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Pre-market 2026-08-20: the chain vs the open

How far each US stock and ETF perp on Hyperliquid's Paragon (para) deployer moved on-chain between the 2026-08-19 close and 04:00 and 09:00 ET on 2026-08-20, and whether the real opening gap went the same way.

as of 2026-08-20 09:00 ET window overnight · Wed 19 Aug 16:00 → Thu 20 Aug 09:30 ET open 09:30 ET · gaps filled
markets with data
15 of 21
5 up · 10 down by 09:00 ET
median |move| · 09:00 call
0.83%
close → 09:00 ET
09:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
04:00 call agreed
—
n=5 with both |moves| ≥ 0.10% (<15)
21 marketsdefault order: largest |09:00 move| first · click a column to sort
marketclass04:00 call09:00 callhigh / lowpath · close → 09:30real gapright before · ±0.10%volume
SMCIus equity us equity -0.85% · 4h12m old -1.92% · 1h48m old +2.69% / -2.85% +2.07% 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $75k
CIENus equity us equity +2.45% · 2h58m old +1.58% · 6h42m old +2.45% / +0.22% +0.23% 09:00 n=1 (<15)04:00 n=3 (<15) $25k
CRWDus equity us equity +1.08% · 3h09m old -1.32% · 1h57m old +1.54% / -3.08% -1.34% 09:00 n=2 (<15)04:00 n=1 (<15) $21k
NETus equity us equity +0.78%✗ -1.25% · 54m old +3.64% / -2.77% -0.39% 09:00 n=4 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $31k
LRCXus equity us equity +1.40% · 2h59m old -1.17% · 55m old +2.11% / -1.90% -0.36% 09:00 n=13 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $46k
GLWus equity us equity +1.51% · 2h59m old -1.09%✓ · 12m old +2.06% / -1.66% -0.36% 09:00 n=8 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $88k
TERus equity us equity +2.87% · 1h21m old -0.84% · 51m old +4.06% / -0.99% -0.80% 09:00 n=6 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $114k
CRDOus equity us equity +2.01%· -0.83%· +3.14% / -1.86% +0.00% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $433k
VSTus equity us equity +0.72% · 1h27m old +0.71% · 5h21m old +0.72% / -0.44% -0.10% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $126k
RDDTus equity us equity +1.92%✗ +0.60% · 56m old +2.35% / -0.91% -2.10% 09:00 n=3 (<15)04:00 n=2 (<15) $34k
COHRus equity us equity +1.65%✓ -0.56%✗ +2.60% / -1.94% +0.26% 09:00 n=14 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $546k
STXus equity us equity +2.52% · 2h29m old -0.53%✗ +3.11% / -1.31% +0.29% 09:00 n=7 (<15)04:00 n=7 (<15) $113k
AAOIus equity us equity +4.33% · 1h02m old -0.29%✓ · 6m old +4.54% / -1.74% -2.12% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=4 (<15) $133k
IRENus equity us equity +1.56%✓ +0.16%✓ +3.19% / -1.60% +0.57% 09:00 n=12 (<15)04:00 n=6 (<15) $154k
AVGOus equity us equity +1.50%✓ +0.10% · 1h03m old +1.70% / +0.06% +0.63% 09:00 n=10 (<15)04:00 n=5 (<15) $19k
CIFRus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
IGVus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
MELIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SMHus etfmissing data · excluded us etf — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
SOFIus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —
TTWOus equitymissing data · excluded us equity — — — / — — 09:00 n=0 (<15)04:00 n=0 (<15) —

04:00 call = last 1-minute candle close before 04:00 ET vs the candle close in the last minute of the previous session (15:59 ET, 12:59 on half days) 09:00 call = the same at 09:00 ET "12m old" = the candle used closed that long before the target minute (shown above 5 min; older than 30 min is excluded from every rate) ✓ same direction as the real gap, ✗ opposite, and · inside the 0.10% dead band (not scored) high / low = extremes of 1-minute highs and lows while the market was closed, same base path = candle close every 15 minutes from the previous close to 09:30 ET, scale per row, centre line = previous close, ticks = 04:00 and 09:00, dashed = no candle in between real gap = oracle price at 09:30 ET vs at the previous close, on para's own oracle; on the 221 symbol-nights xyz also lists, it was within 0.04 pp of xyz's (median) and went the same way 206 of 211 times right before = this symbol's past nights with the same 0.10% band, shown from n=15 volume = sum of 1-minute base volume × close in the window, approximate definitions in methodology

call vs open · 2026-08-20

04:00 call · one dot per market (15 of 15) · shaded quadrants = same direction · grey cross = ±0.10% dead band · hover a dot for the symbol
-6%-6%-4%-4%-2%-2%00+2%+2%+4%+4%+6%+6%AAOI · chain +4.33% · gap -2.12%AVGO · chain +1.50% · gap +0.63%CIEN · chain +2.45% · gap +0.23%COHR · chain +1.65% · gap +0.26%CRDO · chain +2.01% · gap +0.00%CRWD · chain +1.08% · gap -1.34%GLW · chain +1.51% · gap -0.36%IREN · chain +1.56% · gap +0.57%LRCX · chain +1.40% · gap -0.36%NET · chain +0.78% · gap -0.39%RDDT · chain +1.92% · gap -2.10%SMCI · chain -0.85% · gap +2.07%STX · chain +2.52% · gap +0.29%TER · chain +2.87% · gap -0.80%VST · chain +0.72% · gap -0.10%x = chain move by 04:00 ETy = real opening gap

One night is a small sample; the running record is on the scorecard, which describes past nights and is not a forecast. Data: 2026-08-20.json · definitions and caveats in methodology.

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