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Pre-market 2026-09-16: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-09-15 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-09-16, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-09-16 09:00 ET window overnight · Tue 15 Sep 16:00 → Wed 16 Sep 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
17 of 21
16 up · 1 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.33%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=8 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=6 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
CIENus equity us equity +1.56% · 1h08m old +3.60% · 36m old +4.62% / +0.19% +3.67% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $19k
COHRus equity us equity +2.35%✓ +3.41%✓ · 8m old +4.23% / -0.19% +3.93% 09:00 83% of 2404:00 n=10 (<15) $71k
LRCXus equity us equity +2.91% · 59m old +3.03%✓ · 21m old +3.38% / +1.06% +1.76% 09:00 81% of 1604:00 n=5 (<15) $10k
AAOIus equity us equity +2.22%✓ +2.45%✓ +3.30% / -1.15% +3.22% 09:00 89% of 1804:00 n=9 (<15) $19k
CRDOus equity us equity +1.70% · 44m old +2.21%✓ · 12m old +2.73% / -0.15% +3.58% 09:00 90% of 2104:00 n=12 (<15) $153k
IRENus equity us equity +0.96%✓ +1.87% · 31m old +2.37% / -0.75% +3.45% 09:00 78% of 2304:00 n=13 (<15) $19k
TERus equity us equity +0.09% · 1h06m old +1.72% · 4h25m old +1.91% / -0.35% +2.09% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $4k
VSTus equity us equity +0.61% · 53m old +1.41%✓ +1.41% / -0.08% +0.83% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $60k
STXus equity us equity +1.25%✓ · 16m old +1.33%✓ · 14m old +1.81% / -0.41% +1.07% 09:00 80% of 1504:00 n=11 (<15) $30k
SMCIus equity us equity — +1.29% · 3h33m old +1.47% / -1.06% +0.52% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $37k
GLWus equity us equity +1.30% · 53m old +1.25% · 1h59m old +1.94% / -0.73% +2.53% 09:00 94% of 1604:00 n=6 (<15) $7k
CRWDus equity us equity -0.71%✓ · 12m old -1.24%✓ · 6m old -0.01% / -2.85% -1.57% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $17k
AVGOus equity us equity -0.02% · 7h58m old +0.57%✓ +0.77% / -0.22% +0.96% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $29k
NETus equity us equity -0.08% · 1h08m old +0.25% · 1h06m old +0.94% / -0.22% +0.12% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $20k
CIFRus equity us equity +0.16% · 9h25m old +0.16% · 14h25m old +5.85% / -0.14% +8.11% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $9k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.33%✓ · 14m old +0.09% · 59m old +0.66% / -0.61% +0.73% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) $14k
TTWOus equity us equity +0.28% · 4h12m old +0.07% · 1h26m old +4.01% / -0.59% +0.19% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $133k
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — -0.75% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — -0.54% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — -0.06% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $119

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-09-16

04:00 call · one dot per market (16 of 16) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%AAOI · chain +2.22% · gap +3.22%AVGO · chain -0.02% · gap +0.96%CIEN · chain +1.56% · gap +3.67%CIFR · chain +0.16% · gap +8.11%COHR · chain +2.35% · gap +3.93%CRDO · chain +1.70% · gap +3.58%CRWD · chain -0.71% · gap -1.57%GLW · chain +1.30% · gap +2.53%IREN · chain +0.96% · gap +3.45%LRCX · chain +2.91% · gap +1.76%NET · chain -0.08% · gap +0.12%RDDT · chain +0.33% · gap +0.73%STX · chain +1.25% · gap +1.07%TER · chain +0.09% · gap +2.09%TTWO · chain +0.28% · gap +0.19%VST · chain +0.61% · gap +0.83%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-09-16.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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