Pre-market 2026-10-07: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-06 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-07, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIENus equity | us equity | -1.67% · 42m old | -4.08% · 1h34m old | -0.00% / -4.23% | -4.45% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $35k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | -1.33%✓ · 10m old | -3.65% · 32m old | +0.00% / -3.65% | -2.35% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) | $10k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | -0.76% · 51m old | -3.37% · 31m old | +0.52% / -3.37% | -3.77% | 09:00 86% of 2904:00 88% of 17 | $8k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | -0.98% · 3h28m old | -2.88% · 1h34m old | +0.15% / -3.52% | -3.89% | 09:00 95% of 2004:00 n=7 (<15) | $11k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +0.85% · 9h13m old | -2.67% · 48m old | +1.33% / -2.98% | -3.49% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 n=14 (<15) | $13k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | -0.57%✓ · 8m old | -2.65% · 1h29m old | +0.52% / -3.31% | -4.39% | 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) | $32k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | -0.50%✓ · 17m old | -2.57%✓ · 15m old | +0.40% / -3.76% | -2.81% | 09:00 86% of 2104:00 80% of 20 | $340k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | -0.20% · 2h59m old | -2.53% · 40m old | +0.25% / -2.53% | -2.72% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $9k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | -0.79% · 1h31m old | -2.46% · 3h00m old | +0.16% / -3.33% | -2.53% | 09:00 80% of 2504:00 87% of 15 | $2k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | -0.83% · 1h02m old | -2.37%✓ · 15m old | +0.36% / -2.61% | -3.66% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 84% of 19 | $100k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | +0.71% · 2h24m old | -2.23%✓ · 14m old | +0.87% / -2.97% | -1.73% | 09:00 82% of 2204:00 n=14 (<15) | $425k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | +0.04% · 8h53m old | -1.71% · 35m old | +0.11% / -1.82% | -1.33% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $19k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | -0.25%✓ | -1.61% · 1h04m old | +3.50% / -4.19% | -0.80% | 09:00 95% of 2104:00 82% of 17 | $27k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | +0.21% · 1h31m old | -1.38% · 33m old | +1.39% / -1.77% | -2.02% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) | $2k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | +0.17% · 3h12m old | -1.09% · 1h15m old | +0.17% / -1.55% | -1.58% | 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) | $6k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | -0.21%✓ · 7m old | -0.95% · 49m old | +0.07% / -1.08% | -1.12% | 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=11 (<15) | $349 | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +0.06% · 1h11m old | -0.63% · 31m old | +0.54% / -0.97% | -1.27% | 09:00 85% of 2004:00 n=11 (<15) | $4k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | -0.22% · 5h09m old | -0.58% · 1h25m old | +0.38% / -0.82% | -0.63% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $6k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.03%· | +0.47% · 1h44m old | +1.22% / -0.94% | +0.14% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $116k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | +1.35% · 2h39m old | -0.07%· · 11m old | +1.68% / -0.43% | -0.89% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $175k | |
| SMHus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — | — | — / — | — | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | — |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-07
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-07.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.