Pre-market 2026-09-28: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-25 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-28, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOIus equity | us equity | -4.08% · 4h18m old | -3.55% · 2h07m old | -0.30% / -4.08% | -2.18% | 09:00 92% of 2504:00 n=13 (<15) | $25k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | -2.46% · 1h38m old | -3.53% · 3h42m old | +1.65% / -3.53% | -1.68% | 09:00 94% of 1804:00 n=7 (<15) | $58k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | -1.00% · 45m old | -3.19%✓ · 7m old | +0.21% / -3.19% | -1.80% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $259k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | -3.06% · 1h27m old | -3.06% · 6h27m old | -0.40% / -3.06% | -1.19% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $5k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | -3.22% · 1h28m old | -2.99% · 3h29m old | +1.10% / -3.42% | -2.12% | 09:00 86% of 2804:00 87% of 15 | $85k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | -2.06% · 1h39m old | -2.83% · 3h51m old | +2.30% / -2.96% | -0.57% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=14 (<15) | $320k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | -3.12% · 1h32m old | -2.53% · 1h32m old | +0.13% / -3.57% | -0.47% | 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=7 (<15) | $118k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | -0.80% · 3h33m old | -2.53%✓ · 6m old | +0.48% / -3.96% | -2.17% | 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $74k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +0.55% · 1h23m old | -2.45%✓ | +1.21% / -2.57% | -0.74% | 09:00 81% of 1604:00 n=10 (<15) | $12k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | -2.58%✓ · 13m old | -2.28% · 54m old | +3.48% / -2.58% | -1.89% | 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) | $85k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | -3.10% · 1h38m old | -2.26% · 1h31m old | +2.76% / -3.11% | -1.37% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) | $20k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | -1.46% · 2h28m old | -1.91%✓ · 29m old | -0.37% / -2.50% | -1.15% | 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $128k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | -3.89%✓ | -1.67%✓ | +0.36% / -4.63% | -2.64% | 09:00 92% of 2504:00 82% of 17 | $384k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | -1.62% · 1h34m old | -1.62% · 6h34m old | +2.14% / -5.97% | -0.91% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $34k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | -0.75% · 5h58m old | -1.42% · 3h31m old | +1.08% / -1.80% | -2.55% | 09:00 79% of 2404:00 87% of 15 | $10k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | -1.25%✗ · 22m old | -1.00% · 1h23m old | +0.88% / -1.47% | +0.15% | 09:00 94% of 1704:00 n=11 (<15) | $60k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | — | -0.79%✓ · 21m old | -0.42% / -0.92% | -1.76% | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $49 | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.16% · 4h02m old | +0.30% · 3h52m old | +0.68% / -0.28% | -0.41% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) | $78k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | -0.31% · 7h51m old | +0.06%· · 28m old | +0.72% / -0.75% | -0.79% | 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=11 (<15) | $26k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | -0.74%✓ · 9m old | -0.03% · 33m old | +0.76% / -0.84% | -0.40% | 09:00 80% of 1504:00 n=14 (<15) | $280k | |
| SMHus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — | — | — / — | — | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | — |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-09-28
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-28.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.