Pre-market 2026-10-01: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-30 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-01, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TERus equity | us equity | +5.35% · 1h01m old | +2.53% · 55m old | +5.35% / +1.29% | +1.67% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) | $47k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | +1.67% · 6h41m old | +1.67% · 11h41m old | +1.67% / +1.67% | -0.82% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $52 | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | +1.54%✗ · 13m old | +1.54% · 5h13m old | +3.02% / +0.19% | -0.53% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $10k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +0.49% · 1h15m old | -1.38%✓ · 7m old | +0.97% / -1.82% | -1.59% | 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=10 (<15) | $1k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | +2.37% · 1h53m old | +1.36% · 4h59m old | +2.58% / +0.27% | +0.03% | 09:00 95% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) | $54k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | +1.39% · 1h23m old | +1.09% · 3h10m old | +1.48% / -0.06% | +1.11% | 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=11 (<15) | $4k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | +4.45% · 1h37m old | +0.92%✓ · 6m old | +4.45% / +0.42% | +3.17% | 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=7 (<15) | $10k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | +2.80% · 1h16m old | +0.92% · 4h29m old | +2.80% / +0.05% | +0.91% | 09:00 86% of 2804:00 88% of 16 | $33k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | +1.52%✓ | +0.89%✓ | +3.29% / -1.72% | +2.92% | 09:00 93% of 2704:00 83% of 18 | $151k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | +0.93%✗ | +0.85%✗ · 13m old | +3.10% / -1.19% | -0.79% | 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) | $20k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +0.92%✓ · 26m old | +0.78% · 2h38m old | +1.50% / -0.16% | +0.47% | 09:00 95% of 1904:00 n=14 (<15) | $1k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | +0.92% · 32m old | +0.76% · 2h57m old | +2.05% / -1.07% | -0.97% | 09:00 80% of 2004:00 n=14 (<15) | $2k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | +0.84%✓ | +0.73%✓ | +1.72% / -0.16% | +1.45% | 09:00 82% of 1704:00 75% of 16 | $252k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +1.45% · 3h00m old | +0.54%✓ · 26m old | +1.64% / -0.89% | +0.10% | 09:00 92% of 2604:00 n=13 (<15) | $5k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | -1.07%✓ · 16m old | +0.45% · 1h19m old | +0.55% / -1.18% | -0.62% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) | $49k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | -0.03% · 3h20m old | -0.38% · 1h27m old | +0.40% / -1.52% | +1.14% | 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $16k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | +1.23% · 5h26m old | +0.04%· · 24m old | +1.47% / -0.75% | -0.65% | 09:00 79% of 2404:00 87% of 15 | $12k | |
| CIENus equitymissing data · excluded | us equity | — · 2h58m old | — | — / — | +0.83% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $286 | |
| IGVus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — · 1h47m old | — | — / — | +1.00% | 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $17k | |
| NETus equitymissing data · excluded | us equity | — · 43m old | — | — / — | -1.45% | 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $48k | |
| SMHus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — | — | — / — | — | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | — |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-01
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-01.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.