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Pre-market 2026-08-19: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-18 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-19, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-19 09:00 ET window overnight · Tue 18 Aug 16:00 → Wed 19 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
15 of 21
9 up · 6 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
1.46%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=8 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=7 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
AAOIus equity us equity +1.72%✓ +6.12%✓ +7.14% / -4.20% +0.97% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $289k
LRCXus equity us equity +2.79%✗ · 16m old +5.11%✗ +5.11% / +1.77% -0.67% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $55k
CRDOus equity us equity +0.29%✗ · 10m old +3.26%✗ · 7m old +3.26% / -3.11% -1.02% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $178k
TERus equity us equity +1.05%✗ · 20m old +2.69%✗ · 7m old +2.81% / -0.22% -1.25% 09:00 n=5 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $39k
AVGOus equity us equity +0.12% · 34m old -2.23%✓ +1.14% / -4.97% -1.68% 09:00 n=9 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $291k
COHRus equity us equity +0.64%· · 9m old +2.08%· +2.36% / -3.57% +0.08% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $575k
SMCIus equity us equity -2.04%✓ · 24m old -2.04% · 5h24m old -1.31% / -3.72% -0.81% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) $4k
IRENus equity us equity -0.21%✓ +1.46%✗ +1.79% / -3.13% -1.75% 09:00 n=11 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $351k
RDDTus equity us equity -0.44% · 36m old -1.32%✓ · 15m old +3.80% / -2.12% -1.41% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $27k
CIENus equity us equity +1.27% · 2h17m old +1.27% · 7h17m old +5.56% / -3.35% +2.99% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $4k
VSTus equity us equity +0.21% · 2h48m old +0.65% · 3h48m old +1.04% / +0.07% +0.72% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $72k
GLWus equity us equity +0.07%· +0.64%✓ · 25m old +2.02% / -2.87% +0.54% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $18k
CRWDus equity us equity +0.47% · 9h20m old -0.30% · 2h36m old +0.49% / -5.26% -0.45% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $43k
NETus equity us equity -0.47% · 2h58m old -0.26% · 1h29m old +1.24% / -1.02% -0.56% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $15k
STXus equity us equity -0.57%✓ -0.01%· -0.01% / -4.39% -0.70% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $121k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-19

04:00 call · one dot per market (15 of 15) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-3%-3%-2%-2%-1%-1%00+1%+1%+2%+2%+3%+3%AAOI · chain +1.72% · gap +0.97%AVGO · chain +0.12% · gap -1.68%CIEN · chain +1.27% · gap +2.99%COHR · chain +0.64% · gap +0.08%CRDO · chain +0.29% · gap -1.02%CRWD · chain +0.47% · gap -0.45%GLW · chain +0.07% · gap +0.54%IREN · chain -0.21% · gap -1.75%LRCX · chain +2.79% · gap -0.67%NET · chain -0.47% · gap -0.56%RDDT · chain -0.44% · gap -1.41%SMCI · chain -2.04% · gap -0.81%STX · chain -0.57% · gap -0.70%TER · chain +1.05% · gap -1.25%VST · chain +0.21% · gap +0.72%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-19.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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