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Pre-market 2026-09-04: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-03 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-04, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-04 09:00 ET window overnight · Thu 3 Sep 16:00 → Fri 4 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
19 of 21
8 up · 11 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.71%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=11 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
LRCXus equity us equity +3.27% · 36m old +3.96% · 4h24m old +5.63% / +1.95% +2.59% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $9k
CIENus equity us equity +1.66% · 2h58m old -3.29%✗ · 27m old +3.74% / -3.29% +0.86% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $26k
NETus equity us equity +2.40%✗ · 20m old +2.56% · 1h24m old +3.56% / +1.08% -1.03% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $44k
TERus equity us equity +1.63% · 1h58m old +2.45% · 1h54m old +2.45% / -0.52% +1.40% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $3k
COHRus equity us equity +1.62% · 51m old +2.32%✓ · 16m old +3.93% / +0.05% +0.22% 09:00 82% of 1704:00 n=8 (<15) $104k
STXus equity us equity +1.73%✓ · 27m old +1.52%✓ +2.96% / -0.51% +1.72% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $6k
SMCIus equity us equity -0.60% · 8h08m old +1.36% · 1h43m old +1.46% / -1.24% +0.29% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $18k
CRDOus equity us equity +0.74%✗ -0.93%✓ · 10m old +1.85% / -2.10% -1.83% 09:00 87% of 1504:00 n=7 (<15) $829k
GLWus equity us equity +1.20% · 2h59m old +0.88%✓ · 10m old +2.84% / -0.21% +1.20% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $4k
MELIus equity us equity -0.17% · 9h27m old -0.71% · 14h26m old +6.48% / -7.61% +0.04% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $278
IGVus etf us etf +0.02% · 5h48m old -0.56%✓ · 30m old +8.91% / -1.07% -0.94% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $3k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.27% · 2h21m old +0.54%✗ · 30m old +4.84% / -4.87% -0.46% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $154k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.33%✗ · 11m old -0.49%✓ · 22m old +0.88% / -0.49% -0.50% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $30k
VSTus equity us equity +0.60% · 1h05m old -0.44%· · 11m old +1.80% / -0.45% -0.02% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $35k
AAOIus equity us equity +2.15% · 2h55m old -0.32%✗ · 28m old +4.21% / -0.32% +0.38% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $17k
SOFIus equity us equity +0.25% · 3h41m old -0.24% · 7h19m old +2.02% / -1.60% -1.43% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $6k
CRWDus equity us equity +1.01%✗ · 16m old -0.15%✓ +1.71% / -0.41% -0.93% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $44k
IRENus equity us equity +0.65% · 1h08m old -0.11%✗ · 28m old +1.81% / -1.66% +0.19% 09:00 82% of 1704:00 n=9 (<15) $22k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.84% · 1h37m old -0.05%· · 22m old +3.02% / -0.44% -0.62% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $158k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-04

04:00 call · one dot per market (19 of 19) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-4%-4%-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%+4%+4%AAOI · chain +2.15% · gap +0.38%AVGO · chain +0.84% · gap -0.62%CIEN · chain +1.66% · gap +0.86%COHR · chain +1.62% · gap +0.22%CRDO · chain +0.74% · gap -1.83%CRWD · chain +1.01% · gap -0.93%GLW · chain +1.20% · gap +1.20%IREN · chain +0.65% · gap +0.19%LRCX · chain +3.27% · gap +2.59%MELI · chain -0.17% · gap +0.04%NET · chain +2.40% · gap -1.03%RDDT · chain +0.33% · gap -0.50%SMCI · chain -0.60% · gap +0.29%SOFI · chain +0.25% · gap -1.43%STX · chain +1.73% · gap +1.72%TER · chain +1.63% · gap +1.40%TTWO · chain +0.27% · gap -0.46%VST · chain +0.60% · gap -0.02%IGV · chain +0.02% · gap -0.94%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-04.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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