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Pre-market 2026-09-14: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-11 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-14, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-14 09:00 ET window weekend · Fri 11 Sep 16:00 → Mon 14 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
18 of 21
3 up · 15 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
5.46%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=10 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=12 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
LRCXus equity us equity -3.33% · 32m old -7.80%✓ · 23m old +1.42% / -7.96% -7.88% 09:00 80% of 1504:00 n=5 (<15) $420k
GLWus equity us equity -6.38%✓ -7.56% · 2h44m old -0.39% / -8.59% -9.73% 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=5 (<15) $92k
AAOIus equity us equity -5.52%✓ -6.98%✓ +4.48% / -10.25% -8.53% 09:00 88% of 1604:00 n=7 (<15) $206k
COHRus equity us equity -5.21%✓ -6.92%✓ +0.57% / -7.71% -7.73% 09:00 82% of 2204:00 n=8 (<15) $181k
CIFRus equity us equity -5.93% · 5h53m old -6.78% · 2h06m old +7.29% / -11.61% -7.74% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $120k
STXus equity us equity -3.85%✓ -6.64%✓ +0.46% / -7.49% -6.79% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) $135k
CRDOus equity us equity -4.60%✓ · 9m old -6.60%✓ +0.90% / -6.95% -6.69% 09:00 89% of 1904:00 n=10 (<15) $1.0M
TERus equity us equity -5.11%✓ · 12m old -5.97% · 1h51m old -0.07% / -8.98% -8.80% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $106k
CRWDus equity us equity +4.35%✓ +5.87%✓ +7.87% / -0.68% +6.21% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $263k
CIENus equity us equity -2.46% · 41m old -5.06%✓ · 21m old +5.11% / -6.06% -7.37% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $301k
SMCIus equity us equity -4.33%✓ -5.05% · 4h56m old +0.41% / -6.31% -7.54% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $296k
IRENus equity us equity -3.04%✓ · 7m old -3.48%✓ · 12m old +0.67% / -6.47% -4.07% 09:00 81% of 2104:00 n=11 (<15) $315k
AVGOus equity us equity -2.36% · 3h16m old -3.42% · 2h09m old -0.42% / -4.67% -3.69% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $183k
NETus equity us equity -1.15% · 2h23m old +2.65% · 1h51m old +3.53% / -5.97% +2.10% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $125k
VSTus equity us equity -1.87%✓ -2.65%✓ +0.65% / -3.41% -3.00% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $349k
SOFIus equity us equity -0.94%✓ · 15m old -1.37%✓ · 14m old +7.30% / -1.69% -0.58% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $61k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.84%✗ · 25m old -0.65% · 2h13m old +0.87% / -1.46% +0.90% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $57k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.43% · 44m old +0.51% · 5h05m old +0.95% / -1.14% +0.98% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $16k
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — · 20m old — — / — +1.73% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $76k
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — · 7h42m old — — / — +0.57% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $11k
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-14

04:00 call · one dot per market (18 of 18) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%AAOI · chain -5.52% · gap -8.53%AVGO · chain -2.36% · gap -3.69%CIEN · chain -2.46% · gap -7.37%CIFR · chain -5.93% · gap -7.74%COHR · chain -5.21% · gap -7.73%CRDO · chain -4.60% · gap -6.69%CRWD · chain +4.35% · gap +6.21%GLW · chain -6.38% · gap -9.73%IREN · chain -3.04% · gap -4.07%LRCX · chain -3.33% · gap -7.88%NET · chain -1.15% · gap +2.10%RDDT · chain -0.84% · gap +0.90%SMCI · chain -4.33% · gap -7.54%SOFI · chain -0.94% · gap -0.58%STX · chain -3.85% · gap -6.79%TER · chain -5.11% · gap -8.80%TTWO · chain +0.43% · gap +0.98%VST · chain -1.87% · gap -3.00%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-14.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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