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Pre-market 2026-07-29: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-07-28 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-07-29, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-07-29 09:00 ET window overnight · Tue 28 Jul 16:00 → Wed 29 Jul 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
8 of 21
4 up · 4 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.25%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=0 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
TERus equity us equity +8.59% · 2h31m old +14.90%✓ · 9m old +21.37% / -3.96% +12.60% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $311k
STXus equity us equity +3.09% · 1h51m old +5.81%✓ · 7m old +13.39% / -2.42% +3.91% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $231k
LRCXus equity us equity -4.24% · 1h05m old -3.16%✓ · 8m old +0.45% / -6.19% -2.81% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $92k
CRDOus equity us equity -3.01% · 1h54m old -1.67% · 53m old +7.24% / -6.07% -1.90% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $202k
COHRus equity us equity -2.26% · 1h54m old +0.83% · 1h24m old +1.49% / -8.47% -0.17% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $185k
GLWus equity us equity +0.29% · 52m old +0.83%✓ · 6m old +4.57% / -10.53% +0.42% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $93k
IRENus equity us equity -1.25% · 1h57m old -0.52% · 39m old +7.37% / -3.51% -0.43% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $101k
AVGOus equity us equity -1.29% · 8h54m old -0.16% · 1h33m old +1.48% / -2.74% -0.78% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $87k
AAOIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
RDDTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
VSTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-07-29

04:00 call · one dot per market (8 of 8) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-15%-15%-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%+15%+15%AVGO · chain -1.29% · gap -0.78%COHR · chain -2.26% · gap -0.17%CRDO · chain -3.01% · gap -1.90%GLW · chain +0.29% · gap +0.42%IREN · chain -1.25% · gap -0.43%LRCX · chain -4.24% · gap -2.81%STX · chain +3.09% · gap +3.91%TER · chain +8.59% · gap +12.60%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-07-29.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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