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Pre-market 2026-08-14: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-13 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-14, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-14 09:00 ET window overnight · Thu 13 Aug 16:00 → Fri 14 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
13 of 21
11 up · 2 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.08%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
RDDTus equity us equity +10.43%✓ +11.21%✓ +13.82% / -0.17% +11.05% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $1.7M
STXus equity us equity +0.09%· · 29m old +2.23%✓ · 15m old +3.18% / -5.95% +2.96% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $83k
AAOIus equity us equity +0.88% · 33m old +1.96%✓ · 14m old +3.09% / -1.08% +0.33% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $396k
TERus equity us equity +1.46%✗ · 15m old +1.51% · 4h55m old +2.00% / -7.35% -0.82% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $2k
COHRus equity us equity -0.08%· · 27m old +1.37%✗ +1.81% / -0.71% -0.29% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $114k
LRCXus equity us equity -0.86% · 46m old -1.10% · 4h56m old +0.13% / -1.22% -1.31% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $17k
IRENus equity us equity +0.60%✗ · 8m old +1.08%✗ +2.04% / -1.96% -0.40% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $173k
CIENus equity us equity -1.56%✓ +0.71% · 4h27m old +3.08% / -6.68% -0.15% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $4k
VSTus equity us equity +1.16%✓ +0.64% · 4h47m old +5.07% / -4.31% +0.10% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $61k
NETus equity us equity +0.02%· · 6m old +0.54% · 4h11m old +5.95% / -6.02% -0.39% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $13k
CRDOus equity us equity -0.04% · 2h59m old +0.21% · 37m old +2.02% / -0.60% -1.62% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $77k
CRWDus equity us equity -0.16% · 2h50m old +0.20% · 5h13m old +0.20% / -0.75% -0.05% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $21k
GLWus equity us equity -0.17% · 2h59m old -0.03% · 5h57m old +0.29% / -0.29% +1.12% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $1k
AVGOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — -1.26% / -2.18% -2.15% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $6k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMCIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $1k
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-14

04:00 call · one dot per market (13 of 13) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-15%-15%-10%-10%-5%-5%00+5%+5%+10%+10%+15%+15%AAOI · chain +0.88% · gap +0.33%CIEN · chain -1.56% · gap -0.15%COHR · chain -0.08% · gap -0.29%CRDO · chain -0.04% · gap -1.62%CRWD · chain -0.16% · gap -0.05%GLW · chain -0.17% · gap +1.12%IREN · chain +0.60% · gap -0.40%LRCX · chain -0.86% · gap -1.31%NET · chain +0.02% · gap -0.39%RDDT · chain +10.43% · gap +11.05%STX · chain +0.09% · gap +2.96%TER · chain +1.46% · gap -0.82%VST · chain +1.16% · gap +0.10%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-14.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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