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Pre-market 2026-08-18: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-17 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-18, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-18 09:00 ET window overnight · Mon 17 Aug 16:00 → Tue 18 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
15 of 21
2 up · 13 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
4.91%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=7 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=3 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
GLWus equity us equity -3.99%✓ -6.81% · 2h31m old -0.41% / -8.14% -6.58% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $56k
CIENus equity us equity +0.22% · 9h49m old -6.09% · 2h30m old +0.94% / -6.09% -4.70% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $3k
STXus equity us equity -3.63% · 1h53m old -5.70% · 2h00m old +0.12% / -6.73% -4.51% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $172k
COHRus equity us equity -2.92% · 1h45m old -5.54% · 1h09m old +0.19% / -7.73% -6.82% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $199k
AAOIus equity us equity -3.35% · 1h30m old -5.52%✓ · 16m old +1.13% / -6.38% -5.38% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $492k
CRDOus equity us equity -2.40% · 49m old -5.23%✓ · 19m old +0.08% / -5.88% -6.88% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $119k
LRCXus equity us equity -2.19%✓ · 6m old -5.10%✓ · 15m old +0.11% / -5.39% -4.79% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $23k
TERus equity us equity -1.73%✓ · 6m old -4.91% · 3h53m old -0.50% / -5.59% -5.12% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $4k
SMCIus equity us equity -3.59% · 2h11m old -4.28% · 3h33m old -1.08% / -5.16% -1.91% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $100k
IRENus equity us equity -2.19% · 41m old -2.93%✓ · 11m old +1.32% / -5.13% -2.30% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $243k
AVGOus equity us equity -1.54% · 37m old -2.70%✓ · 10m old -1.45% / -2.86% -2.05% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $255k
VSTus equity us equity -0.53% · 1h16m old -1.12%✓ · 21m old +0.22% / -1.69% -1.60% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $233k
RDDTus equity us equity +0.60% · 2h19m old +1.05% · 50m old +1.98% / -1.19% +1.13% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $54k
CRWDus equity us equity -1.10% · 1h54m old -0.54%✓ · 22m old -0.19% / -1.20% -0.84% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $14k
NETus equity us equity +0.21% · 2h32m old +0.06% · 1h02m old +1.26% / -2.87% -1.05% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $4k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-18

04:00 call · one dot per market (15 of 15) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-8%-8%-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%+8%+8%AAOI · chain -3.35% · gap -5.38%AVGO · chain -1.54% · gap -2.05%CIEN · chain +0.22% · gap -4.70%COHR · chain -2.92% · gap -6.82%CRDO · chain -2.40% · gap -6.88%CRWD · chain -1.10% · gap -0.84%GLW · chain -3.99% · gap -6.58%IREN · chain -2.19% · gap -2.30%LRCX · chain -2.19% · gap -4.79%NET · chain +0.21% · gap -1.05%RDDT · chain +0.60% · gap +1.13%SMCI · chain -3.59% · gap -1.91%STX · chain -3.63% · gap -4.51%TER · chain -1.73% · gap -5.12%VST · chain -0.53% · gap -1.60%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-18.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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