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Pre-market 2026-08-28: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-27 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-28, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-28 09:00 ET window overnight · Thu 27 Aug 16:00 → Fri 28 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
16 of 21
5 up · 11 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.12%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=3 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
IRENus equity us equity -8.25%✓ · 11m old -5.71%✓ · 12m old +2.61% / -9.69% -7.50% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $342k
CIENus equity us equity -2.92% · 7h13m old -2.92% · 12h13m old -2.58% / -2.92% -0.23% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $3k
AAOIus equity us equity -3.19% · 34m old -2.73%✓ · 25m old -0.74% / -4.31% -3.83% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $14k
CRDOus equity us equity -1.34%✓ · 18m old -2.04% · 2h53m old +0.17% / -2.09% -1.19% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $35k
STXus equity us equity -1.94% · 35m old -1.67% · 4h51m old -0.21% / -1.94% -1.44% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $749
SMCIus equity us equity -0.80% · 4h38m old -1.54% · 4h37m old -0.22% / -1.54% -0.95% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $7k
COHRus equity us equity -2.24% · 1h01m old -1.32%✓ · 6m old +0.35% / -2.65% -1.82% 09:00 80% of 1504:00 n=7 (<15) $76k
TERus equity us equity +2.37% · 2h47m old +1.31% · 2h10m old +2.54% / +1.20% +0.01% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $344
NETus equity us equity +0.46% · 5h04m old +0.94% · 36m old +2.22% / -2.57% -0.67% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $8k
AVGOus equity us equity +1.29% · 5h37m old +0.78%✓ · 24m old +1.59% / +0.43% +0.94% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $3k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.12%✓ -0.59% · 39m old +0.89% / -0.59% -0.78% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $44k
CRWDus equity us equity -0.14% · 7h36m old -0.45% · 1h21m old +0.30% / -0.66% -0.65% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $25k
VSTus equity us equity +0.19% · 2h11m old +0.38% · 2h49m old +1.24% / -0.80% +0.47% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $96k
MELIus equity us equity +0.29% · 10h50m old +0.29% · 15h50m old +0.29% / +0.29% +1.44% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $19
LRCXus equity us equity +1.43% · 2h59m old -0.14% · 4h52m old +1.58% / -0.14% -0.26% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $2k
GLWus equity us equity +0.80% · 7h59m old -0.02% · 1h58m old +0.80% / -0.32% -1.13% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $593
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-28

04:00 call · one dot per market (16 of 16) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%AAOI · chain -3.19% · gap -3.83%AVGO · chain +1.29% · gap +0.94%CIEN · chain -2.92% · gap -0.23%COHR · chain -2.24% · gap -1.82%CRDO · chain -1.34% · gap -1.19%CRWD · chain -0.14% · gap -0.65%GLW · chain +0.80% · gap -1.13%IREN · chain -8.25% · gap -7.50%LRCX · chain +1.43% · gap -0.26%MELI · chain +0.29% · gap +1.44%NET · chain +0.46% · gap -0.67%RDDT · chain -0.12% · gap -0.78%SMCI · chain -0.80% · gap -0.95%STX · chain -1.94% · gap -1.44%TER · chain +2.37% · gap +0.01%VST · chain +0.19% · gap +0.47%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-28.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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