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Pre-market 2026-07-31: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-07-30 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-07-31, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-07-31 09:00 ET window overnight · Thu 30 Jul 16:00 → Fri 31 Jul 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
9 of 21
9 up · 0 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
4.60%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=3 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
AAOIus equity us equity +4.22% · 1h12m old +8.46% · 1h13m old +11.29% / +3.67% +12.28% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $67k
COHRus equity us equity +6.91% · 2h32m old +6.56% · 47m old +11.55% / +0.85% +10.38% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $131k
CRDOus equity us equity +6.51% · 31m old +5.41% · 39m old +8.28% / +2.46% +5.34% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $406k
STXus equity us equity +3.31%✓ · 9m old +4.92%✓ · 20m old +6.96% / +1.57% +5.80% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $1.1M
TERus equity us equity +3.68% · 2h58m old +4.60% · 1h26m old +4.83% / -0.17% +5.42% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $110k
LRCXus equity us equity +3.98%✓ · 10m old +3.31% · 40m old +6.42% / -0.08% +5.41% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $368k
IRENus equity us equity +5.08%✓ · 18m old +3.26%✓ · 12m old +9.29% / -1.15% +4.86% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $926k
AVGOus equity us equity +1.37%✓ · 13m old +1.05% · 2h48m old +1.50% / +0.00% +1.66% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $8k
GLWus equity us equity +0.43% · 34m old +0.63%✓ · 17m old +3.39% / -11.68% +5.90% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $49k
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
RDDTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
VSTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-07-31

04:00 call · one dot per market (9 of 9) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-15%-15%-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%+15%+15%AAOI · chain +4.22% · gap +12.28%AVGO · chain +1.37% · gap +1.66%COHR · chain +6.91% · gap +10.38%CRDO · chain +6.51% · gap +5.34%GLW · chain +0.43% · gap +5.90%IREN · chain +5.08% · gap +4.86%LRCX · chain +3.98% · gap +5.41%STX · chain +3.31% · gap +5.80%TER · chain +3.68% · gap +5.42%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-07-31.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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