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Pre-market 2026-09-24: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-23 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-24, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-24 09:00 ET window overnight · Wed 23 Sep 16:00 → Thu 24 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
20 of 21
1 up · 19 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
2.03%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=12 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=8 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
CRDOus equity us equity -1.81%✓ -3.63%✓ · 20m old +0.52% / -4.70% -2.38% 09:00 92% of 2404:00 81% of 16 $121k
GLWus equity us equity +0.49%✗ -3.62% · 3h08m old +0.49% / -3.84% -2.56% 09:00 94% of 1804:00 n=6 (<15) $6k
SMCIus equity us equity — -2.88% · 3h10m old -1.62% / -3.17% -2.21% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $10k
COHRus equity us equity -1.39%✓ -2.87% · 3h20m old +0.95% / -3.40% -2.43% 09:00 86% of 2804:00 n=14 (<15) $68k
LRCXus equity us equity -0.20% · 2h59m old -2.76% · 3h08m old +0.37% / -2.76% -2.02% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=6 (<15) $18k
CIFRus equity us equity -0.56% · 3h43m old -2.67%✓ · 23m old -0.47% / -3.59% -3.08% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $8k
IRENus equity us equity -1.03%✓ -2.60% · 33m old +0.09% / -3.15% -3.14% 09:00 79% of 2404:00 n=14 (<15) $19k
AAOIus equity us equity -1.08% · 3h56m old -2.43%✓ +5.14% / -6.05% -2.91% 09:00 92% of 2404:00 n=13 (<15) $9k
CIENus equity us equity -1.25% · 57m old -2.18%✓ · 23m old +0.52% / -2.52% -2.24% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $5k
STXus equity us equity -0.41%✓ · 11m old -2.08%✓ · 20m old +0.54% / -2.72% -0.93% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=13 (<15) $10k
TERus equity us equity -0.74%✓ · 24m old -1.99%✓ · 21m old +0.61% / -2.10% -2.51% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $19k
NETus equity us equity -1.03% · 3h17m old -1.71%✓ +0.15% / -2.87% -0.25% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $10k
RDDTus equity us equity -1.01% · 52m old -1.52%✓ · 17m old +0.02% / -1.83% -0.61% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=11 (<15) $7k
AVGOus equity us equity -0.72%✓ -1.27%✓ +0.38% / -1.68% -1.73% 09:00 94% of 1604:00 n=9 (<15) $482k
SOFIus equity us equity +0.54% · 8h36m old -1.19% · 1h02m old +5.42% / -1.48% -0.42% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $68k
VSTus equity us equity -0.19%✓ · 18m old -0.83%✓ · 6m old +0.93% / -1.68% -1.12% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=12 (<15) $439k
CRWDus equity us equity -0.82% · 1h55m old -0.80%✓ · 12m old +0.03% / -1.30% -0.85% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) $11k
IGVus etf us etf -0.58% · 9h56m old -0.77% · 32m old +0.04% / -1.24% -0.73% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $3k
MELIus equity us equity -0.44% · 11h12m old -0.44% · 16h12m old +0.32% / -0.44% -0.42% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $13k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.30% · 1h20m old +0.24%✓ · 21m old +0.72% / -0.08% +0.90% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $4k
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-24

04:00 call · one dot per market (19 of 19) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-4%-4%-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%+4%+4%AAOI · chain -1.08% · gap -2.91%AVGO · chain -0.72% · gap -1.73%CIEN · chain -1.25% · gap -2.24%CIFR · chain -0.56% · gap -3.08%COHR · chain -1.39% · gap -2.43%CRDO · chain -1.81% · gap -2.38%CRWD · chain -0.82% · gap -0.85%GLW · chain +0.49% · gap -2.56%IREN · chain -1.03% · gap -3.14%LRCX · chain -0.20% · gap -2.02%MELI · chain -0.44% · gap -0.42%NET · chain -1.03% · gap -0.25%RDDT · chain -1.01% · gap -0.61%SOFI · chain +0.54% · gap -0.42%STX · chain -0.41% · gap -0.93%TER · chain -0.74% · gap -2.51%TTWO · chain +0.30% · gap +0.90%VST · chain -0.19% · gap -1.12%IGV · chain -0.58% · gap -0.73%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-24.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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