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Pre-market 2026-09-22: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-21 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-22, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-22 09:00 ET window overnight · Mon 21 Sep 16:00 → Tue 22 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
19 of 21
8 up · 11 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.92%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=6 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
SOFIus equity us equity -1.34% · 4h21m old +5.49% · 32m old +5.94% / -1.34% +5.07% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $5k
IRENus equity us equity -2.45% · 6h11m old -3.75% · 4h45m old -1.98% / -3.94% +0.25% 09:00 79% of 2404:00 n=14 (<15) $63k
COHRus equity us equity -1.35% · 1h06m old -1.90% · 45m old +1.19% / -3.12% -3.80% 09:00 86% of 2804:00 n=14 (<15) $42k
LRCXus equity us equity -0.58% · 2h59m old -1.73% · 4h32m old +0.80% / -2.16% -1.46% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=5 (<15) $173k
AAOIus equity us equity -0.97%✓ · 18m old -1.23%✓ · 12m old +3.37% / -2.38% -1.80% 09:00 91% of 2204:00 n=12 (<15) $67k
CRDOus equity us equity -2.79%✓ · 27m old -1.16% · 1h50m old +1.60% / -3.92% -1.55% 09:00 92% of 2404:00 80% of 15 $366k
STXus equity us equity -1.16%✓ · 29m old -1.02% · 1h55m old +0.64% / -2.47% -1.46% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=12 (<15) $8k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.16%✗ · 8m old +0.97%✓ +1.34% / -0.76% +1.25% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) $27k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.03% · 2h40m old +0.96% · 1h02m old +9.07% / -0.30% +0.39% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $29k
TERus equity us equity -0.07%· -0.92% · 4h10m old +1.72% / -1.81% -2.17% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $19k
GLWus equity us equity -0.01% · 2h59m old -0.85%✓ · 23m old +1.84% / -2.05% -1.96% 09:00 94% of 1704:00 n=6 (<15) $27k
SMCIus equity us equity -0.31% · 2h45m old -0.82%✓ · 25m old +1.20% / -0.82% -0.30% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $11k
CIENus equity us equity -0.02% · 1h35m old -0.76% · 4h39m old +2.21% / -0.93% -0.79% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $57k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.81% · 2h02m old +0.68%· +1.12% / -0.41% -0.05% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) $17k
VSTus equity us equity +0.43%✓ +0.62%✓ +0.99% / -0.13% +0.31% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) $101k
NETus equity us equity +1.06% · 53m old +0.53% · 3h32m old +1.31% / -0.29% -0.10% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $20k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.46% · 2h53m old -0.43% · 41m old +1.08% / -0.65% +0.06% 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=8 (<15) $47k
MELIus equity us equity +1.96% · 4h17m old +0.37% · 3h22m old +8.59% / -0.45% +0.60% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $1k
CIFRus equity us equity -1.84%✓ · 27m old +0.28% · 2h37m old +4.15% / -3.33% -1.03% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $24k
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — · 6h04m old — — / — +0.96% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $1k
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-22

04:00 call · one dot per market (19 of 19) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%AAOI · chain -0.97% · gap -1.80%AVGO · chain +0.46% · gap +0.06%CIEN · chain -0.02% · gap -0.79%CIFR · chain -1.84% · gap -1.03%COHR · chain -1.35% · gap -3.80%CRDO · chain -2.79% · gap -1.55%CRWD · chain +0.81% · gap -0.05%GLW · chain -0.01% · gap -1.96%IREN · chain -2.45% · gap +0.25%LRCX · chain -0.58% · gap -1.46%MELI · chain +1.96% · gap +0.60%NET · chain +1.06% · gap -0.10%RDDT · chain -0.16% · gap +1.25%SMCI · chain -0.31% · gap -0.30%SOFI · chain -1.34% · gap +5.07%STX · chain -1.16% · gap -1.46%TER · chain -0.07% · gap -2.17%TTWO · chain +0.03% · gap +0.39%VST · chain +0.43% · gap +0.31%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-22.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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