Pre-market 2026-10-13: the chain vs the open
How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-10-12 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-10-13, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.
| market | class | 04:00 call | 09:00 call | high / low | path · close → 09:30 | real gap | right before · ±0.10% | volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIFRus equity | us equity | -1.14% · 2h44m old | -12.00%✓ | +0.33% / -15.64% | -14.03% | 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=8 (<15) | $642k | |
| STXus equity | us equity | -3.53%✓ | -7.30%✓ | +0.04% / -8.73% | -6.94% | 09:00 83% of 2304:00 n=14 (<15) | $187k | |
| IRENus equity | us equity | -2.87% · 54m old | -4.72%✓ · 12m old | +0.50% / -4.72% | -4.48% | 09:00 81% of 2604:00 87% of 15 | $41k | |
| CRDOus equity | us equity | -2.37%✓ | -3.97%✓ | +0.09% / -4.79% | -5.66% | 09:00 94% of 3204:00 86% of 21 | $182k | |
| TERus equity | us equity | -2.73% · 1h35m old | -3.37% · 49m old | +4.65% / -5.54% | -3.61% | 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=12 (<15) | $41k | |
| VSTus equity | us equity | -1.33%✓ | -2.58%✓ | +0.23% / -3.20% | -2.19% | 09:00 84% of 2504:00 83% of 23 | $705k | |
| LRCXus equity | us equity | -2.55% · 2h56m old | -2.55% · 7h56m old | -0.95% / -3.02% | -2.74% | 09:00 85% of 2004:00 n=9 (<15) | $6k | |
| COHRus equity | us equity | -2.87%✓ · 25m old | -2.42%✓ · 7m old | +0.16% / -4.07% | -3.85% | 09:00 87% of 3104:00 88% of 17 | $116k | |
| SMCIus equity | us equity | -3.10% · 55m old | -2.15% · 57m old | +4.52% / -6.31% | -3.31% | 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $52k | |
| RDDTus equity | us equity | -1.94%✓ · 11m old | -2.11% · 34m old | +0.06% / -3.01% | -1.04% | 09:00 88% of 1704:00 n=13 (<15) | $27k | |
| AAOIus equity | us equity | +0.05% · 2h44m old | -1.95%✓ · 8m old | +1.07% / -2.72% | -2.66% | 09:00 93% of 2904:00 n=14 (<15) | $13k | |
| CIENus equity | us equity | -1.19% · 1h56m old | -1.87% · 35m old | +0.47% / -2.18% | -3.90% | 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) | $12k | |
| AVGOus equity | us equity | -1.23% · 2h58m old | -1.85% · 6h01m old | +0.00% / -1.85% | -1.34% | 09:00 95% of 2204:00 83% of 18 | $18k | |
| GLWus equity | us equity | -1.28% · 58m old | -1.66%✓ · 8m old | +0.98% / -2.03% | -3.27% | 09:00 95% of 2104:00 n=7 (<15) | $46k | |
| SMHus etf | us etf | -1.66% · 3h00m old | -1.66% · 8h00m old | +0.31% / -1.87% | -2.19% | 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) | $9k | |
| CRWDus equity | us equity | -0.48%✓ · 24m old | -0.75% · 1h10m old | +0.30% / -1.36% | -0.94% | 09:00 82% of 2204:00 n=11 (<15) | $25k | |
| NETus equity | us equity | -0.24% · 6h30m old | -0.74% · 1h02m old | -0.15% / -1.32% | -1.92% | 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=10 (<15) | $5k | |
| SOFIus equity | us equity | -0.22% · 2h39m old | -0.53% · 6h01m old | -0.16% / -0.92% | +0.07% | 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) | $10k | |
| IGVus etf | us etf | +0.40% · 6h31m old | +0.12%✗ · 10m old | +0.48% / -0.75% | -0.26% | 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) | $6k | |
| TTWOus equity | us equity | +0.11%· · 26m old | +0.02% · 4h54m old | +0.52% / -0.24% | +0.03% | 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) | $78k | |
| MELIus equity | us equity | +0.56%✗ · 28m old | +0.02% · 58m old | +1.48% / +0.00% | -0.27% | 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) | $52k |
04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 249 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 233 of 238 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology
call vs open · 2026-10-13
One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-10-13.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.