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Pre-market 2026-09-29: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-28 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-29, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-29 09:00 ET window overnight · Mon 28 Sep 16:00 → Tue 29 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
20 of 21
14 up · 6 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.79%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=6 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
GLWus equity us equity -1.26% · 2h38m old +2.65%✓ · 16m old +3.07% / -1.38% +3.28% 09:00 94% of 1804:00 n=7 (<15) $73k
LRCXus equity us equity +1.15% · 51m old +2.35% · 1h56m old +4.29% / +0.23% +2.69% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=7 (<15) $19k
NETus equity us equity -1.56% · 5h04m old -1.56% · 10h04m old -1.15% / -1.56% -0.29% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $826
COHRus equity us equity -0.37% · 2h59m old +1.30% · 31m old +2.13% / -0.38% +2.36% 09:00 86% of 2804:00 87% of 15 $8k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.06% · 39m old +1.30% · 44m old +1.74% / -0.28% +1.07% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=11 (<15) $13k
STXus equity us equity +0.91% · 31m old +1.20% · 35m old +2.14% / -0.99% +1.84% 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=14 (<15) $7k
VSTus equity us equity +0.33% · 46m old +1.08%✓ +1.33% / -0.37% +1.92% 09:00 80% of 1504:00 80% of 15 $180k
AAOIus equity us equity -0.18% · 1h09m old +0.95%✓ · 9m old +1.19% / -2.16% +1.50% 09:00 92% of 2504:00 n=13 (<15) $27k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.32%✓ · 18m old +0.90%✓ +2.27% / -0.42% +2.27% 09:00 94% of 1704:00 n=12 (<15) $32k
IRENus equity us equity -0.13% · 9h57m old +0.83% · 1h13m old +1.36% / -0.81% +0.71% 09:00 79% of 2404:00 87% of 15 $2k
CRDOus equity us equity +0.07%· +0.76% · 31m old +1.44% / -1.87% +0.81% 09:00 92% of 2604:00 83% of 18 $128k
MELIus equity us equity +0.66% · 3h48m old +0.66% · 8h48m old +0.98% / -0.35% +0.15% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $5k
SMCIus equity us equity -0.62% · 4h58m old -0.62% · 9h47m old +1.99% / -1.31% +2.07% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $33k
CIFRus equity us equity -1.50%✗ -0.49%✗ · 13m old +0.32% / -3.04% +0.99% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $6k
CIENus equity us equity +0.73% · 1h15m old +0.41% · 2h50m old +1.19% / -0.27% +1.78% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $2k
IGVus etf us etf +0.14% · 6h31m old -0.31%✓ · 9m old +0.67% / -0.52% -0.23% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $5k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.55%✗ +0.21% · 3h03m old +1.23% / -0.73% -0.17% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $93k
SOFIus equity us equity +0.09%· · 28m old +0.19% · 5h01m old +0.96% / -1.02% +0.69% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $5k
TERus equity us equity -0.81%✗ -0.08% · 2h50m old +2.11% / -3.26% +2.54% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $43k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.06% · 38m old -0.07% · 51m old +0.53% / -0.61% +0.11% 09:00 82% of 1704:00 n=10 (<15) $23k
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-29

04:00 call · one dot per market (20 of 20) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-4%-4%-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%+4%+4%AAOI · chain -0.18% · gap +1.50%AVGO · chain +0.32% · gap +2.27%CIEN · chain +0.73% · gap +1.78%CIFR · chain -1.50% · gap +0.99%COHR · chain -0.37% · gap +2.36%CRDO · chain +0.07% · gap +0.81%CRWD · chain +0.06% · gap +0.11%GLW · chain -1.26% · gap +3.28%IREN · chain -0.13% · gap +0.71%LRCX · chain +1.15% · gap +2.69%MELI · chain +0.66% · gap +0.15%NET · chain -1.56% · gap -0.29%RDDT · chain +0.06% · gap +1.07%SMCI · chain -0.62% · gap +2.07%SOFI · chain +0.09% · gap +0.69%STX · chain +0.91% · gap +1.84%TER · chain -0.81% · gap +2.54%TTWO · chain +0.55% · gap -0.17%VST · chain +0.33% · gap +1.92%IGV · chain +0.14% · gap -0.23%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-29.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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