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Pre-market 2026-09-30: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-29 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-30, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-30 09:00 ET window overnight · Tue 29 Sep 16:00 → Wed 30 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
17 of 21
11 up · 5 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.67%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=7 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
IRENus equity us equity -1.92% · 5h25m old -2.53% · 1h51m old -0.10% / -2.53% +1.37% 09:00 79% of 2404:00 87% of 15 $2k
SOFIus equity us equity +0.56% · 1h58m old -2.18% · 2h15m old +0.56% / -2.18% +0.25% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $8k
TERus equity us equity +0.55%✗ · 13m old +2.09% · 5h00m old +2.09% / -0.72% -0.50% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $20k
CIFRus equity us equity +0.80% · 7h20m old +1.68%✓ · 9m old +2.74% / +0.52% +0.72% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $4k
COHRus equity us equity +0.78%✓ · 29m old +1.32% · 4h54m old +1.85% / -0.12% +1.70% 09:00 86% of 2804:00 87% of 15 $14k
CRDOus equity us equity -0.86% · 1h26m old +0.98%✓ · 14m old +1.92% / -0.86% +0.29% 09:00 92% of 2604:00 83% of 18 $61k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.44%✓ · 9m old +0.95%✓ · 27m old +1.07% / -1.01% +0.58% 09:00 94% of 1804:00 n=13 (<15) $98k
VSTus equity us equity +0.66%✗ · 6m old -0.82%✓ · 25m old +1.84% / -1.58% -0.72% 09:00 81% of 1604:00 80% of 15 $122k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.18% · 3h17m old +0.67%✓ · 12m old +1.20% / -0.50% +0.93% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=11 (<15) $3k
LRCXus equity us equity — +0.61% · 2h27m old +0.61% / +0.61% +0.28% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=7 (<15) $316
IGVus etf us etf +0.13% · 8h03m old -0.53% · 45m old +0.16% / -1.53% +0.44% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $5k
GLWus equity us equity +0.47% · 2h59m old +0.47% · 7h59m old +0.83% / -0.02% +0.16% 09:00 95% of 1904:00 n=7 (<15) $98k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.17% · 1h32m old +0.46%✓ · 12m old +0.85% / -0.19% +0.28% 09:00 82% of 1704:00 n=10 (<15) $3k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.41%✓ +0.36% · 1h07m old +2.11% / -1.14% +0.51% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $142k
SMCIus equity us equity +0.35% · 2h59m old +0.35% · 7h59m old +2.97% / +0.35% +2.31% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $1k
STXus equity us equity -0.34% · 38m old -0.21%✗ · 29m old +0.62% / -0.62% +0.64% 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=14 (<15) $1k
AAOIus equity us equity +1.03% · 8h35m old +0.00% · 33m old +1.74% / +0.00% +2.46% 09:00 92% of 2604:00 n=13 (<15) $4k
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — · 3h11m old — — / — +1.06% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $2k
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — -0.01% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — · 15m old — — / — +0.77% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $18k
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-30

04:00 call · one dot per market (16 of 16) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%AAOI · chain +1.03% · gap +2.46%AVGO · chain +0.44% · gap +0.58%CIFR · chain +0.80% · gap +0.72%COHR · chain +0.78% · gap +1.70%CRDO · chain -0.86% · gap +0.29%CRWD · chain +0.17% · gap +0.28%GLW · chain +0.47% · gap +0.16%IREN · chain -1.92% · gap +1.37%RDDT · chain +0.18% · gap +0.93%SMCI · chain +0.35% · gap +2.31%SOFI · chain +0.56% · gap +0.25%STX · chain -0.34% · gap +0.64%TER · chain +0.55% · gap -0.50%TTWO · chain +0.41% · gap +0.51%VST · chain +0.66% · gap -0.72%IGV · chain +0.13% · gap +0.44%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-30.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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