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Pre-market 2026-08-12: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-11 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-12, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-12 09:00 ET window overnight · Tue 11 Aug 16:00 → Wed 12 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
14 of 21
12 up · 2 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
4.35%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=9 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=2 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
IRENus equity us equity +4.75% · 34m old +8.87%✓ +9.59% / -0.27% +11.82% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $546k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.67% · 5h06m old -8.51%✓ · 22m old +3.59% / -8.51% -0.64% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $90k
CRDOus equity us equity +4.11% · 3h06m old +8.01%✓ +8.81% / +2.26% +7.32% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $91k
COHRus equity us equity +4.79%✓ · 10m old +7.91%✓ +10.75% / -1.78% +7.34% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $211k
CIENus equity us equity -2.62%✗ +6.44%✓ · 18m old +11.17% / -5.49% +6.91% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $91k
LRCXus equity us equity +1.98% · 59m old +5.37%✓ +5.97% / +0.97% +4.85% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $168k
AAOIus equity us equity +3.19% · 1h12m old +5.10%✓ · 27m old +6.21% / -0.33% +4.51% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $327k
STXus equity us equity +1.28% · 1h27m old +3.60%✓ · 8m old +4.53% / -6.39% +5.24% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $37k
GLWus equity us equity +1.50% · 2h59m old +3.42% · 1h04m old +3.42% / +0.31% +6.19% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $13k
AVGOus equity us equity — +1.87%✓ · 19m old +2.24% / +0.41% +2.37% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $870
TERus equity us equity +0.09% · 1h41m old +1.24% · 4h54m old +5.44% / -3.03% +4.84% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $5k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.27% · 1h39m old -0.85% · 3h15m old +7.40% / -7.21% +0.96% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $6k
VSTus equity us equity -0.03% · 48m old +0.63% · 2h36m old +9.68% / -5.99% +1.31% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $6k
NETus equity us equity +0.48% · 1h19m old +0.00%· · 13m old +9.80% / -6.17% +0.13% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $18k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-12

04:00 call · one dot per market (13 of 13) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-15%-15%-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%+15%+15%AAOI · chain +3.19% · gap +4.51%CIEN · chain -2.62% · gap +6.91%COHR · chain +4.79% · gap +7.34%CRDO · chain +4.11% · gap +7.32%CRWD · chain +0.67% · gap -0.64%GLW · chain +1.50% · gap +6.19%IREN · chain +4.75% · gap +11.82%LRCX · chain +1.98% · gap +4.85%NET · chain +0.48% · gap +0.13%RDDT · chain -0.27% · gap +0.96%STX · chain +1.28% · gap +5.24%TER · chain +0.09% · gap +4.84%VST · chain -0.03% · gap +1.31%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-12.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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