Pre-market 2026-09-21: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-18 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-21, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIENus equity | us equity | +1.93% · 4h43m old | +6.45% · 57m old | +6.45% / +0.54% | +5.00% | 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $82k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | +2.63%✓ · 8m old | +4.45%✓ · 8m old | +4.45% / -2.11% | +2.18% | 09:00 91% of 2304:00 n=14 (<15) | $303k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | +1.18% · 1h59m old | +3.92%✓ · 28m old | +3.93% / -1.10% | +3.98% | 09:00 94% of 1604:00 n=6 (<15) | $12k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | +2.08% · 6h51m old | +3.48% · 1h26m old | +3.59% / -1.82% | +0.24% | 09:00 79% of 2404:00 n=14 (<15) | $56k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | +2.93%✓ · 6m old | +3.47% · 57m old | +3.89% / -1.35% | +3.27% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) | $44k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | +1.31% · 2h51m old | +3.35%✓ · 25m old | +6.44% / -1.51% | +2.70% | 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) | $285k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | +0.88% · 1h17m old | +3.22%✓ · 9m old | +4.52% / -2.10% | +5.75% | 09:00 82% of 1704:00 n=12 (<15) | $52k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | +2.07%✓ | +3.19%✓ · 16m old | +3.99% / -1.53% | +1.93% | 09:00 85% of 2704:00 n=13 (<15) | $134k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | +1.77% · 2h52m old | +3.01% · 2h09m old | +3.01% / -0.61% | +2.41% | 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=5 (<15) | $48k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | +1.10% · 1h31m old | +3.00% · 58m old | +3.00% / -2.38% | +2.13% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) | $204k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +2.39%✓ | +2.88%✓ | +3.45% / -2.47% | +2.60% | 09:00 90% of 2104:00 n=11 (<15) | $70k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +1.16%✗ · 14m old | +1.90% · 45m old | +2.18% / -0.60% | -0.49% | 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=7 (<15) | $188k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | +0.47% · 6h19m old | +1.84%✓ · 14m old | +2.54% / -0.73% | +2.74% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $51k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | +0.73% · 1h49m old | +1.52% · 1h07m old | +1.52% / -0.12% | +1.26% | 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) | $8k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | +1.31% · 6h00m old | +1.49%✗ · 18m old | +1.98% / -1.25% | -0.28% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) | $11k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | -1.01% · 11h12m old | -1.29% · 2h09m old | -0.51% / -1.79% | +0.95% | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $2k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | +1.27% · 1h08m old | +1.19% · 1h08m old | +1.99% / -3.20% | +0.99% | 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) | $459k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.86% · 5h31m old | +0.92% · 41m old | +2.35% / -0.21% | +0.57% | 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) | $206k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | +0.33% · 18h37m old | +0.41% · 1h55m old | +3.21% / -0.63% | +0.54% | 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $5k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | -0.21%✓ | -0.18%✓ | +0.34% / -2.84% | -1.68% | 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $101k | |
| SMHus etfmissing data · excluded | us etf | — | — | — / — | — | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | — |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-09-21
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-21.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.