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Pre-market 2026-07-28: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-07-27 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-07-28, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-07-28 09:00 ET window overnight · Mon 27 Jul 16:00 → Tue 28 Jul 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
8 of 21
0 up · 8 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
4.62%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=0 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
GLWus equity us equity -2.59% · 6h18m old -17.31%✓ +0.00% / -19.50% -13.15% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $387k
STXus equity us equity -3.25% · 4h01m old -7.25% · 1h15m old +0.29% / -7.25% -6.99% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $43k
COHRus equity us equity -3.63% · 1h38m old -5.53%✓ · 6m old +1.55% / -6.02% -6.92% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $56k
LRCXus equity us equity -1.54% · 6h20m old -4.67% · 59m old -0.43% / -6.12% -5.63% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $24k
CRDOus equity us equity -1.27% · 7h03m old -4.58%✓ · 8m old +1.98% / -5.28% -5.16% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $131k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.21% · 11h20m old -2.65% · 1h19m old +0.21% / -3.10% -1.41% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $11k
IRENus equity us equity -1.94% · 4h12m old -2.63% · 37m old +1.04% / -3.86% -5.39% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $35k
TERus equity us equity -2.07% · 1h00m old -2.45%✓ · 13m old +7.18% / -3.73% -6.69% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $26k
AAOIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
RDDTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
VSTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-07-28

04:00 call · one dot per market (8 of 8) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-15%-15%-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%+15%+15%AVGO · chain +0.21% · gap -1.41%COHR · chain -3.63% · gap -6.92%CRDO · chain -1.27% · gap -5.16%GLW · chain -2.59% · gap -13.15%IREN · chain -1.94% · gap -5.39%LRCX · chain -1.54% · gap -5.63%STX · chain -3.25% · gap -6.99%TER · chain -2.07% · gap -6.69%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-07-28.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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