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Pre-market 2026-09-18: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-17 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-18, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-18 09:00 ET window overnight · Thu 17 Sep 16:00 → Fri 18 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
17 of 21
12 up · 4 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.70%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=7 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
CIENus equity us equity -3.65% · 8h48m old -3.65% · 13h48m old -2.77% / -3.65% +3.16% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $4k
GLWus equity us equity +1.76% · 39m old +2.74% · 1h49m old +3.26% / -0.07% +3.50% 09:00 94% of 1604:00 n=6 (<15) $48k
CIFRus equity us equity +1.22%✓ +2.28%✓ +4.62% / -1.15% +4.04% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $30k
AAOIus equity us equity +2.91% · 31m old +1.98%✓ +3.43% / -0.34% +2.76% 09:00 90% of 2004:00 n=11 (<15) $11k
COHRus equity us equity +2.51%✓ +1.78%✓ +3.73% / -0.82% +3.91% 09:00 85% of 2604:00 n=12 (<15) $94k
IRENus equity us equity -0.40% · 7h54m old +1.74% · 2h27m old +2.40% / -0.40% +2.33% 09:00 79% of 2404:00 n=14 (<15) $3k
SMCIus equity us equity +1.19% · 3h00m old +0.88% · 2h57m old +1.68% / -0.30% -1.82% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $18k
TTWOus equity us equity -0.24%✗ · 10m old -0.87% · 1h10m old +1.46% / -2.47% +0.18% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $40k
AVGOus equity us equity +1.04%✓ · 8m old +0.70% · 1h59m old +1.18% / -0.34% +1.99% 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=6 (<15) $30k
TERus equity us equity -0.13% · 4h13m old +0.60% · 54m old +1.86% / -1.80% +1.48% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $30k
NETus equity us equity +0.58% · 3h54m old +0.58% · 8h54m old +0.61% / -0.07% +0.47% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $15k
CRWDus equity us equity -0.08%· · 22m old -0.50%✓ · 19m old +0.34% / -1.10% -0.20% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $3k
LRCXus equity us equity +1.62% · 46m old +0.50% · 47m old +1.80% / -0.69% +2.49% 09:00 83% of 1804:00 n=5 (<15) $21k
CRDOus equity us equity +1.67%✓ · 18m old -0.49% · 43m old +1.96% / -0.85% +2.54% 09:00 91% of 2304:00 n=13 (<15) $128k
STXus equity us equity +1.29% · 33m old +0.39% · 33m old +1.80% / -0.38% +0.99% 09:00 82% of 1704:00 n=12 (<15) $12k
VSTus equity us equity +0.59%✓ +0.10%· · 18m old +1.27% / -0.11% +0.13% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) $176k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.97%✗ · 20m old +0.00%· · 10m old +1.18% / -0.42% -0.13% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) $17k
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — · 11h06m old — — / — -0.07% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $287
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — -0.14% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — +1.14% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-18

04:00 call · one dot per market (17 of 17) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%AAOI · chain +2.91% · gap +2.76%AVGO · chain +1.04% · gap +1.99%CIEN · chain -3.65% · gap +3.16%CIFR · chain +1.22% · gap +4.04%COHR · chain +2.51% · gap +3.91%CRDO · chain +1.67% · gap +2.54%CRWD · chain -0.08% · gap -0.20%GLW · chain +1.76% · gap +3.50%IREN · chain -0.40% · gap +2.33%LRCX · chain +1.62% · gap +2.49%NET · chain +0.58% · gap +0.47%RDDT · chain +0.97% · gap -0.13%SMCI · chain +1.19% · gap -1.82%STX · chain +1.29% · gap +0.99%TER · chain -0.13% · gap +1.48%TTWO · chain -0.24% · gap +0.18%VST · chain +0.59% · gap +0.13%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-18.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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