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Pre-market 2026-08-04: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-03 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-04, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-04 09:00 ET window overnight · Mon 3 Aug 16:00 → Tue 4 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
9 of 21
9 up · 0 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
5.73%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=6 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=0 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
AAOIus equity us equity +6.30% · 1h38m old +17.81%✓ +22.56% / +0.26% +15.41% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $483k
COHRus equity us equity +3.55% · 1h35m old +11.58%✓ · 7m old +19.06% / -1.10% +11.53% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $625k
GLWus equity us equity +1.85% · 2h59m old +7.59%✓ · 13m old +9.18% / -0.17% +5.24% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $149k
STXus equity us equity +1.04% · 2h21m old +5.93% · 1h09m old +7.14% / -0.92% +4.43% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $440k
CRDOus equity us equity +2.15% · 2h21m old +5.73%✓ +9.40% / -1.64% +7.47% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $461k
TERus equity us equity +1.12% · 7h48m old +5.15% · 1h25m old +7.10% / +1.12% +5.75% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $54k
LRCXus equity us equity +0.02% · 3h56m old +4.86%✓ · 6m old +5.79% / -1.34% +4.76% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $269k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.45% · 34m old +0.90% · 4h22m old +2.85% / -0.71% +2.80% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $4k
IRENus equity us equity +1.64% · 2h19m old +0.53%✓ · 20m old +1.83% / -1.64% +2.66% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $63k
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
RDDTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
VSTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-04

04:00 call · one dot per market (9 of 9) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-20%-20%-15%-15%-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%+15%+15%+20%+20%AAOI · chain +6.30% · gap +15.41%AVGO · chain +0.45% · gap +2.80%COHR · chain +3.55% · gap +11.53%CRDO · chain +2.15% · gap +7.47%GLW · chain +1.85% · gap +5.24%IREN · chain +1.64% · gap +2.66%LRCX · chain +0.02% · gap +4.76%STX · chain +1.04% · gap +4.43%TER · chain +1.12% · gap +5.75%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-04.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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