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Pre-market 2026-07-23: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-07-22 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-07-23, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-07-23 09:00 ET window overnight · Wed 22 Jul 16:00 → Thu 23 Jul 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
5 of 21
1 up · 4 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.79%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=0 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
LRCXus equity us equity -0.42% · 53m old -1.99%✓ · 19m old +1.17% / -2.68% -1.20% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $68k
AVGOus equity us equity -0.04% · 1h18m old -1.33%✓ · 14m old +1.93% / -1.76% -1.44% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $70k
COHRus equity us equity +1.59% · 3h42m old -0.79%✓ · 11m old +2.49% / -1.52% -0.52% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $43k
CRDOus equity us equity +1.81% · 3h19m old -0.56%✗ · 28m old +3.05% / -2.23% +0.14% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $80k
GLWus equity us equity +1.89% · 2h15m old +0.41% · 43m old +3.03% / -1.06% -0.49% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $137k
AAOIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IRENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
RDDTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
STXus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $68k
TERus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
VSTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-07-23

04:00 call · one dot per market (5 of 5) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-2%-2%-1.5%-1.5%-1%-1%-0.5%-0.5%00+0.5%+0.5%+1%+1%+1.5%+1.5%+2%+2%AVGO · chain -0.04% · gap -1.44%COHR · chain +1.59% · gap -0.52%CRDO · chain +1.81% · gap +0.14%GLW · chain +1.89% · gap -0.49%LRCX · chain -0.42% · gap -1.20%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-07-23.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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