Pre-market 2026-10-02: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-01 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-02, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STXus equity | us equity | -0.12% · 1h05m old | -11.08%✓ | +0.56% / -14.08% | -15.20% | 09:00 80% of 2004:00 n=14 (<15) | $444k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | +1.34%✓ · 9m old | +3.69%✓ · 20m old | +10.35% / +0.95% | +2.57% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $12k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | +1.90% · 6h03m old | +3.15%✓ · 29m old | +4.21% / +1.25% | +2.50% | 09:00 79% of 2404:00 87% of 15 | $7k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +1.29% · 4h56m old | +2.73%✓ | +2.76% / -0.45% | +3.02% | 09:00 93% of 2704:00 n=13 (<15) | $18k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | -0.55%✗ · 7m old | +2.58%✓ · 18m old | +3.33% / -1.89% | +2.93% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) | $197k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | +1.04% · 5h20m old | +1.95%✓ | +5.47% / +0.00% | +1.09% | 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $5k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | +1.71% · 2h58m old | +1.74% · 6h50m old | +1.74% / +0.76% | +2.07% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $1k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | +0.44%✓ | +1.57%✓ · 14m old | +1.80% / -0.41% | +1.79% | 09:00 83% of 1804:00 76% of 17 | $75k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | +0.64% · 2h06m old | +1.54% · 1h42m old | +2.91% / +0.32% | +2.70% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $74k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | +0.02% · 1h15m old | +1.45%✓ · 10m old | +2.35% / -1.64% | +1.36% | 09:00 93% of 2804:00 84% of 19 | $56k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | +0.49% · 1h58m old | +1.31% · 1h00m old | +1.70% / +0.49% | +1.37% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) | $30k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +0.58% · 3h56m old | +1.10%✓ · 29m old | +1.66% / +0.00% | +1.86% | 09:00 95% of 1904:00 80% of 15 | $46k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | +0.92% · 2h59m old | +1.05% · 4h55m old | +1.05% / +0.29% | +2.03% | 09:00 95% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $8k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | — | +0.89%✓ · 29m old | +1.96% / -0.72% | +2.12% | 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $6k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | +0.98% · 7h51m old | -0.88% · 11h38m old | +0.98% / -0.88% | +0.31% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $2k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +0.65% · 1h29m old | +0.69% · 4h27m old | +0.73% / +0.00% | +1.15% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=10 (<15) | $306 | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | +0.84%✓ · 19m old | +0.50%✓ · 22m old | +2.04% / -0.53% | +0.78% | 09:00 86% of 2804:00 88% of 16 | $18k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | +0.26% · 33m old | +0.26% · 5h33m old | +0.92% / +0.00% | +1.10% | 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $8k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | +0.09% · 1h36m old | +0.23% · 2h59m old | +0.45% / -0.47% | +0.16% | 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=11 (<15) | $4k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.13%· | -0.13% · 1h56m old | +0.68% / -0.95% | +0.01% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $449k | |
| SMHus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — | — | — / — | — | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | — |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-02
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-02.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.