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Pre-market 2026-07-30: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-07-29 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-07-30, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-07-30 09:00 ET window overnight · Wed 29 Jul 16:00 → Thu 30 Jul 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
8 of 21
7 up · 1 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
4.80%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=6 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=2 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
LRCXus equity us equity +5.26% · 1h28m old +11.44%✓ +23.76% / -0.12% +20.73% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $82k
IRENus equity us equity +2.08% · 2h06m old +10.18%✓ +11.88% / -5.28% +14.32% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $443k
TERus equity us equity +2.13% · 2h06m old +5.96%✓ +6.08% / -4.59% +8.57% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $31k
GLWus equity us equity +0.19% · 2h08m old +4.93%✓ · 26m old +5.96% / -2.87% +5.06% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $60k
COHRus equity us equity -2.28%✗ · 26m old +4.68%✓ · 6m old +6.20% / -5.22% +8.83% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $51k
STXus equity us equity -1.12% · 1h15m old +4.68%✓ · 28m old +12.86% / -2.94% +15.26% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $47k
CRDOus equity us equity -5.11% · 3h18m old -2.13% · 39m old +0.99% / -8.05% +7.13% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $26k
AVGOus equity us equity -0.93%✗ · 6m old +0.18% · 1h58m old +1.69% / -2.18% +2.32% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $7k
AAOIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $2k
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
RDDTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
VSTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-07-30

04:00 call · one dot per market (8 of 8) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-30%-30%-20%-20%-10%-10%00+10%+10%+20%+20%+30%+30%AVGO · chain -0.93% · gap +2.32%COHR · chain -2.28% · gap +8.83%CRDO · chain -5.11% · gap +7.13%GLW · chain +0.19% · gap +5.06%IREN · chain +2.08% · gap +14.32%LRCX · chain +5.26% · gap +20.73%STX · chain -1.12% · gap +15.26%TER · chain +2.13% · gap +8.57%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-07-30.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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