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Pre-market 2026-09-10: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-09 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-10, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-10 09:00 ET window overnight · Wed 9 Sep 16:00 → Thu 10 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
18 of 21
1 up · 17 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
2.79%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
100%
of 15 · both |moves| ≥ 0.10%
04:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
CIENus equity us equity -0.34% · 1h18m old -4.80%✓ -0.34% / -9.35% -1.31% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $19k
AAOIus equity us equity -2.33% · 5h31m old -4.46%✓ -0.18% / -7.20% -2.78% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $74k
COHRus equity us equity -1.63% · 5h21m old -3.95%✓ +0.02% / -4.10% -2.38% 09:00 80% of 2004:00 n=8 (<15) $48k
CRDOus equity us equity -0.62%✓ -3.92%✓ +0.36% / -3.92% -2.69% 09:00 89% of 1804:00 n=9 (<15) $419k
IRENus equity us equity -0.50%✓ · 15m old -3.81%✓ +0.71% / -4.16% -2.67% 09:00 79% of 1904:00 n=9 (<15) $23k
GLWus equity us equity -0.42% · 3h11m old -3.68%✓ · 17m old +0.04% / -3.68% -2.47% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $22k
LRCXus equity us equity -0.37% · 3h11m old -3.37%✓ +0.40% / -3.87% -4.11% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $27k
STXus equity us equity +0.16% · 2h13m old -3.10%✓ +0.50% / -3.52% -3.36% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) $15k
TERus equity us equity +1.05% · 1h20m old -2.90%✓ · 25m old +1.10% / -3.36% -3.33% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $67k
SMCIus equity us equity — -2.68%✓ · 20m old -1.21% / -3.70% -2.43% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $16k
VSTus equity us equity -0.12%✓ · 6m old -1.94%✓ +0.45% / -2.01% -0.78% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $145k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.10%✗ -1.90%✓ +0.47% / -1.99% -1.08% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $29k
SOFIus equity us equity — -1.83%✓ +2.81% / -2.52% -1.87% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $3k
NETus equity us equity -0.42%✓ -1.81%✓ · 15m old +0.95% / -1.88% -1.11% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $18k
AVGOus equity us equity -0.15% · 1h39m old -1.41%✓ · 17m old +0.41% / -1.58% -1.04% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $17k
TTWOus equity us equity -0.41% · 1h12m old -0.85% · 1h19m old +0.28% / -1.20% -0.54% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $11k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.57% · 1h52m old +0.57%· · 19m old +1.45% / -0.30% -0.05% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $6k
IGVus etf us etf +0.05% · 2h08m old -0.32% · 1h11m old +0.05% / -0.87% -0.66% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $242
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — +0.31% / +0.31% -1.36% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $11
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-10

04:00 call · one dot per market (16 of 16) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%AAOI · chain -2.33% · gap -2.78%AVGO · chain -0.15% · gap -1.04%CIEN · chain -0.34% · gap -1.31%COHR · chain -1.63% · gap -2.38%CRDO · chain -0.62% · gap -2.69%CRWD · chain +0.10% · gap -1.08%GLW · chain -0.42% · gap -2.47%IREN · chain -0.50% · gap -2.67%LRCX · chain -0.37% · gap -4.11%NET · chain -0.42% · gap -1.11%RDDT · chain +0.57% · gap -0.05%STX · chain +0.16% · gap -3.36%TER · chain +1.05% · gap -3.33%TTWO · chain -0.41% · gap -0.54%VST · chain -0.12% · gap -0.78%IGV · chain +0.05% · gap -0.66%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-10.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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