Pre-market 2026-10-05: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-02 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-05, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELIus equity | us equity | +3.32% · 2h08m old | +5.44% · 53m old | +7.17% / -0.28% | +4.96% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $706k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | +6.93%✓ | +3.07%✓ | +11.29% / -0.41% | +3.38% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 78% of 18 | $2.0M | |
| STXus equity | us equity | +0.04% · 3h20m old | +2.99%✓ | +3.00% / -1.59% | +4.76% | 09:00 81% of 2104:00 n=14 (<15) | $59k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | +0.75% · 2h51m old | -1.35% · 31m old | +0.75% / -1.35% | -0.56% | 09:00 95% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $16k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | -0.53% · 4h06m old | -1.34% · 3h19m old | -0.29% / -4.12% | +0.22% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $251k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | +0.51% · 46m old | -1.33%✓ · 22m old | +3.86% / -1.33% | -0.93% | 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) | $144k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | +0.75% · 2h51m old | -0.98% · 1h50m old | +1.75% / -0.98% | -0.21% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $56k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | +0.72% · 1h46m old | -0.76%✓ · 9m old | +1.51% / -0.76% | -0.50% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $90k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | +0.14% · 4h51m old | +0.66% · 3h20m old | +1.72% / -1.08% | +2.07% | 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=11 (<15) | $36k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | +2.57% · 5h44m old | +0.61% · 4h12m old | +2.57% / -1.21% | -0.53% | 09:00 80% of 2504:00 87% of 15 | $9k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | +0.60% · 4h24m old | -0.50% · 49m old | +1.05% / -0.50% | +0.21% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) | $16k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | -0.06%· · 18m old | +0.48% · 1h26m old | +0.70% / -0.99% | +0.26% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $270k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | +1.21% · 2h52m old | -0.47% · 1h52m old | +1.53% / -1.81% | -0.31% | 09:00 86% of 2904:00 88% of 17 | $95k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +1.50% · 1h21m old | +0.33%✓ | +1.88% / -0.85% | +2.52% | 09:00 93% of 2804:00 n=13 (<15) | $27k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | +0.09% · 2h18m old | +0.30% · 44m old | +0.85% / -2.10% | +0.62% | 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $173k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | +1.68% · 4h41m old | +0.27% · 53m old | +4.37% / -3.99% | -0.16% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) | $388k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | +1.66% · 33m old | -0.22%✗ | +1.66% / -1.34% | +0.36% | 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $146k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +0.50%✓ · 25m old | +0.15%✓ · 24m old | +3.11% / -1.29% | +0.72% | 09:00 95% of 2004:00 80% of 15 | $161k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | +1.12% · 34m old | -0.10%· · 12m old | +2.08% / -1.34% | -1.44% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 84% of 19 | $119k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +0.01% · 1h39m old | -0.07% · 2h16m old | +3.52% / -0.22% | +0.07% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=10 (<15) | $43k | |
| SMHus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — | — | — / — | — | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | — |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-05
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-05.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.