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Pre-market 2026-08-10: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-07 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-10, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-10 09:00 ET window weekend · Fri 7 Aug 16:00 → Mon 10 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
13 of 21
11 up · 2 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.40%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
CIENus equity us equity +3.45% · 5h22m old +3.30% · 7h14m old +12.38% / +2.22% -0.57% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $20k
AAOIus equity us equity +4.34%✓ · 18m old +2.21%✓ +8.63% / -1.77% +6.35% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $497k
RDDTus equity us equity +1.06% · 40m old +2.07% · 4h55m old +10.85% / -1.88% -0.18% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $10k
CRDOus equity us equity +3.15% · 2h54m old +1.94%✓ · 24m old +4.96% / +1.42% +4.04% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $103k
IRENus equity us equity +4.91%✗ · 25m old +1.78%✗ · 8m old +6.91% / +1.67% -1.47% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $206k
STXus equity us equity -0.71% · 1h34m old -1.46% · 4h18m old +8.66% / -8.98% -3.34% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $142k
COHRus equity us equity +1.89% · 2h54m old +1.40%· +3.74% / -1.39% -0.03% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $316k
LRCXus equity us equity +1.36% · 7h48m old +1.33% · 7h54m old +2.93% / +0.24% +1.39% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $13k
VSTus equity us equity +1.60% · 1h47m old +1.19% · 2h00m old +9.96% / -6.48% +2.02% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $352k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.86% · 6h04m old +1.08% · 1h53m old +1.18% / -0.22% +0.81% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $11k
GLWus equity us equity +2.11% · 36m old +0.85% · 46m old +2.71% / -0.70% +1.13% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $186k
TERus equity us equity +2.14%✓ +0.83%✓ +9.77% / -2.43% +1.24% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $42k
NETus equity us equity +1.66%✗ · 8m old -0.73%✓ · 16m old +10.74% / -8.86% -0.94% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $246k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
CRWDus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-10

04:00 call · one dot per market (13 of 13) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-8%-8%-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%+8%+8%AAOI · chain +4.34% · gap +6.35%AVGO · chain +0.86% · gap +0.81%CIEN · chain +3.45% · gap -0.57%COHR · chain +1.89% · gap -0.03%CRDO · chain +3.15% · gap +4.04%GLW · chain +2.11% · gap +1.13%IREN · chain +4.91% · gap -1.47%LRCX · chain +1.36% · gap +1.39%NET · chain +1.66% · gap -0.94%RDDT · chain +1.06% · gap -0.18%STX · chain -0.71% · gap -3.34%TER · chain +2.14% · gap +1.24%VST · chain +1.60% · gap +2.02%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-10.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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