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Pre-market 2026-08-03: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-07-31 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-03, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-03 09:00 ET window weekend · Fri 31 Jul 16:00 → Mon 3 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
9 of 21
1 up · 8 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
3.09%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=2 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
LRCXus equity us equity -0.76% · 1h10m old -5.10% · 54m old +0.05% / -5.10% -3.26% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $313k
STXus equity us equity +0.56%✗ · 14m old -4.18%✓ · 7m old +1.74% / -4.77% -6.97% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $478k
TERus equity us equity +0.43%✗ · 8m old -4.12%✓ · 21m old +1.68% / -4.95% -3.40% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $293k
COHRus equity us equity +2.25% · 2h55m old -3.58% · 45m old +2.94% / -4.19% -3.77% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $183k
AAOIus equity us equity +3.81% · 7h58m old -3.09% · 46m old +3.97% / -6.25% -4.03% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $52k
CRDOus equity us equity +1.54% · 1h14m old -2.57%✓ · 14m old +3.88% / -3.86% -3.67% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $332k
IRENus equity us equity +2.19% · 3h13m old -1.09% · 1h41m old +4.65% / -1.66% -2.64% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $439k
AVGOus equity us equity +1.90% · 8h22m old +0.68% · 2h49m old +2.14% / -0.88% -1.99% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $44k
GLWus equity us equity +3.09% · 2h55m old -0.27%✓ · 7m old +3.84% / -3.03% -3.04% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $214k
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
RDDTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
VSTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-03

04:00 call · one dot per market (9 of 9) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-8%-8%-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%+8%+8%AAOI · chain +3.81% · gap -4.03%AVGO · chain +1.90% · gap -1.99%COHR · chain +2.25% · gap -3.77%CRDO · chain +1.54% · gap -3.67%GLW · chain +3.09% · gap -3.04%IREN · chain +2.19% · gap -2.64%LRCX · chain -0.76% · gap -3.26%STX · chain +0.56% · gap -6.97%TER · chain +0.43% · gap -3.40%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-03.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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