Pre-market 2026-10-09: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-08 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-09, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +5.51% · 1h02m old | +7.53% · 1h25m old | +7.68% / +1.16% | +8.32% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 n=14 (<15) | $67k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | +2.06% · 1h56m old | +4.58%✓ | +4.86% / -0.24% | +7.19% | 09:00 87% of 3004:00 88% of 17 | $213k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | +3.36% · 59m old | +3.83%✓ · 21m old | +4.30% / +1.25% | +2.97% | 09:00 95% of 2004:00 n=7 (<15) | $4k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | +3.12%✓ | +3.36% · 1h47m old | +3.39% / +2.65% | +0.87% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) | $9k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | +3.02%✓ · 14m old | +2.89% · 4h04m old | +3.47% / +0.63% | +1.04% | 09:00 85% of 2004:00 n=8 (<15) | $5k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | +2.51% · 1h20m old | +2.81% · 3h38m old | +3.28% / -0.04% | +4.16% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $19k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | +2.89% · 1h39m old | +2.79%✓ · 15m old | +3.40% / -0.97% | +1.56% | 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=12 (<15) | $70k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | +0.30% · 48m old | +2.78%✓ · 7m old | +3.82% / -0.40% | +2.81% | 09:00 88% of 1604:00 n=13 (<15) | $10k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | +2.32% · 2h37m old | +2.31% · 1h49m old | +3.06% / +0.31% | +1.01% | 09:00 80% of 2504:00 87% of 15 | $10k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | +1.85%✓ | +2.25% · 49m old | +3.29% / -1.57% | +5.37% | 09:00 94% of 3104:00 84% of 19 | $52k | |
| SMHus etf | us etf | — | +1.98% · 45m old | +2.33% / +1.75% | +1.06% | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $25k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.08%· · 29m old | +1.88% · 1h09m old | +1.88% / -1.36% | +0.84% | 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) | $127k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +1.00% · 44m old | +1.61%✓ · 10m old | +1.82% / -0.10% | +1.45% | 09:00 85% of 2004:00 n=11 (<15) | $5k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | +1.64%✓ | +1.53%✓ | +2.17% / -0.08% | +2.69% | 09:00 87% of 2304:00 82% of 22 | $342k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | +0.84%✓ | +1.50% · 1h43m old | +1.50% / -1.44% | +1.70% | 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=9 (<15) | $36k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +1.71% · 46m old | +1.47%✓ · 11m old | +2.00% / -0.32% | +1.41% | 09:00 95% of 2104:00 83% of 18 | $12k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | +2.09% · 2h19m old | +1.42%✓ | +2.91% / -0.16% | +0.96% | 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $18k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | +0.94% · 4h55m old | +1.07%✓ | +1.67% / +0.00% | +1.21% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) | $9k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | +1.15% · 3h24m old | +1.03% · 4h25m old | +1.15% / +0.00% | -0.26% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $4k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | +0.26% · 55m old | -0.05% · 2h09m old | +0.45% / -0.35% | +0.49% | 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) | $2k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | +0.86% · 2h58m old | +0.02%· · 29m old | +1.36% / -0.54% | +0.70% | 09:00 83% of 2304:00 n=14 (<15) | $8k |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 235 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 220 of 225 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-09
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-09.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.