Pre-market 2026-10-12: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-09 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-12, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRENus equity | us equity | +9.37% · 1h49m old | +5.28%✓ · 22m old | +10.28% / +0.97% | +1.72% | 09:00 80% of 2504:00 87% of 15 | $90k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | -0.79% · 1h36m old | -2.58% · 1h52m old | +0.61% / -2.58% | -3.74% | 09:00 87% of 3104:00 88% of 17 | $49k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | +1.00% · 6h28m old | -1.89% · 1h52m old | +1.00% / -2.41% | -2.23% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $44k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | -0.57% · 1h12m old | -1.87% · 58m old | +0.37% / -2.02% | -2.44% | 09:00 83% of 2304:00 n=14 (<15) | $68k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | -0.65%✓ · 25m old | -1.80%✓ · 29m old | +0.96% / -1.80% | -3.98% | 09:00 94% of 3104:00 85% of 20 | $29k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | +1.69% · 2h13m old | +1.58% · 1h50m old | +2.05% / +0.85% | +1.33% | 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) | $20k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | -0.62% · 39m old | -1.52%✓ | +1.47% / -1.52% | -3.17% | 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=12 (<15) | $117k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | +0.22% · 2h54m old | +1.29%✗ | +1.67% / -2.29% | -0.28% | 09:00 88% of 2404:00 83% of 23 | $176k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | +0.53% · 6h17m old | +1.18% · 2h37m old | +1.19% / -0.30% | +0.57% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) | $13k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | +0.38% · 7h57m old | -1.03% · 1h50m old | +1.08% / -1.13% | -2.03% | 09:00 85% of 2004:00 n=9 (<15) | $22k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | +0.43% · 2h27m old | -1.02%✓ · 12m old | +0.77% / -1.30% | -2.50% | 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $36k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +0.18% · 1h11m old | -0.94% · 4h06m old | +2.58% / -3.03% | -4.87% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 n=14 (<15) | $19k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | -0.16% · 1h33m old | -0.86% · 1h52m old | +0.78% / -1.35% | -1.62% | 09:00 95% of 2104:00 n=7 (<15) | $11k | |
| SMHus etf | us etf | +0.11% · 7h34m old | -0.83% · 4h12m old | +0.11% / -1.01% | -1.40% | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $4k | |
| CIFRus equity | us equity | +1.92% · 1h15m old | +0.81% · 1h56m old | +3.10% / -0.97% | -2.37% | 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $14k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | +1.20% · 3h02m old | +0.65%✗ | +1.50% / -0.13% | -0.14% | 09:00 86% of 2104:00 n=11 (<15) | $14k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | +0.48% · 1h22m old | -0.54% · 3h58m old | +0.87% / -0.55% | -0.65% | 09:00 95% of 2204:00 83% of 18 | $29k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | +0.46% · 5h47m old | +0.41% · 2h59m old | +0.46% / -0.34% | +0.16% | 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) | $5k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | +1.60% · 2h51m old | +0.35% · 6h34m old | +1.60% / -0.67% | -2.67% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $18k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.00%· · 13m old | +0.33% · 1h11m old | +1.11% / -8.67% | -0.24% | 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) | $575k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | +0.57% · 7h17m old | +0.10% · 2h36m old | +0.91% / -0.35% | +0.27% | 09:00 88% of 1704:00 n=13 (<15) | $44k |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 242 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 226 of 231 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-12
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-12.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.