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Pre-market 2026-08-07: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-06 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-07, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-07 09:00 ET window overnight · Thu 6 Aug 16:00 → Fri 7 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
12 of 21
9 up · 3 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
2.40%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=2 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
NETus equity us equity +16.84% · 2h11m old +16.47%✓ · 15m old +23.16% / -1.19% +11.03% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $152k
AAOIus equity us equity +12.07% · 40m old +13.87%✓ +18.77% / -6.98% +11.09% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $1.9M
COHRus equity us equity +4.90%✓ +7.37%✓ · 12m old +8.34% / +0.24% +6.13% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $118k
GLWus equity us equity +0.57% · 2h59m old +3.97% · 2h01m old +5.21% / -0.24% +3.41% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $12k
LRCXus equity us equity +0.03% · 9h09m old +2.84%✓ · 18m old +2.84% / -0.48% +1.16% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $101k
CRDOus equity us equity — +2.43% · 2h57m old +3.99% / -0.23% +4.98% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $3k
IRENus equity us equity +0.51% · 2h39m old +2.38%✓ · 28m old +4.15% / -1.30% +4.28% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $70k
AVGOus equity us equity -1.50% · 7h39m old -1.50% · 12h39m old -1.35% / -1.50% +1.61% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $42
TERus equity us equity +0.57% · 2h58m old +0.99% · 2h13m old +4.68% / +0.25% +2.83% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $7k
VSTus equity us equity +1.41% · 3h42m old -0.95% · 41m old +2.73% / -2.69% -2.29% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $97k
STXus equity us equity -0.40%✓ · 17m old -0.69% · 5h00m old +2.27% / -1.70% -1.49% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $710k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.68% · 8h14m old +0.59% · 2h29m old +0.59% / -0.69% +1.59% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $461
CIENus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $13
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-07

04:00 call · one dot per market (11 of 11) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-20%-20%-15%-15%-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%+15%+15%+20%+20%AAOI · chain +12.07% · gap +11.09%AVGO · chain -1.50% · gap +1.61%COHR · chain +4.90% · gap +6.13%GLW · chain +0.57% · gap +3.41%IREN · chain +0.51% · gap +4.28%LRCX · chain +0.03% · gap +1.16%NET · chain +16.84% · gap +11.03%RDDT · chain -0.68% · gap +1.59%STX · chain -0.40% · gap -1.49%TER · chain +0.57% · gap +2.83%VST · chain +1.41% · gap -2.29%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-07.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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