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Pre-market 2026-09-17: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-16 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-17, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-17 09:00 ET window overnight · Wed 16 Sep 16:00 → Thu 17 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
19 of 21
17 up · 2 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
3.33%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=11 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=6 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
CIFRus equity us equity +3.53% · 3h48m old +8.63%✓ +13.59% / +0.13% +10.36% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $69k
IRENus equity us equity +4.70% · 42m old +5.93%✓ · 12m old +6.94% / +0.12% +7.94% 09:00 78% of 2304:00 n=14 (<15) $304k
CRDOus equity us equity +3.71%✓ +5.68%✓ +6.29% / +0.85% +4.86% 09:00 91% of 2204:00 n=12 (<15) $215k
LRCXus equity us equity +1.53% · 58m old +5.52%✓ · 29m old +5.57% / +1.38% +2.99% 09:00 82% of 1704:00 n=5 (<15) $55k
AAOIus equity us equity +2.60%✓ · 14m old +5.15%✓ +6.01% / -0.14% +5.15% 09:00 89% of 1904:00 n=10 (<15) $54k
COHRus equity us equity +1.71%✓ +4.49%✓ +5.25% / -0.39% +4.58% 09:00 84% of 2504:00 n=11 (<15) $88k
STXus equity us equity +1.95% · 40m old +4.30%✓ · 12m old +4.86% / +0.58% +2.76% 09:00 81% of 1604:00 n=12 (<15) $5k
MELIus equity us equity +1.37% · 4h51m old +4.18% · 1h00m old +4.18% / -0.22% -0.03% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $7k
CIENus equity us equity +0.61% · 2h28m old +4.08%✓ · 26m old +4.59% / -0.95% +5.03% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $77k
VSTus equity us equity +1.61%✓ +3.33%✓ +3.50% / -0.14% +2.73% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $139k
GLWus equity us equity +1.17% · 2h17m old +3.32% · 1h46m old +4.79% / +0.31% +4.54% 09:00 94% of 1604:00 n=6 (<15) $28k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.84% · 46m old -2.12%✓ +1.44% / -6.02% -2.38% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) $78k
SOFIus equity us equity +1.20% · 1h33m old +1.69% · 1h48m old +3.14% / -0.30% +2.49% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $8k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.74% · 4h51m old +1.65% · 4h08m old +2.50% / +0.13% +2.02% 09:00 93% of 1504:00 n=6 (<15) $100k
TERus equity us equity +0.64% · 3h06m old +1.25% · 3h23m old +3.31% / -0.27% +3.22% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $91k
TTWOus equity us equity +1.10%✓ · 20m old +1.24% · 1h27m old +1.51% / -0.10% +0.25% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $38k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.97% · 32m old -0.95%✓ +1.15% / -2.05% -2.68% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $34k
NETus equity us equity +0.91%✗ +0.17% · 2h05m old +0.98% / -0.77% -1.91% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $14k
IGVus etf us etf -0.57% · 8h13m old +0.07% · 1h01m old +2.73% / -1.40% -0.36% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $1k
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — +4.40% / +1.66% +3.54% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $3k
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-17

04:00 call · one dot per market (19 of 19) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-15%-15%-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%+15%+15%AAOI · chain +2.60% · gap +5.15%AVGO · chain +0.74% · gap +2.02%CIEN · chain +0.61% · gap +5.03%CIFR · chain +3.53% · gap +10.36%COHR · chain +1.71% · gap +4.58%CRDO · chain +3.71% · gap +4.86%CRWD · chain +0.97% · gap -2.68%GLW · chain +1.17% · gap +4.54%IREN · chain +4.70% · gap +7.94%LRCX · chain +1.53% · gap +2.99%MELI · chain +1.37% · gap -0.03%NET · chain +0.91% · gap -1.91%RDDT · chain +0.84% · gap -2.38%SOFI · chain +1.20% · gap +2.49%STX · chain +1.95% · gap +2.76%TER · chain +0.64% · gap +3.22%TTWO · chain +1.10% · gap +0.25%VST · chain +1.61% · gap +2.73%IGV · chain -0.57% · gap -0.36%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-17.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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