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Pre-market 2026-09-09: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-08 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-09, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-09 09:00 ET window overnight · Tue 8 Sep 16:00 → Wed 9 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
17 of 21
4 up · 13 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.86%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=0 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
NETus equity us equity +1.57% · 2h51m old +3.53% · 52m old +4.02% / -0.39% +3.44% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $16k
AAOIus equity us equity +1.19% · 1h36m old -2.80% · 1h59m old +1.19% / -3.29% +1.09% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $4k
CIENus equity us equity -1.09% · 10h20m old -2.74% · 36m old -1.09% / -3.04% +1.99% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $7k
IRENus equity us equity +0.41% · 53m old -2.43% · 2h44m old +0.50% / -2.43% +0.01% 09:00 79% of 1904:00 n=9 (<15) $13k
VSTus equity us equity +0.60% · 40m old -1.47% · 54m old +0.99% / -1.91% -0.63% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $275k
LRCXus equity us equity +0.80% · 1h47m old -1.45%✗ +1.60% / -1.45% +0.10% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $283k
CRDOus equity us equity +1.09% · 34m old -1.34%✓ +1.86% / -1.52% -0.77% 09:00 88% of 1704:00 n=9 (<15) $384k
COHRus equity us equity -0.51% · 2h17m old -1.07%✗ +0.32% / -1.60% +1.40% 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=8 (<15) $21k
STXus equity us equity +0.10% · 37m old -0.86% · 1h10m old +1.01% / -1.33% -0.95% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) $19k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.78% · 39m old +0.78% · 5h39m old +1.16% / -0.04% -0.89% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $13k
TERus equity us equity +0.12% · 2h26m old -0.58% · 2h55m old +0.40% / -1.83% +0.81% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $7k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.43% · 56m old -0.53% · 1h04m old +0.55% / -1.15% -0.48% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $309k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.52% · 3h22m old +0.52% · 8h22m old +0.64% / -0.34% -0.66% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $16k
SMCIus equity us equity -0.49% · 5h13m old -0.49% · 10h13m old -0.49% / -1.43% -1.27% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $8k
GLWus equity us equity +0.90% · 2h00m old -0.38%✗ · 17m old +1.69% / -1.00% +2.47% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $14k
CRWDus equity us equity -0.51% · 1h01m old -0.18%✗ +0.68% / -0.51% +0.25% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $33k
IGVus etf us etf +0.02% · 11h49m old +0.02% · 16h49m old +0.67% / +0.02% +0.09% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $158
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — -0.82% / -0.82% -2.38% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $42
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — +0.22% / +0.22% -0.39% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $450

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-09

04:00 call · one dot per market (17 of 17) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-4%-4%-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%+4%+4%AAOI · chain +1.19% · gap +1.09%AVGO · chain +0.43% · gap -0.48%CIEN · chain -1.09% · gap +1.99%COHR · chain -0.51% · gap +1.40%CRDO · chain +1.09% · gap -0.77%CRWD · chain -0.51% · gap +0.25%GLW · chain +0.90% · gap +2.47%IREN · chain +0.41% · gap +0.01%LRCX · chain +0.80% · gap +0.10%NET · chain +1.57% · gap +3.44%RDDT · chain +0.78% · gap -0.89%SMCI · chain -0.49% · gap -1.27%STX · chain +0.10% · gap -0.95%TER · chain +0.12% · gap +0.81%TTWO · chain +0.52% · gap -0.66%VST · chain +0.60% · gap -0.63%IGV · chain +0.02% · gap +0.09%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-09.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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