Pre-market 2026-09-25: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-24 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-25, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIFRus equity | us equity | — | +3.09% · 43m old | +9.18% / -1.64% | +2.35% | 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) | $60k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | +2.16% · 1h38m old | +2.56% · 2h12m old | +2.61% / -0.32% | +1.64% | 09:00 86% of 2804:00 87% of 15 | $20k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | +2.54% · 1h08m old | +2.48% · 1h44m old | +3.16% / -0.30% | +3.30% | 09:00 92% of 2504:00 82% of 17 | $18k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | +1.70%✓ · 13m old | +2.48% · 40m old | +2.75% / +0.17% | +0.68% | 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=6 (<15) | $35k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | +1.09% · 1h43m old | +2.10% · 40m old | +2.14% / -0.59% | +1.38% | 09:00 84% of 1904:00 n=14 (<15) | $33k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +0.66% · 2h27m old | +1.94% · 4h59m old | +1.94% / -0.41% | +0.68% | 09:00 92% of 2504:00 n=13 (<15) | $12k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | -0.51% · 3h46m old | +1.79% · 3h51m old | +1.79% / -0.92% | +1.60% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $7k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | +1.59% · 4h45m old | +1.59% · 9h45m old | +2.25% / +0.07% | +0.88% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) | $4k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | -0.39% · 11h31m old | +1.51% · 4h42m old | +1.51% / -0.39% | +0.93% | 09:00 94% of 1804:00 n=7 (<15) | $4k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +1.16%✓ · 27m old | +1.45% · 59m old | +1.63% / -0.44% | +0.56% | 09:00 94% of 1704:00 n=10 (<15) | $126k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | +0.42% · 5h18m old | +1.38%✓ · 27m old | +1.61% / +0.42% | +1.17% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $2k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | -1.03% · 3h15m old | +0.94% · 1h42m old | +0.94% / -5.45% | -1.96% | 09:00 79% of 2404:00 87% of 15 | $9k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | +0.31% · 2h21m old | +0.89%✗ · 14m old | +1.08% / -0.44% | -0.17% | 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $21k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | +0.74%✓ · 10m old | +0.81%✓ · 7m old | +1.28% / +0.08% | +0.73% | 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=13 (<15) | $49k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | +0.14% · 1h55m old | +0.75% · 1h53m old | +0.78% / -0.61% | -0.00% | 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=11 (<15) | $8k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.74% · 4h34m old | +0.58%✓ · 10m old | +2.94% / -0.20% | +0.29% | 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) | $81k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | -1.00% · 7h52m old | +0.55% · 58m old | +0.55% / -1.21% | -0.18% | 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $6k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +0.56%✗ · 19m old | -0.12%✓ · 9m old | +1.01% / -0.31% | -0.30% | 09:00 80% of 1504:00 n=9 (<15) | $16k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | -0.07% · 6h05m old | -0.07% · 11h05m old | +0.45% / -0.70% | -0.18% | 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $2k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | — | +0.00% · 32m old | +0.33% / -0.66% | -1.52% | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $936 | |
| SMHus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — | — | — / — | — | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | — |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-09-25
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-25.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.