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Pre-market 2026-09-11: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-10 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-11, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-11 09:00 ET window overnight · Thu 10 Sep 16:00 → Fri 11 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
17 of 21
13 up · 4 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.87%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=10 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
COHRus equity us equity +0.21% · 37m old +2.84%✓ · 7m old +3.75% / -1.77% +4.89% 09:00 81% of 2104:00 n=8 (<15) $383k
IRENus equity us equity +0.19%✓ +2.76%✓ +3.66% / -1.77% +0.19% 09:00 80% of 2004:00 n=10 (<15) $32k
CIENus equity us equity — -2.45% · 7h58m old -0.62% / -2.45% +2.38% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $653
SOFIus equity us equity +1.51% · 3h32m old +1.80%✓ · 29m old +5.50% / +0.74% +1.07% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $1k
AAOIus equity us equity -1.35% · 2h19m old +1.57%✓ +1.79% / -2.45% +3.75% 09:00 87% of 1504:00 n=7 (<15) $108k
CRDOus equity us equity +0.04% · 53m old +1.36%· · 7m old +1.71% / -1.83% -0.08% 09:00 89% of 1904:00 n=10 (<15) $156k
TERus equity us equity -1.11% · 2h21m old -1.11% · 7h21m old -1.02% / -1.56% +2.59% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $2k
VSTus equity us equity -0.18%✓ · 7m old +1.06%✗ +1.29% / -1.14% -0.20% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $221k
AVGOus equity us equity -0.15% · 1h10m old +0.87%✓ · 8m old +0.88% / -1.05% +0.43% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $16k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.43%✗ · 19m old +0.75%✓ · 8m old +1.00% / -0.90% +1.03% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $26k
GLWus equity us equity -0.94%✗ · 15m old +0.65%✓ · 15m old +0.93% / -2.73% +1.62% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $11k
STXus equity us equity +0.51% · 38m old +0.56%✗ · 9m old +1.24% / -1.35% -0.68% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) $11k
TTWOus equity us equity — +0.41% · 1h17m old +0.41% / -0.46% +0.82% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $2k
IGVus etf us etf +0.22% · 6h14m old -0.37% · 2h34m old +5.47% / -0.40% +0.63% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $438
NETus equity us equity -1.65% · 4h24m old -0.28% · 1h50m old +0.89% / -1.65% -0.23% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $17k
CRWDus equity us equity +1.55%✗ · 18m old +0.27%✗ · 16m old +1.71% / -0.39% -0.52% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $24k
LRCXus equity us equity -1.31% · 2h59m old +0.14% · 1h15m old +1.47% / -2.10% +0.28% 09:00 80% of 1504:00 n=5 (<15) $15k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $1k
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — +0.80% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — -1.28% / -1.28% -0.63% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $20
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-11

04:00 call · one dot per market (15 of 15) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%AAOI · chain -1.35% · gap +3.75%AVGO · chain -0.15% · gap +0.43%COHR · chain +0.21% · gap +4.89%CRDO · chain +0.04% · gap -0.08%CRWD · chain +1.55% · gap -0.52%GLW · chain -0.94% · gap +1.62%IREN · chain +0.19% · gap +0.19%LRCX · chain -1.31% · gap +0.28%NET · chain -1.65% · gap -0.23%RDDT · chain -0.43% · gap +1.03%SOFI · chain +1.51% · gap +1.07%STX · chain +0.51% · gap -0.68%TER · chain -1.11% · gap +2.59%VST · chain -0.18% · gap -0.20%IGV · chain +0.22% · gap +0.63%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-11.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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