Pre-market 2026-10-06: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-05 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-06, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VSTus equity | us equity | +1.12%✓ | +4.49%✓ | +5.06% / +0.00% | +5.62% | 09:00 85% of 2004:00 79% of 19 | $813k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +0.62%✓ · 12m old | +2.81% · 42m old | +3.52% / -0.39% | +6.00% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 n=13 (<15) | $136k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | +0.25% · 1h04m old | -1.95% · 53m old | +0.25% / -3.09% | -2.88% | 09:00 82% of 2204:00 n=14 (<15) | $8k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +0.59%✓ · 29m old | +1.75%✓ | +2.35% / -0.12% | +2.20% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=10 (<15) | $10k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | +0.65% · 2h59m old | +1.30% · 51m old | +1.30% / +0.28% | +0.13% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $8k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | +0.83% · 1h05m old | +1.27% · 1h12m old | +2.25% / -0.22% | +1.63% | 09:00 80% of 2504:00 87% of 15 | $12k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | +0.50% · 1h05m old | +1.14% · 1h59m old | +1.37% / +0.09% | +0.29% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $9k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | -0.18%· | +0.97%· | +1.61% / -0.34% | +0.10% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 84% of 19 | $61k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | -0.16% · 53m old | +0.97%✓ · 13m old | +1.01% / -0.95% | +1.15% | 09:00 95% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $8k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +0.17%✓ · 13m old | +0.93% · 49m old | +1.13% / -1.39% | +0.87% | 09:00 95% of 2104:00 81% of 16 | $119k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | +0.08%· | +0.87%✓ · 24m old | +1.30% / -0.81% | +0.37% | 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) | $24k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | +0.25%✓ · 10m old | +0.72%✓ · 24m old | +1.45% / -0.37% | +0.73% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) | $7k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | +0.66% · 52m old | +0.71% · 5h50m old | +1.31% / -0.72% | +0.75% | 09:00 86% of 2904:00 88% of 17 | $8k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | -0.26% · 38m old | +0.63% · 3h23m old | +1.07% / -1.03% | +1.15% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $15k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | -0.60% · 1h05m old | -0.60% · 6h05m old | +0.16% / -0.81% | +1.13% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $4k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.75% · 1h05m old | +0.57% · 49m old | +1.30% / -0.10% | -0.33% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $104k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | +0.49% · 1h05m old | +0.45% · 4h46m old | +0.49% / -0.36% | +0.37% | 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=11 (<15) | $357 | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | +0.69% · 50m old | +0.41% · 5h23m old | +2.33% / +0.22% | +1.71% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) | $4k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | -0.21% · 1h05m old | +0.32%✓ · 10m old | +0.97% / -0.86% | +1.07% | 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $4k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | +0.24%✓ · 29m old | +0.08% · 2h01m old | +1.66% / -1.16% | +1.45% | 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $38k | |
| SMHus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — | — | — / — | — | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | — |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-06
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-06.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.