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Pre-market 2026-09-01: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-31 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-01, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-01 09:00 ET window overnight · Mon 31 Aug 16:00 → Tue 1 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
14 of 21
1 up · 13 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.67%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
AAOIus equity us equity -1.17%✓ -4.40%✓ · 7m old +0.09% / -4.41% -3.42% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $97k
IRENus equity us equity +0.19% · 1h07m old -3.41%✓ · 21m old +0.30% / -3.74% -2.98% 09:00 80% of 1504:00 n=9 (<15) $36k
COHRus equity us equity +0.23%✗ · 6m old -2.53%✓ +0.64% / -3.12% -2.88% 09:00 81% of 1604:00 n=7 (<15) $12k
GLWus equity us equity -0.55%✓ · 20m old -2.49% · 3h53m old -0.04% / -2.49% -2.94% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $35k
CRDOus equity us equity +0.24%✗ -1.83% · 1h05m old +1.36% / -2.49% -2.86% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $5k
STXus equity us equity +0.04% · 6h29m old -1.76% · 2h03m old +0.45% / -2.10% -1.54% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $2k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.11% · 2h26m old -1.76%✓ · 26m old +0.16% / -2.50% -2.54% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $19k
SMCIus equity us equity +0.35% · 1h24m old -1.57% · 3h17m old +0.68% / -2.05% -2.63% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $29k
NETus equity us equity -0.51% · 3h56m old -1.35% · 52m old -0.03% / -2.24% -0.60% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $6k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.11% · 2h16m old -0.93% · 4h43m old +0.27% / -1.81% -1.64% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $13k
VSTus equity us equity +0.84% · 1h05m old -0.86% · 38m old +1.13% / -1.21% -0.28% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $216k
CRWDus equity us equity -0.76% · 5h19m old -0.76% · 10h19m old -0.29% / -2.56% -0.38% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $3k
TERus equity us equity — -0.66% · 4h36m old -0.11% / -2.75% -2.54% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $3k
LRCXus equity us equity +0.23% · 7h38m old +0.08% · 7h59m old +0.23% / -2.62% -1.97% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $20k
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — -1.35% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — -1.04% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $101
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-01

04:00 call · one dot per market (13 of 13) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-4%-4%-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%+4%+4%AAOI · chain -1.17% · gap -3.42%AVGO · chain +0.11% · gap -1.64%COHR · chain +0.23% · gap -2.88%CRDO · chain +0.24% · gap -2.86%CRWD · chain -0.76% · gap -0.38%GLW · chain -0.55% · gap -2.94%IREN · chain +0.19% · gap -2.98%LRCX · chain +0.23% · gap -1.97%NET · chain -0.51% · gap -0.60%RDDT · chain -0.11% · gap -2.54%SMCI · chain +0.35% · gap -2.63%STX · chain +0.04% · gap -1.54%VST · chain +0.84% · gap -0.28%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-01.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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