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Pre-market 2026-08-11: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-10 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-11, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-11 09:00 ET window overnight · Mon 10 Aug 16:00 → Tue 11 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
14 of 21
6 up · 8 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.72%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=4 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
IRENus equity us equity +0.45%✓ · 27m old +3.02%✓ +3.80% / -1.32% +3.88% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $251k
AAOIus equity us equity -2.97%✗ -2.61%✗ · 6m old +0.10% / -5.82% +0.49% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $244k
LRCXus equity us equity +0.58% · 1h59m old +1.55% · 1h52m old +1.83% / -0.66% +1.93% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $46k
STXus equity us equity +0.60%✓ · 29m old +1.33% · 50m old +1.44% / -0.53% +0.72% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $116k
CIENus equity us equity -0.92% · 9h04m old -0.92% · 14h04m old -0.81% / -2.02% +0.89% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $20k
CRDOus equity us equity -0.30% · 55m old +0.89%✓ +1.71% / -1.79% +0.20% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $124k
CRWDus equity us equity -0.20% · 8h15m old -0.80% · 2h23m old -0.08% / -0.80% -0.30% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $27k
COHRus equity us equity -0.12%✓ · 7m old -0.64%✓ +1.64% / -1.20% -1.28% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $111k
GLWus equity us equity -0.39% · 4h01m old -0.62% · 4h33m old +0.11% / -1.14% -0.15% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $99k
NETus equity us equity -0.10% · 2h34m old -0.61% · 1h29m old +8.65% / -3.57% -1.32% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $20k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.11% · 1h24m old +0.43% · 1h47m old +10.05% / -9.84% -0.21% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $20k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.34% · 6h28m old +0.34% · 11h13m old +0.35% / -0.64% +0.14% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $2k
TERus equity us equity +0.82% · 2h58m old -0.34% · 2h56m old +1.36% / -3.93% +1.11% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $27k
VSTus equity us equity -0.26% · 3h53m old -0.26% · 8h53m old +0.86% / -0.44% +0.98% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $17k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-11

04:00 call · one dot per market (14 of 14) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-4%-4%-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%+4%+4%AAOI · chain -2.97% · gap +0.49%AVGO · chain +0.34% · gap +0.14%CIEN · chain -0.92% · gap +0.89%COHR · chain -0.12% · gap -1.28%CRDO · chain -0.30% · gap +0.20%CRWD · chain -0.20% · gap -0.30%GLW · chain -0.39% · gap -0.15%IREN · chain +0.45% · gap +3.88%LRCX · chain +0.58% · gap +1.93%NET · chain -0.10% · gap -1.32%RDDT · chain -0.11% · gap -0.21%STX · chain +0.60% · gap +0.72%TER · chain +0.82% · gap +1.11%VST · chain -0.26% · gap +0.98%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-11.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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