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Pre-market 2026-09-23: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-22 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-23, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-23 09:00 ET window overnight · Tue 22 Sep 16:00 → Wed 23 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
19 of 21
4 up · 15 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.91%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=8 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
CRDOus equity us equity -0.54% · 1h07m old -2.62% · 55m old -0.23% / -2.62% +0.81% 09:00 92% of 2404:00 81% of 16 $111k
TERus equity us equity -0.07% · 2h58m old -2.08% · 1h37m old +0.41% / -2.08% -0.31% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $39k
LRCXus equity us equity -0.28%✓ · 6m old -2.03% · 46m old +0.05% / -2.03% -0.56% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=5 (<15) $11k
STXus equity us equity -0.09%· -1.48% · 1h10m old +0.50% / -1.69% -1.61% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=13 (<15) $4k
IRENus equity us equity -0.49% · 2h56m old -1.38% · 33m old +0.56% / -1.56% +0.00% 09:00 79% of 2404:00 n=14 (<15) $113k
SOFIus equity us equity +0.05%· · 17m old -1.29%✓ +5.82% / -1.54% -0.70% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $83k
CIFRus equity us equity -0.82% · 1h29m old -1.11% · 3h01m old -0.21% / -9.42% +0.20% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $34k
AVGOus equity us equity -0.30%✓ · 7m old -1.09%✓ · 15m old +0.10% / -1.50% -1.13% 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=8 (<15) $179k
GLWus equity us equity +0.18% · 2h59m old -0.97% · 49m old +0.45% / -0.97% +0.41% 09:00 94% of 1804:00 n=6 (<15) $3k
AAOIus equity us equity -0.09%· · 21m old -0.91%✓ +0.46% / -1.87% -1.04% 09:00 91% of 2304:00 n=13 (<15) $13k
COHRus equity us equity +1.58% · 1h21m old +0.61% · 1h13m old +1.62% / +0.00% -0.02% 09:00 86% of 2804:00 n=14 (<15) $165k
NETus equity us equity -0.62%✗ · 26m old -0.48%✗ +1.61% / -6.00% +0.65% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $18k
IGVus etf us etf -0.14% · 3h39m old +0.46% · 33m old +1.35% / -0.40% -0.16% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $3k
SMCIus equity us equity -0.56% · 4h55m old -0.39%✗ · 23m old +1.63% / -1.63% +1.35% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $89k
VSTus equity us equity +0.53%✗ -0.38%✓ · 9m old +0.78% / -0.51% -0.63% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=11 (<15) $122k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.01% · 59m old +0.38%✗ · 27m old +0.76% / -0.59% -0.40% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) $4k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.59% · 4h12m old +0.35% · 1h58m old +1.31% / -0.87% +0.10% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $67k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.25% · 56m old -0.26%✓ · 19m old +0.56% / -0.75% -0.40% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=11 (<15) $15k
CIENus equity us equity -0.39% · 2h16m old -0.25% · 7h13m old -0.09% / -0.39% -0.48% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $4k
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — +0.45% / +0.45% -1.55% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $95
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-23

04:00 call · one dot per market (19 of 19) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-2%-2%-1.5%-1.5%-1%-1%-0.5%-0.5%00+0.5%+0.5%+1%+1%+1.5%+1.5%+2%+2%AAOI · chain -0.09% · gap -1.04%AVGO · chain -0.30% · gap -1.13%CIEN · chain -0.39% · gap -0.48%CIFR · chain -0.82% · gap +0.20%COHR · chain +1.58% · gap -0.02%CRDO · chain -0.54% · gap +0.81%CRWD · chain +0.01% · gap -0.40%GLW · chain +0.18% · gap +0.41%IREN · chain -0.49% · gap +0.00%LRCX · chain -0.28% · gap -0.56%NET · chain -0.62% · gap +0.65%RDDT · chain +0.25% · gap -0.40%SMCI · chain -0.56% · gap +1.35%SOFI · chain +0.05% · gap -0.70%STX · chain -0.09% · gap -1.61%TER · chain -0.07% · gap -0.31%TTWO · chain +0.59% · gap +0.10%VST · chain +0.53% · gap -0.63%IGV · chain -0.14% · gap -0.16%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-23.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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