71% / -1.96% | -1.68% | 09:00 80% of 6604:00 74% of 69 | $1.9M | |
| XBIus etf | us etf | +0.47% · 1h22m old | +0.54%✗ | +0.67% / -0.60% | -0.64% | 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) | $29k | |
| ASMLus equity | us equity | +1.37%✗ · 8m old | +0.54%✗ | +1.45% / -0.04% | -0.34% | 09:00 94% of 6804:00 86% of 70 | $879k | |
| ZMus equity | us equity | +0.41% · 1h41m old | +0.50%✓ | +0.82% / -0.95% | +2.10% | 09:00 91% of 5304:00 52% of 40 | $292k | |
| LITEus equity | us equity | +1.14%✗ · 16m old | -0.49%✓ | +1.69% / -2.80% | -2.56% | 09:00 90% of 6804:00 86% of 70 | $8.7M | |
| AAPLus equity | us equity | +0.38%✓ | +0.48%✓ | +0.60% / -0.24% | +1.34% | 09:00 87% of 5404:00 74% of 47 | $8.2M | |
| MSFTus equity | us equity | +0.41%✓ | +0.47%✓ | +0.89% / -0.20% | +0.76% | 09:00 90% of 6804:00 69% of 62 | $13.9M | |
| BXus equity | us equity | +0.66%✓ · 21m old | +0.45%✓ | +0.92% / -0.05% | +0.28% | 09:00 83% of 5204:00 64% of 42 | $102k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | +0.71%· | +0.44% · 1h56m old | +0.99% / -0.46% | +0.06% | 09:00 78% of 2304:00 n=13 (<15) | $52k | |
| QCOMus equity | us equity | +0.44%✗ · 7m old | -0.43%✓ | +1.12% / -0.63% | -0.86% | 09:00 85% of 6204:00 87% of 63 | $1.0M | |
| RKLBus equity | us equity | +0.42%✗ | -0.42%✓ | +1.29% / -0.88% | -1.33% | 09:00 90% of 7204:00 80% of 71 | $1.3M | |
| BIRDus equity | us equity | +0.92%✗ | +0.42% · 3h09m old | +2.22% / -0.83% | -1.47% | 09:00 76% of 4504:00 57% of 40 | $26k | |
| DELLus equity | us equity | -0.50%✓ | -0.41%✓ | +0.59% / -1.37% | -1.61% | 09:00 88% of 7204:00 84% of 68 | $1.5M | |
| ORCLus equity | us equity | +0.53%✗ | -0.40%✓ | +0.92% / -0.64% | -0.47% | 09:00 90% of 6704:00 79% of 66 | $2.4M | |
| NVDAus equity | us equity | +0.16%✗ | -0.37%✓ | +0.95% / -0.63% | -0.40% | 09:00 93% of 6904:00 79% of 68 | $47.1M | |
| NOKus equity | us equity | +0.39%✗ | -0.35%✓ · 14m old | +2.08% / -0.85% | -1.43% | 09:00 96% of 6804:00 82% of 68 | $505k | |
| URNMus etf | us etf | +0.09%· · 28m old | -0.34%✓ · 28m old | +1.79% / -0.54% | -1.36% | 09:00 95% of 5504:00 87% of 46 | $201k | |
| EWZus etf | us etf | +1.23%✓ | +0.24%✓ | +2.11% / -0.83% | +0.41% | 09:00 88% of 5804:00 61% of 36 | $569k | |
| MSTRus equity | us equity | +2.52%✗ | +0.21%✗ | +3.05% / -0.49% | -0.93% | 09:00 85% of 7104:00 77% of 70 | $7.4M | |
| PLTRus equity | us equity | +0.05%· | -0.20%✓ | +0.92% / -1.11% | -0.33% | 09:00 84% of 7004:00 69% of 67 | $6.4M | |
| AMZNus equity | us equity | +0.54%✓ | -0.18%✗ | +0.80% / -0.45% | +0.35% | 09:00 87% of 6704:00 76% of 59 | $9.1M | |
| HIMSus equity | us equity | +0.12%✓ · 18m old | -0.17%✗ | +2.48% / -1.09% | +1.23% | 09:00 84% of 6304:00 75% of 55 | $1.3M | |
| GOOGLus equity | us equity | +0.48%✓ | -0.17%✗ | +0.66% / -0.57% | +0.17% | 09:00 94% of 6604:00 76% of 62 | $26.8M | |
| TSMus equity | us equity | +0.85%✗ | +0.17%✗ | +1.63% / -0.27% | -0.43% | 09:00 92% of 6604:00 91% of 69 | $1.2M | |
| MRNAus equity | us equity | +1.44%✗ | +0.17%✗ | +4.17% / -1.25% | -1.40% | 09:00 65% of 2604:00 70% of 27 | $8.5M | |
| COSTus equity | us equity | +0.20% · 1h05m old | +0.16% · 58m old | +0.35% / -0.38% | +0.36% | 09:00 89% of 3504:00 83% of 30 | $50k | |
| HOODus equity | us equity | +1.60%✗ | +0.12%✗ | +1.83% / -0.53% | -0.85% | 09:00 82% of 6604:00 75% of 68 | $3.8M | |
| COINus equity | us equity | +2.28%✗ | +0.11%✗ | +2.77% / -0.31% | -0.72% | 09:00 93% of 6904:00 73% of 64 | $4.2M | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | -0.48%✗ | +0.10%✓ · 16m old | +3.35% / -0.70% | +0.57% | 09:00 88% of 2604:00 33% of 15 | $448k | |
| EWJus etf | us etf | +0.11%· · 16m old | -0.07% · 1h41m old | +0.42% / -0.28% | -0.08% | 09:00 100% of 5604:00 83% of 58 | $335k | |
| STRCus equity | us equity | -0.13%· · 8m old | -0.06%· | +0.03% / -0.65% | +0.06% | 09:00 87% of 4604:00 83% of 41 | $202k | |
| TLTus etf | us etf | +0.01%· · 21m old | -0.03%· | +0.96% / -0.50% | -0.13% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) | $765k | |
| TSLAus equity | us equity | +0.30%✗ | -0.03%· | +0.71% / -0.83% | -0.53% | 09:00 93% of 6904:00 85% of 65 | $8.9M | |
| CRCLus equity | us equity | +2.73%✗ | -0.03%· | +3.04% / -0.73% | -2.13% | 09:00 89% of 7104:00 77% of 71 | $31.9M |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-12
04:00 call · one dot per market (71 of 71) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
09:00 call · one dot per market (71 of 71) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-12.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.