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Pre-market 2026-08-05: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-04 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-05, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-05 09:00 ET window overnight · Tue 4 Aug 16:00 → Wed 5 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
10 of 21
0 up · 10 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.62%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=3 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=3 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
AAOIus equity us equity +1.58%✗ -3.02%✓ · 28m old +10.25% / -4.52% -0.41% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $559k
STXus equity us equity -2.73% · 2h58m old -2.49% · 6h35m old -2.47% / -9.61% +0.66% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $96k
COHRus equity us equity +3.95% · 2h23m old -2.30%✗ +4.42% / -3.33% +1.56% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $224k
GLWus equity us equity -0.37%✓ -2.10% · 31m old +2.51% / -3.22% -0.70% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $101k
CRDOus equity us equity +1.26% · 3h09m old -1.92% · 2h02m old +2.00% / -3.79% +1.03% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $150k
AVGOus equity us equity -1.32% · 11h21m old -1.32% · 16h21m old +0.00% / -1.32% +0.65% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $2k
LRCXus equity us equity +0.31%✗ · 13m old -1.26%✓ · 24m old +0.74% / -1.95% -0.39% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $566k
TERus equity us equity +1.78% · 2h58m old -1.00% · 2h12m old +4.36% / -10.37% -0.50% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $425k
IRENus equity us equity +1.83% · 2h21m old -0.72% · 1h01m old +1.83% / -2.24% -1.41% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $48k
VSTus equity us equity -0.65% · 40m old -0.55% · 4h02m old -0.25% / -0.96% +0.84% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $2k
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
NETus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $1k
RDDTus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-05

04:00 call · one dot per market (10 of 10) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-4%-4%-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%+4%+4%AAOI · chain +1.58% · gap -0.41%AVGO · chain -1.32% · gap +0.65%COHR · chain +3.95% · gap +1.56%CRDO · chain +1.26% · gap +1.03%GLW · chain -0.37% · gap -0.70%IREN · chain +1.83% · gap -1.41%LRCX · chain +0.31% · gap -0.39%STX · chain -2.73% · gap +0.66%TER · chain +1.78% · gap -0.50%VST · chain -0.65% · gap +0.84%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-05.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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