Pre-market 2026-10-08: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-07 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-08, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOIus equity | us equity | -3.43% · 55m old | -5.02% · 1h00m old | +0.28% / -5.68% | -4.91% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 n=14 (<15) | $42k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | -1.46% · 1h40m old | -3.67% · 1h02m old | -0.20% / -3.67% | -3.53% | 09:00 95% of 2004:00 n=7 (<15) | $3k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | -2.11% · 34m old | -3.30%✓ · 12m old | +0.58% / -3.30% | -4.52% | 09:00 86% of 2904:00 88% of 17 | $46k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | -2.88% · 58m old | -3.12% · 43m old | +0.23% / -3.18% | -2.56% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $16k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | -1.21% · 51m old | -2.81%✓ | +1.26% / -3.03% | -3.02% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $44k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | -2.28% · 32m old | -2.74%✓ · 24m old | +0.71% / -3.44% | -3.10% | 09:00 93% of 3004:00 84% of 19 | $72k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | -0.84%✓ · 8m old | -2.56% · 2h32m old | +1.82% / -2.56% | -2.13% | 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=11 (<15) | $121k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | -1.48%✓ | -2.45%✓ · 7m old | +0.79% / -2.80% | -2.80% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $131k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | -2.00% · 54m old | -2.17% · 1h19m old | +0.68% / -2.71% | -2.51% | 09:00 80% of 2504:00 87% of 15 | $29k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | -0.51% · 1h30m old | -2.01% · 58m old | +0.18% / -2.01% | -2.20% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) | $5k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | -0.93% · 1h03m old | -1.96% · 1h49m old | +0.46% / -2.15% | -1.90% | 09:00 83% of 2304:00 n=14 (<15) | $138k | |
| SMHus etf | us etf | +0.52% · 7h48m old | -1.49% · 1h48m old | +0.52% / -1.51% | -1.65% | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $10k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | -0.98%✓ | -1.21%✓ · 8m old | -0.45% / -1.74% | -0.62% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $140k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | -2.08%✓ | -1.17%✓ | -0.01% / -2.92% | -1.54% | 09:00 86% of 2204:00 81% of 21 | $374k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | -0.62% · 1h20m old | -0.98% · 31m old | +0.74% / -1.36% | -1.50% | 09:00 95% of 2104:00 83% of 18 | $50k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | -0.96% · 39m old | -0.96% · 5h39m old | +0.31% / -1.62% | -1.41% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $4k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | -1.14%✗ · 10m old | -0.84%✗ | -0.16% / -1.72% | +0.35% | 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=12 (<15) | $14k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | -0.71% · 43m old | -0.57% · 1h34m old | +0.57% / -0.82% | +0.05% | 09:00 85% of 2004:00 n=11 (<15) | $2k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.27%✓ | +0.26%✓ · 8m old | +2.49% / -0.25% | +0.32% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $384k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | -0.53% · 6h02m old | -0.24%✓ · 7m old | +0.66% / -0.88% | -0.87% | 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) | $49k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | +0.61%✓ | +0.12% · 4h53m old | +1.03% / -0.14% | +0.19% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $24k |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-08
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-08.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.